Weather forecast - ...
 

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[Closed] Weather forecast - that big 'puter in Exeter.

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All i want is forecast at (say) 9am, for the next two hours at the level of accuracy of "will rain/wont rain".

Just for the area of, say, Manchester Airport.

That, it appears, is too much for the Met Office's big 'puter to predict.

I demand my money back and an immediate return to using seaweed.


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:05 am
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They haven't turned it on to save money

Or......

The fake climate change numbers in it mean that the forecast is likely to be wrong

Or....
Climate change means the climate models Don't work


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:09 am
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You could use Manchester Airports own weather forecast thingy webby doodah.


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:13 am
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Or it's still being built and not due to come on line for another year or so, if I remember the news stories correctly.

Try YR.no (Norwegian met office) website. They must have the new computer turned on already because their forecasts are much more more reliable and detailed IMO.


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:15 am
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Work it out yourself...
http://www.raintoday.co.uk/


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:16 am
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Have you looked at the met's rain radar?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/map/gcnhudru8#?map=Rainfall&zoom=7&lon=-2.88&lat=51.47&fcTime=1438812000

or

http://www.rain-alarm.com/
If you have an Android phone, Rain-alarm is a bundle of fun.


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:22 am
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Raintoday it is then.

There must be a jolly clever reason why those white coated, backroom boffins can't crossmojonate the radar returns with their "so called" forecast... 🙂


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:25 am
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Thanks all, btw!


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:26 am
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Its manchester, 70:30 it will rain no matter what..


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:29 am
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why not ask anyone on here that lives in Manchester to keep looking out the window and feed you live weather reports?


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:42 am
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Sorry, double post


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:42 am
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I can do a nowcast - I'm after a "in a bitcast" for quick spin around the airport/Styal/Lindow Moss. 😀


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:54 am
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yr.no are good in the areas they're good but I suspect there's something wrong in their mapping, sometimes you get local forecasts that just seem to be for someone else entirely. Like, in peebles it's snowing and in innerleithen it's warm and sunny

"what's the weather like here in 2 hours" is barely forecasting, it's just nowcasting whatever's happening 2 hours away in that direction.


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:55 am
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[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 10:58 am
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Hourly met office forecast data for Manchester airport for today. Only a 10 percent chance of rain

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/forecast/gcqrs3mr5. If you are struggling tweet them on @metoffice


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 11:02 am
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Piddling down (again) about 3km from the airport. 10% seems optimistic!


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 11:22 am
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Thinking about it - "10%" chance of rain for Manchester? Have they ever [i]been [/i]to Manchester?


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 11:28 am
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I was caught out by the Met Office this morning. Dry morning, rain afternoon was the prediction. Cloudy at home but dry so I set off - half way up long hill the drizzle starts. Proper wet I got too. Comparatively nice in Buxton now so I am another disgruntled 'customer'.

Meh.


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 11:29 am
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WeatherPro bites the Met Office. It's MeteoGroup's weather app, and it's pretty damned accurate, and you can subscribe to get hourly forecasts, along with more specialised weather forecasting, and the satellite and precipitation radar are very good.
Been using it for as long as I've had a smartphone, about seven years now.


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 6:15 pm
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I use an aneroid barometer. Tap it and it's always been accurate up to 12 hours (tap, needle moves anti-clockwise, getting worse, moves clockwise, getting better).
basically, it's seaweed but more decorative
EDIT - close your windows overnight then open them. If the curtains blow out, the 6 hour forecast is worse than it is now. If the curtains blow in, weather is improving.
These are both highly localised, so likely to be more accurate in the short term and local vicinity than the national forecast, but way off outside a 5 mile radius


 
Posted : 06/08/2015 9:03 pm
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The Met Office short term weather forecast are a lot more accurate than their climate predictions. In 2004 they predicted a 0.3C rise in global temp by 2014. Actual rise close to zero.


 
Posted : 07/08/2015 10:55 am
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irc- hopefully you don't need it explaining to you why climate predictions for ten years ahead are much more likely to go wrong than a prediction of weather in the next 24 hours?

If you particularly want a specific weather forecast for a time and an area you can phone the Met Office. Hot air balloon people in particular do it a lot, requesting a weather forecast for a specific field at a certain time.


 
Posted : 07/08/2015 10:59 am

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