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Apart from the bleedin' obvious that winter should be cooler I'm wondering what your inner animal is telling you about the coming winter. Will it be just chilly or will it be a snowpocalypse?
It will be colder than summer.
There was 3 leaves on the ground in Hexham on 17th august and 37 leaves on the ground in Rothbury on the 28th August.
This means it will turn cold on the 18th November and last for approximately 24 days reaching temperatures of -13.
Just sayin'
The North Atlantic Oscillation is expected to be negative this year.
This is a strong predictor of colder than normal winters in Northern Europe
But these long term forecasts are notoriously unreliable
And probably wetter too.
I haven't seen the Daily Express front page today, if theres not a story about a single pill that will instantly cure a chronic condition , then theres be a surefire long term weather prediction there.
Longer term pretty toasty if you believe this
This is a good place to check for non-hysterical informed speculation on the longer term weather. Loads of interesting bits of info in there and well-worded with regards uncertainty:
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoother/latest.aspx
He's been saying that we have been having a blocking weather pattern for ages, and when we get established ones they tend to last a long time. And if the blocking pattern stays into winter, we'll get some cold weather, possibly early on too.
And if the blocking pattern stays into winter, we'll get some cold weather,
Well I'm convinced.
I'm thinking it might snow, or maybe not...
as much as id like it to snow - it wont
ive got a full tank of oil , 2 log stores full of wood and a working 4x4.
thats as good a guarantee as any that it wont be bad 😀
Well I'm convinced.
The point of the blog isn't to convince anyone, it just talks about weather forecasting and the data that's there. It's interesting, that's all.
i still live in a draughty old house with all the insulating properties of a wet vest.
i guarantee it'll be chuffing freezing, from now until June (remember May-vember? - Bbrrr...)