So, this volcano, w...
 

  You don't need to be an 'investor' to invest in Singletrack: 6 days left: 95% of target - Find out more

[Closed] So, this volcano, worst case scenario?

107 Posts
56 Users
0 Reactions
223 Views
Posts: 19914
Free Member
Topic starter
 

Continues to erupt for months or years, as it has before. Planes remain grounded, many/all airlines go bust, thousands of jobs go, imports of some goods and post slow to a trickle, related firms go bust. Holiday companies go bust...?

Potential mahoosive problem? (I hope not)


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:15 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Boats?

Engine Filters?

MTFU?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:17 am
Posts: 17
Free Member
 

Even if it did continue for ages I don't think the problem would be permanent - the winds do change direction fairly frequently.

Engine Filters?

<Chuckles at the slightly mental thought of a filter on a jet engine>


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:17 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

they will find a way around it and the idea of engine filters is quite easily put in place but the questions is how long does it have to go on before they do somthing like that....weeks....months?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:18 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

worst case scenario is it remains to be a natural 'act of god' and we end up with no one to blame/sue.

GMTV said this morning that we could blame the French but i'm sot so sure


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:20 am
Posts: 251
Full Member
 

I think they'll just decide that as long as the planes stay below x,000 feet they'll be ok and take the hit on fuel consumption.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:20 am
Posts: 3729
Free Member
 

The eruption may last for years but the glacier that is one of the major reasons why there is so much ash won't last that long. I'm fairly sure that the current weather conditions over Europe are unlikely to last that long either.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:20 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Drop a few tonnes worth of Alka Seltzer in the hole, that should sort it out.

On a serious note, we're meant to be going to the states in June, not now booking hotels till nearer the time, just in case!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:20 am
Posts: 17
Free Member
 

the idea of engine filters is quite easily put in place

Are you aware of the pressure loss a filter capable of removing such fine particles would create and the risk it would pose? No chance in hell it would ever be implemented. We're not talking a K&N and an induction kit here, we're talking engines that swallow tons of air and exhaust at ~60,000mph.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:20 am
Posts: 19914
Free Member
Topic starter
 

Personally, I'd rather not MTFU at 33,000 feet, if that's OK with you!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:21 am
Posts: 10761
Full Member
 

AIUI part of the problem is caused by the High pressure that's giving us such corking riding weather at the mo - that's giving a northerly airflow from iceland to us then spreading it over europe. as soon as we get a decent low pressure with wind & rain come rolling over the atlantic we'll be back to a SWly airflow and the dust will be blown away from UK airspace. according to the [url= http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500 ]ECMWF[/url] that's not looking likely for a few more days yet though.

so, dusty trails or air travel - you can have one or the other...


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:22 am
Posts: 251
Full Member
 

dusty trails please.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:23 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Engine Filters?

piston engines are more likely solution

[img] [/img]

[url= http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rolls-Royce_Merlin ][b]MEATY BOY[/b][/url]

I think i'd move under the heathrow flightpath if every plane had a few of those strapped to it, glorious sound


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:23 am
Posts: 31056
Free Member
 

the idea of engine filters is quite easily put in place

I'm thinking a pair of tights from a really really big girl, stretched over the engine...like if you're hoovering for something lost. Have I hit on an idea?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:24 am
Posts: 2
Free Member
 

Isn't there a risk that the volcano, which is only one of about 4 in the region, could kick off all it's mates which would make the problem ten times worse?

So anyway, will pollution go up or down compared to normal now with no planes in the sky but one dirty great volcano spewing masses of sulphur dioxide out?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:24 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

I'm gonna build a big, unsinkable boat to profiteer from folk needing to cross the Atlantic....
Titanic, I think I'll call her....

Seriously though - it would be a case of back to basics - Easy Ship, Sail Bee, British Sailway* would all be up and running before you knew it... heck - might even promote a overhaul of the railway system...

don't forget Ryan-Walk - charging you to walk anywhere, with a surcharge for using your own shoe leather...

<wakes up, with head in the cornflakes>


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:25 am
Posts: 251
Full Member
 

Are all the Gaia people saying it's the earth fighting back against global warming from air travel?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:26 am
Posts: 17
Free Member
 

piston engines are more likely solution

Not sure piston engines are any less susceptible to the problem, in fact possibly more so, especially as they often use super/turbochargers to get their power up, which effectively has turbines in it too... And none of them are sized large enough to carry anything like the volume of people/cargo that jet engines allow.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:26 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

pretty sure piston engines are fine, there's still piston engined aircraft flying in and out of Coventry airport at the moment and it's been touted as a solution for extremely high priority flights.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:29 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

We'll all be flying about in Hercules soon, arriving deaf!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:29 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

don't hercules operate on turboprops which i guess would suffer the same problem (from my limited knowledge)


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:32 am
Posts: 3729
Free Member
 

pretty sure piston engines are fine, there's still piston engined aircraft flying in and out of Coventry airport at the moment and it's been touted as a solution for extremely high priority flights.

That's probably more to do with the height at which they can fly than anything fundamental about the design of the engine. The fine dust will still tend to clog things up, even in a piston engine and if it is as abrasive as is being implied it would also tend to damage the pistons themselves.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:32 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

worst case scenario - the world will end.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:33 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Im amazed at the fact that the news coverage hasnt been its usual useful over-sensationalisation of the actual facts! When you think how they managed to blow the world out of the water with their credit crunch reporting on what started as a rather inocuous blip on the financial radar, this is back page by comparison!
Its almost as if they have been warned not to report big on this! When you think of the possible ramifications of this should it continue for any length of time, its amazing they arent shouting armageddon!!!!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:34 am
Posts: 6690
Free Member
 

you can't just fly the planes lower. thers still a risk of some ash lower in the atmostphere, and the consequences of losing 4 engines whilst flying low are much worse than at 35000ft.

looks like it could continue anyway...
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn18786-get-ready-for-decades-of-icelandic-fireworks.html


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:35 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

coffeeking - Member
Not sure piston engines are any less susceptible to the problem, in fact possibly more so, especially as they often use super/turbochargers to get their power up, which effectively has turbines in it too... And none of them are sized large enough to carry anything like the volume of people/cargo that jet engines allow.

Incorrect, it's been around for a while now...

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:36 am
 br
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Funny that, I said the same Day One.

Based on reading this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1883_eruption_of_Krakatoa


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:38 am
Posts: 251
Full Member
 

just needs a bit of a spruce up to get it airworthy again 😉


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:38 am
Posts: 6
Free Member
 

What are the actual chances that a plane taking off from Heathrow on Saturday to fly to New York would have crashed?

I've a sneaking suspicion we'll MTFU and accept slightly worse odds rather than allowing the collapse of our civilisation. 🙂


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:40 am
Posts: 19914
Free Member
Topic starter
 

I've a sneaking suspicion we'll MTFU and accept slightly worse odds rather than allowing the collapse of our civilisation.

And I've a slightly less sneaking ffffing suspicion that you're very ffffing wrong old chap! 😉
Well, for me anyway. I crap my pants every time I fly!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:43 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

I blame Thatcher & the miners for the whole fiasco 🙄

My brother in-law who works for sleazy jet (manager on the maintence side) seems quite worried that its going to have a massive effect on air travel long term but the long and short of it is that we just don't know. Its all down to mother nature and things could be (almost) back to normal within a few days, well except for the back log of passengers stuck around europe 😯


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:54 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Yep I'm with PP on that. I hate flying at the best of times. MTFU is not something you want to do in a tin can at 35'000ft !!!!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:55 am
 hora
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Worse case?
I'd have to go without exotic fruit and source my flowers elsewhere 🙄


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:56 am
 Olly
Posts: 5169
Free Member
 

worst case scenario is somehow it disturbs and sets off Yellow stone and the world goes from being round to kind of "jaffa cake, half moon" shaped and subsequntly develops a hell of a wobble and we all fall off.

😀
win


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:56 am
Posts: 17
Free Member
 

Incorrect, it's been around for a while now...

Yup, and there's thousands of them kitted out and ready to fly passengers everywhere.... 🙂


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 9:57 am
Posts: 6
Free Member
 

[i]MTFU is not something you want to do in a tin can at 35'000ft !!!! [/i]

Isn't the point that you are already putting up with a small and carefully managed risk of fiery death? If the volcano increases the risk tenfold (and I've no idea if that's the right order of magnitude at all - somebody?) then it still rounds down to nil pretty easily. It'll be fine. Especially if there was a parachute under your seat. 😀


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:01 am
Posts: 10761
Full Member
 

Remember though - [url= http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainment/8629160.stm ]every cloud has a silver lining[/url]


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:03 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Remember though - every cloud has a silver lining

That is indeed a blessing. 😀


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:14 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Dust off a couple of Concordes! 🙂 Thread them up through thinner patches of the dust, 60,000 feet cruise, charge what you like, job done, it could pay to keep one flying for special doos! 🙂


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:28 am
Posts: 17366
Full Member
 

Anyone else see a great future for airships 🙂


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:46 am
Posts: 57
Free Member
 

It's not just the safety aspect: it's the damage to the planes. If they have to have new engines / refurbs and new cockpit glass every few flights, it'll make air travel uneconomic.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:49 am
 goog
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

can't the Americans blow it up, that usually fixes things, no ?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:50 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Why hasn't anyone called international rescue yet? They're set up to solve these sort of problems.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:50 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

1143 Dutch airline KLM tweets: KLM test flight Amsterdam-Paris landed safely at 11.40hrs. Technical inspection points out: no problems detected.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:57 am
 hora
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

1143 Dutch airline KLM tweets: KLM test flight Amsterdam-Paris landed safely at 11.40hrs. Technical inspection points out: no problems detected.

Yes, because a commercial operator wouldnt be biased. no sir-ree....


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 10:58 am
Posts: 41642
Free Member
 

Dunno how you check the engine wear after one flight. I suspect the honeycomb the turbines are sealed against is probably the biggest problem, that suff is the reason emirates planes need more services than anyone else.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:05 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Ekranoplan? 500knots, 20-60 feet cruise height and possibly the coolest way to travel! 🙂


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:06 am
Posts: 251
Full Member
 

Channel 4 are reporting that Nato F16's have sufffered engine damage from ash 'ingestion'


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:11 am
Posts: 6690
Free Member
 

... and flying one plane safely is very different to filling the skies with loads of full planes carrying passengers, especially when almost all airports run at capacity with not much spare runway space to cope with problems.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:12 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Ekranoplan? 500knots, 20-60 feet cruise height and possibly the coolest way to travel!

EKRANOPLAN!!!!! Yay! 😀

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:12 am
Posts: 0
Full Member
 

The blue sky on Saturday with no clouds and no vapour trails was wonderful, so more of those please!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:26 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

+1 for Ekranoplans. Absolutely awesome devices, in the true sense of the word.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:45 am
Posts: 41642
Free Member
 

weren't they supposed to be the US's worst nightmare come true being almost completely invisible to radar and sonar?

Untill they found out that they took so much computing power to keep them in the 'air' they had no space left to carry any wepons!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:50 am
Posts: 1375
Full Member
 

Worst case scenario, my 2 year stay in Ethiopia, becomes longer...

I was hoping to come home in a couple of weeks as well...

What happens if my flight is cancelled? Do I get my money back?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:51 am
Posts: 19914
Free Member
Topic starter
 

Untill they found out that they took so much computing power to keep them in the 'air' they had no space left to carry any wepons!

I'd imagine you can get an app for that now though. 🙂


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 11:54 am
Posts: 91000
Free Member
 

Volcanic ash shags planes completely - fact. If you think you can dodge the clouds of ash (that you can't see) then okay.. but I'll not be on that plane.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 12:29 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Ekranoplans are great. But how do I fly to the middle of Europe with one?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 12:29 pm
Posts: 14
Free Member
 

[img] [/img]
[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 12:36 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

clever use of a wide angle lens to make that shoebox look like a room


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 12:40 pm
 J0N
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

That's not a room its the inside of a container.
Now there's an idea for super easy cruise just furnish a container ship.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 12:49 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

but I'll not be on that plane.

Molgrips, earlier:

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 12:49 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Nanny state strikes again. Wonder what the odds are for being on a plane that is brought down by volcanic ash? I'm due to fly on Saturday and prepared to take my chances.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 12:56 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Hardly the 'nanny state' if 'planes have been grounded because there is a clear risk of damage, and of loss of life.. 🙄

[url= http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8629674.stm ]I notice BA want 'compensation' from th EU and the Government for being grounded. [/url]

FFS, so, can I sue the Government if there's a sudden unexpected thunderstorm that means I get soaked, or have to stay at home???


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:03 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

mike-at-dialledbikes - Member
Nanny state strikes again. Wonder what the odds are for being on a plane that is brought down by volcanic ash? I'm due to fly on Saturday and prepared to take my chances.

Well, seeing as there are 2 confirmed reports of planes flying through ash clouds and one was a BA flight that lost power to all 4 engines, I'd say about 50/50. 😛


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:04 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

I have my folding bike. How long to cycle back? [ages]


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:13 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

What’s the difference between the Icelandic volcano and Cheryl Cole?

The volcano is still blowing Ash.

Try the veal! I'm here all week!

IGMC


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:24 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

worst case scenario-loss of air traffic!?!

anybody heard of the Laki fissure? year without a summer etc- global cooling, destruction of crops, worldwide famine, water course acidity...millions will die....millions!!!!

well it could happen thats all im saying, volcanoes are the number 1 risk to human extinction i.m.o.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:31 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

i liked the way Willie Walsh went up on the test flight, i bet the transport union were praying it didn't go well

I bet Willie was wishing they'd gone on strike this week too 😆


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:31 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

volcanoes are the number 1 risk to human extinction i.m.o.

statistically speaking i'd imagine humans present the biggest risk of human extinction


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:32 pm
Posts: 17
Free Member
 

volcanoes are the number 1 risk to human extinction i.m.o.

How do volcanoes stop human extinction?

😀


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:33 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

possibly true, although the chances of total human extinction by humans is lower due to self preservation which would (hopefully) ensure some people survived...unlike the numerous volcanoes, calderas and super volcanoes which are far less forgiving.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:35 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

WE'RE DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMEEEEEDDDDDD!!!!!!!!

Run away, run away...!


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:37 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

😆 if i had the spare time id love to dress like a crazy man with a billboard and spread such optimistic words 😀


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:39 pm
Posts: 91000
Free Member
 

Human ingenuity knows no bounds. See that volcano joke above. Amazing.


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 1:59 pm
Posts: 19914
Free Member
Topic starter
 

OK, I shall start taking bets -

I'm off on holiday to India next Fridey (1st [u]May[/u] - Date corrected for the clever clogs of STW!) evening. Will I -

a) Leave and return as planned - 3:1
b) Go nowhere - Evens
c) Get stuck in Dheli - 6:1
d) Die on the way out - 4:1
e) Die on the way back - 8:1


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 2:02 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

well you'd be a month late for a start


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 2:03 pm
Posts: 91000
Free Member
 

I am about to book flights for 17th May...


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 2:08 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

currently booked to go to barcalona for the gp in 3 weeks begining to think it may not happen


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 2:21 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

currently booked to go to barcalona for the gp in 3 weeks begining to think it may not happen

I reckon it'll be OK by them

as for the GP - that's one of the most boring of the season - usually
so it may be a blessing in disguise 😉


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 2:24 pm
 hora
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Was there an evil lair inside this cave that is no longer?


 
Posted : 19/04/2010 2:24 pm
Page 1 / 2

6 DAYS LEFT
We are currently at 95% of our target!