 You don't need to be an 'investor' to invest in Singletrack: 6 days left: 95% of target - Find out more
For tomorrow- which one(s) are good to look at?
ask me on saturday.
None.
Yr.no
All - weather's fairly stable just now, isn't it ?
Look at many - if they're consistent then there's a chance they may be close, if they differ then take your pick. Yr.no, xcweather and met office are a good start followed by raintoday in the morning.
Though tomorrow I reckon Channel 9 weather might be right.
Yr.no has often been crazily wrong for me, I got the impression I'm getting the weather for a different continent or something, some databasing error rather than a forecasting error maybe?
xcWeather has been good for the past 6 or 7 years. Played with YR.no but gone back to XC.
[img] 
[/img]
the Beeb have had a shocking run lately.
'watch out for heavy rain over the next few days'
[plans altered to suit]
[heavy rain arrives in the form of lovely dappled sunshine]
yr.no seems to have been most accurate for me recently.
XC weather? http://www.xcweather.co.uk/GB/forecast
Ah Peebles just looks overcast/grey tomorrow aft compared to the other sites saying rain 🙂
yr.no got me hooked due to the way it shows the data but it was just wrong most of the time. Badly wrong.
I use BBC most of the time after a lot of trial and error with other sites but to be fair they seem to only get it right the night before.
I live in Cumbria if that add's anything.
XCweather are pretty good at present. The BBC seemed to have employed someone with the outlook and positivity of Blakey to generate their recent forecasts.
I don't pay that much attention, but is it just me or do all BBC weather forecasts start out relatively extreme, then calm down as the day approaches? So apocalyptic rain becomes light rain, mad heat becomes a nice day...
Weather forecasts change by the hour.
For example when I looked this morning the forecast tomorrow for me was heavy rain all day, its now changed to light rain with sunny intervals.
Toady was supposed to be wall to wall sunshine - its been cloudy all day.
I've noticed weather forecasts on tv now seem to be more of a weather review, tell you what the weather has been like that day - now what use is that.
Basically don't plan any activity round the weather forecast.
All the forecasts were predicting armageddon last Saturday. We went riding anyway and you know what? All the forecasts were 100% correct.
All the forecasts were predicting armageddon last Saturday
I went out on the road bike at the crack of dawn. Over in Hudds- all day it was bloody nice weather!
Eh- XCWeather (in the space of an hour) have revised tomorrows forecast. Surely they look at cloud/rain movement and can forecast better?!
Met office is one of the world's best (if not THE best), and they have local knowledge.
Some types of weather cannot be forecast accurately by anyone, currently. So watch the BBC video forecasts on telly or online - they will tell you where there's uncertainty and explain that you might get a shower in your town, you might not - it's impossible to predict. They can only predict that there will be showers in your region.
The problem with websites is that people want a simple answer where there isn't one. So their computer algorithms have to pick a single icon for the whole day and that's really the issue.
I work in an area which relies very very heavily on accurate forecasting to potentially save lives and businesses
We don't use anything but the Met Office. Best in the world at predicting the weather - they have to be because ours is so variable it's crazy.
Saying that, the weather at the moment is the worst kind to have to predict. Temp is accurate but you can't tell if that big cloud above you in the otherwise blue sky will turn into a thunderstorm pretty soon - extremely unpredictable.
I've found [url= http://weatherspark.com/ ]Weather Spark[/url] to be very accurate, and it gives you a choice of multiple forecasts so you can give yourself a good idea of what's going to happen. Combine that with an easy to use interface that still presents an enormous amount of data in a readable way, and that's why it's my favorite. None of this single icon per hour vagueness, instead it gives you cold hard data about exact amounts of predicted rain, cloud, sun, wind, everything you could ever need.
molgrips - Member
Met office is one of the world's best (if not THE best), and they have local knowledge.
Plus the biggest computer...
I work in an area which relies very very heavily on accurate forecasting to potentially save lives and businesses
*ponders*
Are you an ice cream man?
The BBC seemed to have employed someone with the outlook and positivity of Blakey to generate their recent forecasts.
A pessimist is rarely accused of raising peoples' expectations, or so the Beeb hope.
Weather Pro app on my phone seems pretty good. Yr.no is generally good but sometimes spectacularly wrong, as NW says.
Take the overly optimistic xc weather then check the pessimistic beeb and take the midway point. XC is good for wind though.
Met office is one of the world's best (if not THE best), and they have local knowledge.
their forecasts are gash. they can't even look out the window in exeter and tell if it's raining. i'm pretty sure that the mahoosive computer they're running is responsible for it, as soon after they got it up and running a few years ago, they went from 'not bad' to appalling.
they also screwed with their rain radar animation on the website, so instead of displaying the history on the animation over a period of hours, so you could watch a front roll through, and make up your own mind on how fast it was moving, and it's direction, and then laugh as it moved through the current time, only for the front to either disappear completely, magnify in intensity enormously, or change direction and/or speed. guess they found that a bit embarrassing.
sorry, fine institution, no doubt stuffed full of brilliant minds, but they're pretty rubbish at their task these days.
maybe their new, new computer will fix it...
their forecasts are gash
No they aren't
they can't even look out the window in exeter and tell if it's raining
Well that's not what forecasters do it is 🙄
Next day forecast is fairly stable, I just use BBC app (MetOffice). I am also a fan of XC weather as it also has a lot of good "nowcasting" ie you can see what the weather is like now in lots of places, so with our weather coming predominantly form the south west you just check places west/south west of where you are and you've got a good idea about what's coming.
their forecasts are gash
No they aren't
yes, they are, and massively pessimistic too. maybe it's the british malaise? whatever, their ability to predict weather for this area is frankly shocking. maybe they get your area right. HTF would I know or even care?
they can't even look out the window in exeter and tell if it's raining
Well that's not what forecasters do it is
umm, well they ought to be able to take the available data in, right?
Next day forecast is fairly stable,
as well it might be. MY next day forecast is fairly stable!
As my mate who used to buy the fluffy clouds they put on the weather maps informs me, the BBC uses the data from the met office, but has their own forecasters.I just use BBC app (MetOffice).
I am also a fan of XC weather as it also has a lot of good "nowcasting" ie you can see what the weather is like now in lots of places, so with our weather coming predominantly form the south west you just check places west/south west of where you are and you've got a good idea about what's coming.
can you send them the link? think they might find it useful.
yes, i've been at the rum. 😳
As Robdob says, get a load of this: UK weather is chaotic, very chaotic, often very difficult to micro forecast. BBC use Met Office I thought? anyway, I consult a few forecasts (MetOffice, XC Weather, MWIS, BBC) and then make an educated decision (I think they are all Met Office based with some interpret on the data). Personally, I think Met Office are the best of an occasional hit and miss job. yr.no looks nice presentation, but I don't see the advantage in relying on forecasting for the UK from Norway. Surely their micro accuracy is going to be somewhat degraded to Met Office accuracy?.
However, I do understand what some people are saying. I live in a town where there is a Met office weather station and I've sometimes experienced the massive difference between met office website forecast and the actual current ground conditions, which they are recording at our local weather station. There doesn't appear to be instant updating based on actual conditions from weather stations.
There doesn't appear to be instant updating based on actual conditions from weather stations.
There isn't an instant update of the actual forecast, no. What would the point of that be?
On the BBC website there is a 'current conditions' box on the right hand side if you don't have a window to hand.