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Seems our southern forumites are in for a breezy night and morning.
I'm noticing today that at work our Scottish schools have cancelled training today and tomorrow earlier today or even yesterday - but it's been end of day today before southern staff were reporting the same...
We had a text from school saying they will review the weather overnight and let us know whether school will be open tomorrow
They end it saying “ We would ask families to make any decisions to travel based on safety and your own assessments of the weather conditions.”
He’ll be in 8:25 on the dot 😂
One school closed (Lewes) one open for my two. Looks like we might get 70mph overnight where I am.....so I spent this evening moving the garden furniture, checking there wasn't anything around that could blow into my windows etc, whilst several of the neighbours have just put their bins out.........
News peeps and weather bods getting all excited. Lots of "Could/May/Might" prophecies of doom. I feel for anybody in for it, especially the boat owners and sea front properties who are at the sharp end. For once, it looks like Cumbria should get away with it this time🤔. Good luck folks, mitigate the damage as best you can.
Lots of “Could/May/Might” prophecies of doom.
tbf forecasting weather isnt easy, its all probabilities but this one has a range of models including some that should have people worried.
https://twitter.com/TheSnowDreamer/status/1719766749183111282?t=5TkkdtccoVtLje0b_IdOIw&s=19
https://twitter.com/Met4CastUK/status/1719760034253443326?t=4RQTYUy2zhFLhetqtY1OVQ&s=19
I'm very worried about the leak in our roof, could be a long night including buckets & bowls. I somehow suspect the roofer we have booked for 8:30 tomorrow might cancel....
OP, it’s Ciarán.
@kimbers. I know, I bow to superior knowledge, especially where Met Office forecasts are concerned. I was merely commenting on the barely restrained glee shown by Mary Nightingale and the forecasters. Weather makes news🙄.
The MetOffice doesn't do the weather forecasts for the BBC, Meteogroup do.
I will leave it up to you to decide whether it's a good thing or not for the state meteorological office not to provide the weather forecast for the state broadcaster.
Interesting weather patterns last few weeks. Normally you'd expect this kind of thing to track in above Scotland rather than up the Channel, and warmer seas this year mean that they are picking up more energy as they roll along too.
I wonder if we could get disrupted enough patterns eventually for tropical cyclones to curve back and keep gathering energy and make landfall as hurricanes in Europe?
FFS. Pedant alert. The lovely Mary works for ITV, not the state broadcaster. And yes, Meteogroup, not Met Office. Sorry, I can't drop the habit of a lifetime...fisherman here🙄.
Here’s hoping it doesn’t take much more of my garden, the dog is running out of favourite shitting spots…
https://twitter.com/MilesKing10/status/1718307654798397857?t=qN0KVkSDu6AFnNLhFOxRAg&s=19
952mb is a REALLY low pressure system, that's not far off the lowest ever recorded.
Looking wild in Dawlish
Interesting weather patterns last few weeks.
Last few years. We had Southerlies and Northerlies for months in the last couple of years. This year, the last two depressions moved due north I think.
Note to self: Mary Nightingale is not Annie Nightingale. 🙂
Incidentally, the Met Office do provide the weather forecast for ITV (and C4 & C5).
Oof. I take it they've had to suspend the train service then...
Lots of Southampton schools already said they are not opening tomorrow, which will mean a fair few parents needing to take day off work.
Wind picking up here a bit this evening, expected to be worst around midnight and then a not quite so bad spell around lunchtime tomorrow.
Take care if you have to go out in it.
It will be like that 100mtr in front of my house around 0100. High tide and a pushing southerly gale will batter the shingle bank protecting the island square on .
If it breaches then we will have localised flooding in the road and maybe where I park outside my home. The Wheely bins will be swimming laps of the car park whilst my roof tiles visit next doors cars windscreen
Are they predicting a storm surge? It seems to be pushing straight up into the funnel between Dungeness and France. High tide at 0300 or so.
South coast from Southampton up into Kent is going to take a direct hammering, according to Ventusky.
According to Windy.com, it’s hitting 49-50 mph between the Channel Islands and Portland Bill at the moment. I can hear it starting to gust a bit around my chimney, or at least where it used to be.
Further out it’s hitting 70 mph now!
For some reason someone built a house on the beach in Eastbourne.
This is from a video that my brother sent me last week.
His front "garden" disappeared after a mild wind.
God knows how well he will sleep tonight.
n0b0dy0ftheg0at
Lots of Southampton schools already said they are not opening tomorrow, which will mean a fair few parents needing to take day off work
Wind picking up here a bit this evening, expected to be worst around midnight and then a not quite so bad spell around lunchtime tomorrow.
Mixed bag nearer us (Fareham/Portsmouth). My sons' school is shut (but online work set), at least one local school intending to open as far as I can tell from Facebook, wife's work says stay home, told my team to think safety first on the travel.
Seem to be prepping it as having the potential to be the worst storm down south since Oct '87 - MrsMC's village was cut off for a week after that.
I started working for an insurance claims department on 2/11/87 - worked overtime on my first day.
Currently gusting to 60 knots in Guernsey - predicted to be double that at 5am so its not going to be a restful night! Been through a couple of caribbean hurricanes and its starting to sound familiar. We’ve got a high tide early morning as well so expecting plenty of coastal flooding and i’m not holding out much hope that i’ll still have a greenhouse by daybreak.
Looking at the tides we've got a big spring as well.
4.7m over chart datum (Portsmouth) at 1am and the wind coming round to the South West. That's a pretty unfortunate combination as regards submerging bits of sea front.
Gusts around mid 40s knots (50+mph) at Hayling just now.
Currently gusting to 60 knots in Guernsey
Good luck. I think you're getting some of the worst of it.
News reporters have pulled on their expedition jackets,shit's gonna get real.
News reporters have pulled on their expedition jackets,shit’s gonna get real.
Ah, is this the annual 'let's get our roving reporter Jim drowned on live TV' moment? If BBC Breakfast sticks someone on Brighton Pier at about 7am, it will be 'lively'.
@ElShalimo: Zut Alors!!
Checked the surf report for a laugh just to see how big they are. 12ft!
Not even windy here in Cardiff, light drizzle, then I just thought someone was maybe throwing stones at the window but no, huge raindrops...
Currently the only passenger vessel crossing the channel south of Portsmouth is Galicia, making a brave 17kts with 50kt crosswind on its way to Le Havre. I suspect the toilets will be awash with various unpleasantries and nobody will be sleeping well onboard tonight. Wish they had webcams outside.
I’m flying back into Heathrow tomorrow, and whilst strong, the wind is westerly, so down the runway. My family on the Sussex Coast are hunkering down for the day.
Interesting website with real-time data from wave buoys, tide gauges and weather stations around the South West of England - https://coastalmonitoring.org/realtimedata/
Gusty in midsussex, guessing it's gonna get friskier through the night.
As the wind comes round to the west later, might be a day for a FKT on the SDW.
Stay safe everyone!
Also flying into Heathrow, but just got email. "Be prepared for a Delay"
Windy.com is showing the most intense winds at 70 mph heading directly towards St Helier at the moment. It may go slightly north or south, but I don’t think it’ll make much difference - it’s going to be pretty harsh down there over the next few hours.
It’s fairly quiet here in north Wiltshire, steady rain and about 16-18 mph SE wind. Not much danger of losing tiles or garden plants and furniture, thankfully.
I’m staying with relatives in London and have just been woken up by them scrambling around in the loft trying to find the source of the water that’s coming in through their bedroom ceiling. Probably very bad timing to need a roofer!
Some people in jersey believe they have been hit by a tornado over night. Luckily it seems to have passed a few houses then gone over a golf course so not too much damage.
For some reason I can't share the fb past but this is one of the videos reposted on the site formerly known as twitter
https://twitter.com/Me****chUK/status/1719891194090602678
Been a quiet night on the Sussex coast, was expecting worse. <br />Hoping others had the same experience
Don't count your chickens yet, storm track is along Hampshire and Sussex coasts through the day today. It's sat of Dorset at the moment acc to the BBC
Nothing significant happening just north of Brighton, roads are mostly open, garden has a few more leaves in than normal
Even the grim north tends not to have 3" hail
https://twitter.com/christianrmay/status/1719876397106188755
Woken up to blue skies (ish) in Chichester this morning, was a wet night though. Looking at the forecast it's going to be moving this way from late morning maybe?
"No LNER services between Edinburgh and Aberdeen will operate after 10.30am on Thursday until Saturday in both directions."
WTF.
Previous weekends have seen the same for Glasgow-Aberdeen, and north of Perth.
It feels like Scotland has been without a train service for several months now.
Bit breezy and wet in Devon but my organic veg box got delivered overnight so it’s not that bad…
Nothing to report. Just a windy night with heavy rain . No damage to property that I can see. Was a big sea looking at Chimnet with 2mtr waves at high tide. Might go for a wander up the beach in a bit to see what's been happening to the shingle bank
dantsw13Full Member
I’m flying back into Heathrow tomorrow, and whilst strong, the wind is westerly, so down the runway
Let us know the landing time and we’ll watching your landing on Jerry’s Big Jet TV!
must have been lucky in N London. I woke to rain on the windy and a few gusts at 3am but now it just normal rain and no wind. News seems to suggest we are in the eye of the storm. My friend in Ipswich has 3ft water flooding his road again.
No water doing through our bathroom ceiling, I’ll go up there and see if the towels we used to pack around the leaking area are wet in a minute.
I'm amazed, not just by this but by NA hurricanes, etc. For such massive weather systems that the effects can still be quite localised. I've no doubt the weather in the CI's was horrific overnight, and off Poole and Bournemouth right now is quite different but we're only 100 miles away and there's barely enough to move leaves on the trees.
But as noted earlier, it's not actually here yet
I’m assuming it hasn’t reached East Sussex yet as even next doors bins haven’t blown over
Indeed it seems to me as someone far further north that 60-80mph in a winter storm is extreme but not that unusual further north?
Hurricane Bawbag - we sat in a building listening to sustained windspeed of 105mph with gusts of 140mph recorded at the nearby weather station.
EDIT: perhaps this is a 'Northern & Scottish' storm currently lashing southern England?
As this storm is in the south, there is of course absolute blanket coverage of every wind gust on the BBC…
Oh give over.. a hurricane, with tornadoes in it, in the UK and you're bringing that one out again?
I think they were in Jersey.
It's not a hurricane, that requires not just severe gusts, but sustained windspeeds at that level.
As this storm is in the south, there is of course absolute blanket coverage of every wind gust on the BBC…
Strange that news is reporting on the unusual, perhaps they should swap to reporting on the mundane and run of the mill instead.
The one time all those Chelsea tractors would have been perfect for the school run and they shut the bloody schools!
As this storm is in the south, there is of course absolute blanket coverage of every wind gust on the BBC…
Oh give over - storm Babet got blanket coverage as well, mainly impacting the North.
looking scary in Jersey through the night!
https://twitter.com/Met4CastUK/status/1719980135640596782
Was pretty ferocious here in Cornwall around 4.30am this morning. A lot of trees down blocking roads in my local area.
Been for a beach walk.sea overtopped the manmade shingle bank but only caused limited erosion, the receding waves scavenges the shingle.
No damage to property that I could see. Thing is we usually get 40mph winds a few times each winter so fences etc are built to allow for this.
Lots of seaweed and flotsam up on top of the beach and some big lumps of water moving around.
Wind increasing again, lots of schools off locally but no need tbh although having seen the forecast and depth of the low pressure it probably was the right decision.
So, is £450 to fix a single roof tile reasonable (MIL in Cornwall)? I told my wife that probably, this morning, it was all she was going to get!
So, is £450 to fix a single roof tile reasonable
I just had a 1-2yr repair of my roof valley quoted at £475, a full replacement valley for £11000.
I think yours ia expensive!
So, is £450 to fix a single roof tile reasonable (MIL in Cornwall)? I told my wife that probably, this morning, it was all she was going to get!
Dynamic pricing innit.
There were 1.2 million homes without power in northern France an hour ago. .They're getting it far worse than us.
It looks like coastal stretches of Belgium and The Netherlands will be experiencing peak gusts mid afternoon.
This is not the great storm of 1987, it's not as severe. More like it's annoying cousin with a flick knife and a bad attitude
Is the low pressure centre was 50-80 miles north it'd be very nasty indeed
So, is £450 to fix a single roof tile reasonable (MIL in Cornwall)? I told my wife that probably, this morning, it was all she was going to get!
1 tile = a dozen more lifted, replace patch of sarking or underfelt, replace all 12 tiles and make good, all from an expensive set of ladders and while being able to extract a few more quid due to the demand today...
Dynamic pricing innit.
Pretty much what I thought!
Not convinced he will do the job to Matt's spec though. I have a feeling the magic sealant gun will be applied to the problem.
Two ridge tiles on quite a high apex replaced last year after a storm was £140 - and these need cementing. I replaced the two broken tiles the ridge hit on the way down myself as they were within reach of my ladder for £6!
I just had a 1-2yr repair of my roof valley quoted at £475,
Slow workers. But a bargain in terms of hourly.
So, is £450 to fix a single roof tile reasonable
I used to pay £80 per slate in brighton, for a house with easy access, cash in hand, at the weekend, 10 years ago. Assuming that's doubled due to inflation and doubled again for someone to come out during working hours and put it through the books, you're not far off.
That said, teh tiles should overlap well, so a single tile out of place isn't an immediate concern
Thanks - we're in North Yorkshire, she's in Cornwall, and she'll throw a loop if it isn't sorted immediately, so that's the price.
It's not the most opportune evening to be doing the planned firelighting with the Scouts, I know that much...
It's quiet in Devon (too quiet!)
In fact, looking out the window right now, there is zero wind! Quite a lot of rain though.
Looks like the storm passed us by to the south.
^ You were almost certainly in the eye of the storm. It’s rolled directly over you.
Just cycled home. Bracing.
My father cannot get hold of his sister and my cousins in Guernsey currently. His sisters house is well sheltered and very old, but one of my cousins owns a property nearly on Cobo bay and facing the sea....