Referendum Predicti...
 

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[Closed] Referendum Predictions

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If the mods will indulge another thread.

No debate or commentary please just a prediction of the result.

Closest guess wins a Tunnock's tea cake and can of Irn Bru, or something

[b]YES: 53
NO: 47[/b]


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:41 am
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Yes: 68


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:42 am
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i predict a riot.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:42 am
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Yes: 58


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:42 am
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Yes: 49
No: 51

Followed by
Promises of new powers, delivered: 0
Abolitions of barnett formula: 1

I seem to have selected the worst possible outcome, I must be a ****.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:43 am
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No 52
Yes 48


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:44 am
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I have a bad feeling that a last minute burst of nationalism will tip it to a YES, 57 - 43.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:44 am
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No 54 - Yes 44 (yes to try and claim it on away goals)


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:44 am
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No 53
Yes 47


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:45 am
 Yak
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No 53 edit- beaten to it. 52.5 then


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:45 am
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Is the ballot like this
Please tick one..

No we dont want to be in the UK

Yes we want to be independent


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:47 am
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Yes: 54


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:47 am
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I predict that the there will be blanket coverage of it until the end of bloody time.

NO to win by a whisker. Salmond to be fired into space.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:47 am
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The question is:

Should Scotland be an independent country?


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:47 am
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It will be fixed to get the result the gov/scot parliament want!


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:48 am
 kcal
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Yes: 47.5
No- 52.5

Turnout: 86.5%
Spoilt papers - 0.25%


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:48 am
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No 60%


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:48 am
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Salmond to be fired into space.

The cannon was driving through Edinburgh yesterday actually, following some kind of truck thing with loudhalers etc


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:50 am
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Cupcakes say no...

http://www.edinburghnews.scotsman.com/news/scottish-independence-no-camp-win-cupcake-poll-1-3542431

Be interesting to see how close the real result is to this!


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:51 am
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Depends who's counting, sadly.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:52 am
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No - 64%
Yes - 36%

I don't think it's going to be as close as predicted.......


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:54 am
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kcal - Member
Yes: 47.5
No- 52.5

Turnout: 86.5%
Spoilt papers - 0.25%

Your trying to tell me 99.75% of sweaties can write??? 😉


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:56 am
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I predict a lot of very unhappy people.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:57 am
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No - 70
Yes - 30

Just my gut instinct; number's a guess obviously!


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 11:59 am
 kcal
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@flatfish - My likely option is a spoilt paper as I'm not certain of either option, however I'm determined to vote. So my only honest answer is "I don't know". Which would - rightly - be a spoilt paper..


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:00 pm
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No 60
Yes 40


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:08 pm
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Yes 51.2%

if my facebook is anything to go by, or my colleagues with Scottish accents (most of whom don't get a vote), 88%+ Yes.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:14 pm
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No 61. Yes 39.

Arlarses out in droves. 16 yo's forget to vote because Oh look shiny!


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:15 pm
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I expect a swing towards No is more likely than Yes as people are inherent more inclined to stick with what they know.

BUT all it'll take is a stupid comment from someone on the No campaign and that could all be irrelevant.

I really hope it's No though. I'd be very sad if it was Yes.

oh, 52Y/48N. Fingers crossed.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:16 pm
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No 68%


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:21 pm
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54% No, because when has Scotland been good at winning.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:25 pm
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I predict Mel Gibson will be double crossed again. 😉
(52% No)


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:26 pm
 dazh
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Yes: 52%.

FTSE 100: -5%
Stirling: -2%
GDP: Back into -ve territory

Cameron: -100%
Miliband -100%


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:26 pm
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I'm still waiting to hear what Mystic Meg has to say..

No -55%


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:29 pm
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No: 52%
Yes: 59%

Recount denied.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:30 pm
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Or will this be like the Irish vote to leave the EU - vote against what the government want so hold it again and change the question.. 🙂


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:33 pm
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You're expecting the issue to be decided by Friday?

I predict recounts, legal challenges, and an Holyrood UDI within five years.

Not to mention a lot of aggro.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:34 pm
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No 67%.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:35 pm
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Maybe this was the intention all along - spread discord amongst the populace... Just didn't expect it to end up running this close.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:36 pm
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I predict a massive sigh of relief from the majority of the population who are sick of having to listen to (mostly) ill informed nonsense on the subject.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:37 pm
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I couldn't care less if they stay or go

BUT

As it affects us all then we should all (as in UK citizens) have had a vote

The Yes side has a pretty xenophobic tinge to it IMO

If I was a Scot (though my dad is full on Glaswegian) I'd probably vote Yes to have as little to do with the Tory toffs as possible

I find Salmond and Sturgeon utterly repulsive

Why is the yes campaign led by a couple of fish...? 😕


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:43 pm
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No 51.5%

edit- well I bloody hope so at least 😉


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:43 pm
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No 52%

Not even the majority of Scots are daft enough to swallow Salmond's BS whole, though no doubt the agitators will have their shoulder chips enlarged almost exponentially. Nothing good was ever born out of nationalism.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:45 pm
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58% N0


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:46 pm
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I reckon a bigger no vote than predicted and that will be that. not that i have a vote but i don't think the opinion polls are that accurate for this particular issue and that there are more "no" voters that have said yes when asked as they may want to be seen to be pro independence and i don't think it works the other way round. people generally like stability and being able to plan a bit ahead and will tolerate a lot of crap because its the crap they are used to....


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:51 pm
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Your trying to tell me 99.75% of sweaties can write???

Ah the ironing. 😀


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:54 pm
 edd
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No: 50.8%


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 12:58 pm
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Score draw followed by big fight which the yessers win so fewer noerrs followed by another vote which the yessers win.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:09 pm
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Based on my office, No 100%!


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:11 pm
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bunch of bloody fence sitters.

Im in.

No - 87%
Yes - 13%

whats the prize anyway? winner takes all or a three way split


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:11 pm
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Sadly not a real image:
[img] [/img]

I think our (rest of UK) could have done a better job sooner of showing the Scots we want them to stay. Fingers crossed.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:12 pm
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BUT all it'll take is a stupid comment from someone on the No campaign

They had some muppet Tory student from Aberdeen University on 5Live doing that this morning. Prick.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:13 pm
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@jim bo and @a505 excellent 😀

No 56
Yes 44

Turnout lower than expected, 75%
AS to claim its been a victory for Scotland


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:14 pm
 tomd
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59% No 41% yes

I think the Yes campaign has been quite in your face, but the majority of people I know are quietly wishing it would all just go away and are bemused about how the referendum came about in the first place. That said, either way I don't think it will do the country any good.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:17 pm
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If yes get in does that mean I'll need my passport to go to Glentress..? 😕


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:19 pm
 tomd
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If yes get in does that mean I'll need my passport to go to Glentress..?

No you'll just be shot trying to cross.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:22 pm
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No it means you'll have to ride in England, work out your own routes, and - gasp! Horror! - ride your bike UP a hill...


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:25 pm
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No 60. And then the worlds biggest Edinburgh Defense when Salmond claims he didn't really mean it and he was just trying to get more concessions from Westminster


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:31 pm
 hora
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/events/scotland-decides/poll-tracker

Just how accurate are these polls though compared to the outcome?


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:32 pm
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and the only prediction that will hold true is that there will be a lot of miserable Scots when it's announced and it will all be somebody elses fault 🙂


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:33 pm
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59% No 41% yes

I think the Yes campaign has been quite in your face, but the majority of people I know are quietly wishing it would all just go away and are bemused about how the referendum came about in the first place. That said, either way I don't think it will do the country any good.


I hope you are right, it came about by voting the SNP into a majority - IMO it was inevitable AS wuold press for a referendum until it was granted. No I don't think it will have done Scotland any good, the divisions will roll on for some time.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:33 pm
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Just how accurate are these polls though compared to the outcome?

@hora we will answer that on Friday, or possibly Thursday night after the exit polls as those are traditionally very accurate.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:34 pm
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will be steering well clear of the book of farce on Friday (and the weekend)

dunno how long the count will take? (assume highlands and islands may take a while to bring all the ballot papers in?)


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:36 pm
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Around 7am was mentioned on the BBC lunchtime news


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:42 pm
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They reckon they'll have the results by 7am Friday morning!

tsk


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:43 pm
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I'm voting no. Previously I thought it would be 51% No but now I reckon 60% yes. My only hope is that the yes group are simply more vocal and that's making them seem more popular than they are.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:44 pm
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55% No 45% Yes


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:48 pm
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I'm voting no. Previously I thought it would be 51% No but now I reckon 60% yes. My only hope is that the yes group are simply more vocal and that's making them seem more popular than they are

+1


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:48 pm
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I've got a friend on suicide/ going postal watch in the event of a no vote. I genuinely fear for his sanity and the phrase swivel eyed loon was never more appropriate.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:50 pm
 Sui
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NO, because i don't think the general public in Scotland are that stupid.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 1:58 pm
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N 54%
Y 46%

Kinnock effect - in the cold light of the ballot box, voters will not be able to bring themselves to vote for financial meltdown for the sake of a thistle on a passport.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:02 pm
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I predict Edinburgh goes **** mental because several of the more notorious pubs are open til 5 or 6. Once they close there's only 2 places in the city for people to go until the bars open again at 10 AFTER the result is announced.

I'm staying in. There will be idiotic, patriotic, spastic carnage.

Yes we were laughing about that in the office earlier. I think you should get a No t shirt on and go join in and be our roving reporter and see what happens to you 🙂


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:02 pm
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I'm staying in. There will be idiotic, patriotic, spastic carnage.

Not the most PC post ever !

You are right though, I think in all the celebrating/comiserating there will be fatalities through excessiveness drunkeness and/or stupidity. I could easily imagine some quite unpleasant confrontations too.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:06 pm
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56% in favour in breaking the union

I'll be sorry to think of Scots as foreigners


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:13 pm
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Yes....you won't see many No voters out celebrating. They'll all stay at home and have a quiet cup of tea I fancy.


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:13 pm
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52/48 for a no

There will be idiotic, patriotic, spastic carnage.

😀


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:15 pm
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52/48 either way - X the legacy will be a divided and bitter population or not ...


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:17 pm
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No 57


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:18 pm
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There have already been abuse and bomb threats made to No supporters, so it could get very ugly.

I'm staying this side of the wall till it all dies down.

https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/aberdeen/346635/north-east-firm-received-bomb-threats-over-referendum-views/
http://www.itv.com/news/2014-09-16/i-have-a-confession-to-make-i-am-not-enjoying-covering-the-scottish-referendum/


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:24 pm
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53N
47Y


 
Posted : 17/09/2014 2:26 pm
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