[Closed] Raptors being shot and poisoned in large numbers.

predictable behavior. they are utter shites.

However given the number of tagged birds the evidence is going to be there and this must surely mean the end of intensive grouse moors.

Licensing is on its way and that alters the burden of proof. They will get theirs.

Yep all grouse moors around where I live and in 4 years of being out weekly I have seen a raptor once - a little owl in 2016. It's just amazing that there's a plentiful food source, lots of open moor and woodland for them but not a single buzzard / kite / harrier etc.

A few times through last winter and spring the idiots burnt the moors when there was an inversion, sending clouds of smoke down the hill covering the town. I was a bit wheezy, it was awful for anyone with serious respiratory issues. It did cause a bit of a fuss locally. The grouse moor fans main arguments were:

- It employs people. Yes all 3 of them. The nearby chemical plant that employs 500+ would be shut down in an instant and prosecuted if they blanketed the town in smoke for several days because it boosted their production to burn stuff. It would make national or even international news.

- We've always done it. The old appeal to tradition, justified on the basis of the 3 jobs noted above and that purple heather looks quite pretty. No note of opportunity cost of using the land in this way, or other harms.

- You just don't understand our country ways. The last stand of the fox hunters and grouse botherers.

I though there was something about them having a period of time to demonstrate they could self-regulate, and if they can’t, licensing will happen?

Not surprising,

and this must surely mean the end of intensive grouse moors.

What have you been smoking...How many seats advantage does this Tory government have again? Oh yeah, that's right; 80. Nothing will happen .

Friend of a friend story but...

A mate told me of a friend of his who works in environmental protection mainly around fish farms.

He said that from the beginning of lockdown people were taking the opportunity of decreased scrutiny to engage in all sorts bad and even illegal practice. This sounds much the same.

Did you think all of those path closure signs were about preventing infection?

Nickc
It's a devolved matter. It will happen in Scotland and much of the land in England is leased not owned so landlord can stop it

I've a real concern that as we get back out into some 'wild' places, paths will remain 'closed' and some landowners will use the opportunity.

I've one local desolate moor I can think of already, who have multiple police warnings over the last 10 years.

It came from the RSPB so I don't believe one single word of it.

RSPB making an advantage for themselves probably.

The shooting industry knows that the evidence of their complicity in wildlife crime and flood exacerbation is now very compelling.

It feels like they've seen covid as an opportunity to eradicate their raptor problems en masse, almost like their industry bodies have said go for it.

It’s a devolved matter. It will happen in Scotland

Not while Fergus Ewing is still in Government. 😁

Let me start by emphasising that I am utterly against the practice of Raptor Persecution. It is utterly abhorrent and unnecessary. It's a legacy of greed and callous disregard for nature, and I am aware that it does persist in certain areas. The majority of the UK's shooting organisations oppose it vocally, and encourage their members to report and disassociate themselves from estates and organisations where such criminality is suspected.

That said, take a moment to think about a slightly different perspective. Organisations such as the RSPB, Raptor Persecution UK and LACS have a history of deliberate misinformation. Their agenda is to stop the practice of game shooting, and have gone about this in a number of ways. Raptor persecution has become a poster boy for further attempts to draw public opinion towards their stance, and at a time when the shooting community is trying to put its house in order, this current release smacks of just such an example.

At this time of year farmers and sporting landowners are waging a campaign of predator control to protect livestock, crops and indicator species such as ground-nesting birds. Corvids and foxes can and do cause immense harm to lambs, nesting songbirds, poultry, and ground nesting birds such as plover, curlew and grouse. Trapping and shooting foxes and corvids are perfectly legal, albeit regulated by means of legislation.

The above organisations are aware that due to the lockdown, a great number of people have been taking exercise in the countryside, and are seeing, perhaps for the first time a Larsen or ladder trap, fox trap or even perhaps tunnel traps to catch rats and mustelids.

By releasing reports of "increased persecution" LACS and Raptor Persecution know only too well that the general public will conflate the two issues, and report the placing of traps as "suspected raptor persecution." Whatever the outcome of any investigation into the placing of the trap, the organisations will use the "increased reports" as evidence that the problem is worsening. They will also use the lack of prosecution as a means to further their conspiracy theories that the landowners are "getting away with it".

Methinks one doth protest too much.
Conspiracy theories abound on both sides of the argument

'Organisations such as the RSPB, Raptor Persecution UK and LACS have a history of deliberate misinformation'

Cite?

Let's be clear, these gamekeepers (for that is who is doing the killing) aren't the brightest buttons and there is evidence through stink pits, tagged carcasses and smashed trackers that raptor deaths are happening. It's not speculation. The statutory agencies do know what's happening.

I live and ride in a part of the country with both more game birds (mainly pheasants), rabbits and birds of prey of all shapes and sizes than you can shake a stick at; its only when I go riding in Yorkshire or Northumberland that it hits me that I never see them as roadkill at home as I do there.......either my local wildlife is so much better at not getting run over or something is keeping numbers of birds of prey* down up there?

*yes I know about crows

There is no misinformation from the conservation side

There is from the shooting side

The data is clear and precise and proves beyond doubt that raptors are killed on grouse moors

It came from the RSPB so I don’t believe one single word of it.

report the placing of traps as “suspected raptor persecution.”

The RSPB are reporting 15 confirmed shootings. That should be easy enough to verify, is unlikely to be accidental and that particular part of the story isn't about traps. They don't say whether that is an increase on normal.

The statutory agencies do know what’s happening.

If they know who's shooting then one should be asking hard questions of the firearms licensing.

Happens a lot in south-west Ireland also, as they have been trying to reintroduce the sea eagle and the farmers poison them, as they fear their lambs will be taken.

Ajaj knowing and proving in court are two different things

Did you think all of those path closure signs were about preventing infection?

I didn't. It was mainly to do with taking an opportunity to exclude people. Either for NIMBY reasons or to engage in nefarious practices out of sight.

I’ve a real concern that as we get back out into some ‘wild’ places, paths will remain ‘closed’ and some landowners will use the opportunity.

This will definitely happen in some places.

Organisations such as the RSPB, Raptor Persecution UK and LACS have a history of deliberate misinformation. Their agenda is to stop the practice of game shooting, and have gone about this in a number of ways. 

That could really do with a citation of some kind.

Fannying around with failed prosecutions for raptor killing is only skirting around the edges of the problem anyway. It's about time these upland deserts were eradicated.

I understood the issue to be a bit of a challenge about identifying those actually responsible too - I might be a bit out of date on this though.

I remember reading quite an interesting discussion that estate owners/managers would essentially push their workforce towards illegal practices, but disown them if caught or prosecuted (but then replace them and start again). Rural workers, according to this discussion, didn't have much choice but to please the estate managers when practices like raptor eradication were suggested/insinuated, as their ability to be employed elsewhere was limited and housing and other benefits could be tied to the job. Not sure how many cases this applies to, but seems plausible.

Might explain some of the complexity around securing prosecution and driving down the bad practices, got to get to the right people? Some of these cases will just be sheer bloodymindedness and stupidity though.

**** game hunting. Same as fox hunting. It's a dinosaur practice.

Scapegoat

You do know that estates where gamekeepers have been successfully prosecuted remain members of the various shooting groups

I'll post up the proven cases of raptor persecution later

I'd like to see some evidence for your assertion that the conservationist make stuff up

Surely the way to stop this once and for all is prison for the gamekeeper AND his boss? That would concentrate their minds? Do they need a licence for a shoot? If so, permanent loss of that, too.
There are millions of pheasants round here (Brampton, Cumbria) at the moment, the roads are littered with corpses. The raptors should be having a field day. There are a few buzzards, but not that many. I saw a Red Kite this morning, being chased off by a curlew though, which was nice.

It’s about time these upland deserts were eradicated.

Absolutely.

I would shoot 3/4 of the deer and end the grouse moor/keeping immediately. They can also stop shooting the hares, help reintroduce beaver and consider some very large enclosures for boar and lynx.

It would also need a 20 year grant scheme to keep the workers employed and estates building a more balanced environment, to the benefit of us all.

After that, another 10 years of support for sustainable tourism and innovative land use.

**** game hunting. Same as fox hunting. It’s a dinosaur practice.

Not even close to similar, it may attract a similar crowd but absolutely not the same.

Has anyone got back with examples of conservation groups making stuff up yet?

No?

Given the vested interests of grouse shooting estates, their clientele and their connections in the establishment, I think it would have been a double page spread in the Torygraph or Mail and/or a high profile court case or two.

I smell something fishy. And I'm not talking about the contents of a recently deceased, poisoned osprey's stomach....

@OwenP Isn't that the whole point of licensing the property rather than the people?

Yes
The point of licensing is that it's both vicarious liability in raptors killed on the estate you lose your licence and it's a civil burden of proof not criminal
Law abiding estates and there are some have nothing to fear
The criminals lose their business

Same lying criminal mentality squirrelking

Er, what? Last I checked it was perfectly legal to shoot game (in season) for one. For another game shooting doesn't chasing it down with hounds before killing it. Then not actually eating it.

So, in response to the original point, no, not at all similar.

And extra points for tarring all with the same brush, bravo. Resorting to lazy generalisations is always a good way to present a convincing case.

Then not actually eating it.

That isnt necessarily true of game shooting either. With the overstocking and changes in eating habits prices have plummeted and been plenty of cases of the birds just being thrown away.

Surely the way to stop this once and for all is prison for the gamekeeper AND his boss?

Scotland has Vicarious liability (no prison for the boss though and very unlikely for the gamekeeper). Sadly it doesnt seem to have had much effect.

It came from the RSPB so I don’t believe one single word of it.

RSPB making an advantage for themselves probably.

I’m still waiting for a verified citation to back that statement up with some facts.
The slaughter of raptors is based on the claim that they cause huge losses of birds bred to be shot by rich people for sport first, food second.
Has anyone been able to obtain real figures to support any significant financial loss due to predation? By this I mean exact number of birds raised per year, minus exact number accounted for by shooting, because there are always going to be significant numbers that have been bred but escape being shot, so effectively remain on the moors, so any predation would really only impact that latter number. Frankly, I’m not at all convinced that predation impacts on the shooting estates bottom line at all, or not to any great extent, because, as a business, they must know how many birds are shot per year, so they know how many to breed to allow for ‘wastage’, ie escapes plus predation; if they can’t work that out, and even I ought to be able to do that, given information gathered over years of operations, then they really don’t deserve to keep going! I mean, just how difficult is it to breed pheasants and grouse in large commercial quantities? They manage to breed chickens and turkeys by the million, there’s little difference, so being able to breed game birds in large enough numbers to sate the blood-lust of entitled ****wits with guns and leave more than enough to cover losses through predation shouldn’t be bloody rocket-science!
I’m sure slaughtering raptors is just a habit they enjoy and refuse to give up, because that would be persecution and denial of their traditions as ‘country folk’.
Bull-fighting is increasingly seen as an anachronism, and will cease to be pretty soon, it’s time that game shooting as an entitlement for the wealthy should go the same way.

I mean, just how difficult is it to breed pheasants and grouse in large commercial quantities? They manage to breed chickens and turkeys by the million, there’s little difference,

Sorry, whilst I agree with your overall point that's just nonsense and shows a great deal of ignorance (and I know next to sod all). For one grouse are not bred in captivity, they can't, so are kept out on the hills. The problem with this is they pick up parasites which can adversely effect them, more so after mild wet winters. This in turn reduces numbers.

Of course that in itself is an argument that they shouldn't be there in the first place.

I mean, just how difficult is it to breed pheasants and grouse in large commercial quantities?

Pheasants not very. Hence why they are bred and released in their millions (no one is quite sure how many are bred and released in the UK but figures vary from 35-50 million between them and partridges and its mostly pheasants). Vast majority of pheasants you will see are captive bred and released although there is a small population from those which make it through the season.
Grouse on the other hand very. Even on a small scale people find it hard and certainly not at the commercial level. So the only real way is to manipulate the environment around the native population to ensure that as many chicks as possible live long enough to get shot and then keep enough back for the next years shooting.

On the predation front. One fairly convincing argument I have seen is that the gamekeepers dont want the raptors around come shooting time since a raptor overhead at the wrong time might spook the targets in the wrong direction or just have them keep their heads down.

Were it grey squirrels, that would be perfectly acceptable it seems.

The artificially inflated deer numbers would suggest that the estates that stalk are keen to rival grouse moors in the competition to see who can **** up the Highlands the most. One thing that I find hilarious is the ranty Etive estate going on about tourists feeding the deer....When they started it. As for the economic argument; Strathclyde Uni studied the economic benefits in 2010 and surmised shooting was worth £23 milion and under 1100 jobs;which is totally wrong according to the estates group who said it was £200 milion.

Were it grey squirrels, that would be perfectly acceptable it seems.

There is a subtle difference between protected species that are at risk and introduced species which arent. Although that said if the gamekeepers stopped killing the pine martins then the grey squirrel problem might be taken care off naturally.

Corvids and foxes can and do cause immense harm to lambs, nesting songbirds, poultry, and ground nesting birds such as plover, curlew and grouse

Right here the Corvid's are doing their own pest control of the invading raptors.
Even saw a magpie join in yesterday harrying a red kite. Presumably it felt brave with the Raven about as it otherwise looked a bit comical.

Squirrelking
The criminality runs right through shooting and foxhunting
Proven beyond any doubt

Right here the Corvid’s are doing their own pest control of the invading raptors.
Even saw a magpie join in yesterday harrying a red kite. Presumably it felt brave with the Raven about as it otherwise looked a bit comical.

Not really pest control, raptors get mobbed by all birds, just to drive them away from nesting areas, which aren’t threatened by buzzards or kites anyway, or at least not in trees; ground nesting is different, because buzzards and kites are ground feeding scavengers. The magpie was probably conflicted with the kite and the raven, because other corvids can and will mob ravens, I’ve seen it happen numerous times, including at work, where there’s a pair of ravens around, along with a bunch of crows, and I’ve watched three crows dive-bombing one of the ravens after it perched in one of ‘their’ trees.
Crows see ravens as just as much of a predator as any raptor.
Can’t work out how to create a gif from Live Photo sequences on my phone yet, otherwise I could post a gif of the crows mobbing one of the ravens, but here’s a still showing a couple of them harassing the raven in the middle.

TJ

Cyclists habitually ride through red lights and don't comply with the law regarding lights etc.
Proven beyond any doubt.

Unfortunately squirrelking the actual data on cyclists shows it to be less than 10% from te only research I have seen whereas for grouse moors the data proves that criminality runs right thru it. Of course with driven grouse shooting its not the guns breaking the law but the organisers but with fox hunting its the hunters breaking the law.

Have you not seen the data? Is it worth my while linking to it or is your mind closed on it? The data is damning. Incontrovertible.

I'll look at the data quite happily but I'm unconvinced that literally every shoot is involved in criminality as you claim. It's as stupid as any other gross generalisation.

Where did I say every shoot? I said " criminality runs right thru it" ( the pastime) and it does. I'm tired and its late for me so I'll post up the evidence tomorrow

Scapegoat
The majority of the UK’s shooting organisations oppose it vocally, and encourage their members to report and disassociate themselves from estates and organisations where such criminality is suspected.

This is laughable

The new Moorland association chair lord Masham of the Swinton estate is a known raptor killer. 2 tagged hen harriers shot on the estate. ( So how many untagged?) One gamekeeper convicted for setting pole traps. He is the new chairman

Using data from 58 satellite tracked hen harriers, we show high rates of unexpected tag
failure and low first year survival compared to other harrier populations. The likelihood
of harriers dying or disappearing increased as their use of grouse moors increased. Similarly,
at the landscape scale, satellite fixes from the last week of life were distributed disproportionately on grouse moors in comparison to the overall use of such areas.

indicating that harriers were ten times more likely to die (I and N) or disappear (SNM) in areas dominated by grouse moors

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-09044-w

https://www.nature.scot/snh-commissioned-report-982-analyses-fates-satellite-tracked-golden-eagles-scotland

Shows a clear pattern of eagle killing on grouse moors

Overall, we conclude that a relatively large number of the satellite tagged golden
eagles were probably killed, mostly on or near some grouse moors where there
is recent, independent evidence of illegal persecution.
46. This illegal killing has such a marked effect on the survival rates of the young
birds that the potential capacity for the breeding golden eagle population
continues to be suppressed around where this persecution largely occurs. In
these parts, mainly in the central and eastern Highlands of Scotland, the
prospects for recovery are poor.

Thats just a couple of bits of the evidence. I'll do some more later

Ok not hard data but backed by hard data

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/jul/01/scottish-government-urged-to-regulate-grouse-moors-after-golden-eagles-vanish

But this is hard data accepted as such by the scottish government

Almost a third of golden eagles being tracked by satellite died in suspicious circumstances, scientists have found.

Scottish Natural Heritage’s report looked at 131 young golden eagles between 2004 and 2016, and found that 41 had disappeared in suspicious circumstances, with clusters of suspicious disappearances arising in six areas associated with grouse moor management

.

Ms Cunningham ( government minister)said:

“The findings of this research are deeply concerning and will give rise to legitimate concerns that high numbers of golden eagles, and other birds of prey, continue to be killed in Scotland each year. There is every reason to believe that similar levels of persecution affect untagged golden eagles, as well as those we are able to track via satellite tags.

https://news.gov.scot/news/golden-eagle-deaths

Widespread use of carbofuran baits to poison raptors. Carbofuran has been illegal to hold for years.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-22846749

https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2011/may/27/gamekeeper-banned-pesticide-fined

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2010/oct/18/hen-harriers-grouse-moors

Where did I say every shoot? I said ” criminality runs right thru it”

You do realise that means as near as the same thing?

I don't have time to read the papers, I'll be interested to see what the distribution of these killings is, whether relatively equal or concentrated in certain areas.

I don't doubt for a second it happens nor do I endorse it in any way shape or form however I prefer to see facts to back things up rather than blanket sensationalist statements. Whilst it's an emotive subject you're convincing nobody by using such unmoderated language.

Anyway, cheers for the links, hopefully I'll get some time to look at them later.

The killings are concentrated on grouse moors. Its incontrovertible

https://www2.gov.scot/Topics/Environment/Wildlife-Habitats/paw-scotland/types-of-crime/crimes-against-birds/Poisoninghotspotmaps/2012-2016

I prefer to see facts to back things up rather than blanket sensationalist statements

I think peer reviewed papers in Nature are as close to facts as we can get.

Scapegoat:

Organisations such as the RSPB, Raptor Persecution UK and LACS have a history of deliberate misinformation. Their agenda is to stop the practice of game shooting, and have gone about this in a number of ways.

And that’s a totally fine position to take. Animals should not be shot for sport, simple. There is not a single argument for sport hunting that holds water.

It needs to be said again. The data that shows the scale and spread of raptor persecution is robust and valid. There is no misinformation from that side

What there is is huge attempts at misinformation and attempting to falsify stuff from the shooting side.

This is also proven beyond all doubt.

You can hide the corpses, you can hide the tags. You cannot hide from the patterns of the data. Laying individual blame is difficult because of the nature of the crimes. Showing that grouse estates kill raptors as a widespread practice and in large numbers is proven

I don’t doubt for a second it happens nor do I endorse it in any way shape or form however I prefer to see facts to back things up rather than blanket sensationalist statements

Whilst TJAgain was incorrect to use the term "shooting" with regards to driven grouse moors the statement is clearly correct and, if you found the time to read those papers, it would be somewhat surprising if you didnt draw the same conclusion.
The history of poisoning, trapping and nowadays mysterious tag failures around grouse moors tell their own story.

dissonance - what term should I use? I guess shooting also includes deer stalking and the like so I see your point

"Driven grouse moor shooting" is one heck of a clumsy phrase. Pretty obvious what I was talking about

FWIW I have no moral objection to killing animals to eat. Even if folk get fun from it and so long as the populations can sustain the number of kills

I live in north west Leeds where there has been a successful Red Kite breeding program going for some time. A couple of weeks ago a Red Kite was found shot dead not far from here.Absolute stunning creatures that only take carrion and are no threat to anyone or anything.

Pretty obvious what I was talking about

It is a clumsy phrase but the problem is people will deliberately choose to misread it and try to divert the discussion.
In addition using Driven Grouse shooting makes it clear where one of the major problems is in terms of persecution and other negative impacts on the environment and separates it out from something like walk up grouse shooting which can be done sustainably and without massive negative impact on the environment.
Like you I dont have a problem with shooting as such but there does seem to be a tipping point where it goes from where someone can spend a day out on the hills or in the woods and come back empty handed but happy to something where the person needs to come back with the deer/suitable numbers of dead birds. Often a commercial thing but not always. Its at that stage that the persecution and manipulation of the environment skyrockets.

Ta

**** game hunting. Same as fox hunting. It’s a dinosaur practice

Squirrelking summed up the answer to thisAlthough I can’t imagine the excitement of shooting pheasant - creatures bred to have the survival instinct of a depressed Fleming.

I personally think killing raptors on shooting estates should be a strict liability offence with the liability falling on the landowner rather than the underpaid hired help paid to do what they are told.

It will never happen judging from the judgements and sentences handed out in the few cases where it has ever come to court in the past

 

Not really pest control, raptors get mobbed by all birds, just to drive them away from nesting areas, which aren’t threatened by buzzards or kites anyway, or at least not in trees; ground nesting is different, because buzzards and kites are ground feeding scavengers. The magpie was probably conflicted with the kite and the raven, because other corvids can and will mob ravens, I’ve seen it happen numerous times, including at work, where there’s a pair of ravens around, along with a bunch of crows, and I’ve watched three crows dive-bombing one of the ravens after it perched in one of ‘their’ trees.

Yeah, it's actually quite fun.
The Corvid's all play their own games and defend their own territories but they seem to have become way more organised against the Red Kites as it's harassed from one to the next. It's like they wait whilst it's driven from one to the next and the lone magpie looked pretty comical. Whereas I can see the Raven is a real threat and much more aerobatic than the Kite the lone Magpie looked somewhat out of it's depth.

Bloody raptors get all the attention/headlines...

It's also many other species. Grouse moors are covered in traps for smaller rodents and trailer loads of hare are shot (and dumped). The estates create a vast desert managed for only one purpose and are pretty sterile other than the grouse, the deer and a few sheep to act as tick mops.

Thing is, we're beginning to see what the alternative could look like thanks to the likes of the Cairngorms Connect project and the great example of Glen Feshie estate.

It is a clumsy phrase but the problem is people will deliberately choose to misread it and try to divert the discussion.
In addition using Driven Grouse shooting makes it clear where one of the major problems is in terms of persecution and other negative impacts on the environment and separates it out from something like walk up grouse shooting which can be done sustainably and without massive negative impact on the environment.

Please don't misread my intent as diversion, it's not, I just don't like lazy generalisations. As you point out, it's the driven shooting that is the issue here and I think it's important that we make that distinction. One is hunting and the other is sport, the two being rather different approaches and set of ethics (and sadly two very different levels of profitability).

My issue wasn't with the term "shooting" (though that's a good point) but rather that all shooting grounds are culpable. I can see sizeable areas on that map with shooting grounds not represented that tell me it is far from endemic, I would be interested to see that map overlayed onto a map of all shooting land, that would be far more informative and build a better picture.

Interesting thread. Having very recently moved from being surrounded by shooting estates (mainly deer stalking but some grouse) I've heard a lot from both sides of the argument and there us no doubt in my mind that the figures produced by both sides can be challenged. I'm no fan of 'field sports' but there would need to be a huge change in management of estates to maintain their viability and relatively small local employment.

Scotroutes - interesting you mentioned an estate owned by Povlsen as a good example. He was not a popular figure when mentioned amongst local estate workers!

Woody - an evidence to support the idea that the conservation sie figures can be challenged?

Squirrelking - the correlation between areas where tagged raptors disappear and grouse moors is incredibly strong. Tagged raptors die in all areas and obviously where populations are higher you do get more deaths. Outside of grouse moors the bodies are recovered usually. On grouse moors the bodies are rarely found. Grouse moors account for almost all unexplained loss of signal from raptors.

Look at population densities of raptors. Angus glens are prime raptor territory but successful breeding pairs are very rare. A few years ago I watched a young pair hunting there. They were killed before they could breed.

Every year young eagles adopt angus glens as their territories but successful breeding almost never happens

Its all out there the evidence. Google it. there is no doubt at all from the distri9bution of the birds and from the tag evidence that raptors are routinely killed all across grouse moors. No doubt at all.

https://www.gov.scot/publications/wildlife-crime-scotland-2018-annual-report/ for example

41 out of 131 tagged birds disappeared in suspicious circumstances on grouse moors.

That link is from the blog but its to the SNH report

Scotroutes – interesting you mentioned an estate owned by Povlsen as a good example. He was not a popular figure when mentioned amongst local estate workers!

Yeah, what he is doing is divisive and going against the old ways. No surprise he has upset a few folk.

Squirrelking – the correlation between areas where tagged raptors disappear and grouse moors is incredibly strong

I think you're misunderstanding my point. I absolutely agree that the disappearances correlate, what I was asking is what % of grouse moors etc. do these disappearances occur on?

ie. say I wanted to claim truancy is prolific in Scottish schools and show a bunch of hotspots on a map of Scotland with no reference to anything else. You wouldn't accept those figures without question so you rightly ask for all the schools to be marked and discover that there are far more schools than hotspots.

I know of no driven grouse moors where there is no correlation. Indeed the opposite is true. The correlation runs both ways in that on any grouse Moor there is an underpopulation of raptors

I absolutely agree that the disappearances correlate, what I was asking is what % of grouse moors etc. do these disappearances occur on?

That shows a misunderstanding of how it works.
The majority of birds dont have a tag. So they just vanish. This isnt helped by the fact some will die through natural causes (although with some species given the level of persecution this may well be a minority).
Those that do dont have constantly reporting tags. If a tag malfunctions generally they should get a hint of it from drops in battery power etc and (aside from the ones oddly chosen for the brood meddling trial) they are reliable. So if one reports one day thats all good but disappears thats a hint the bird has been killed. However a bird can cover a lot of distance during the reporting period. So you cant point at moor x unless the body is found there and even then its not always certain (since there have been cases where it looks rather suspiciously like a bird has gone for a drive).
The flip approach is pick a grouse moor, any one, and see how many harriers and peregrines have survived there.
Or as mentioned above look at who the moorland association has selected as their new chairman. It shows a certain lack of concern about raptor persecution.

That shows a misunderstanding of how it works.

Say something, present a map without all relevant info and conclude that it's absolute proof? I'm not asking for the moon on a stick here, I'm asking for an overlay of evidenced wildlife crime on top of shooting estates. If it's that prolific SOMEONE must have done it.

We have pheasant shoots around here and a good number of buzzards. See plenty of the former in a state of morbidity and never the latter. That doesn't gel with the info given.

I have anecdote to fall back on as well but that's worthless so I won't waste my time.

squirrelking - how about looking at some of the links and or following the data. Its all in there.

You will of course dismiss this I am sure

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0f04dd3b78e544d9a6175b7435ba0f8c

https://raptorpersecutionscotland.wordpress.com/2013/02/12/raptor-poisoning-map-england-wales-2007-2011/

Oh - and once again I did not say all estates - I said the criminality runs right thru the "sport" and it does. There may be pockets of good practice where they have intensive grouse moors with the expected raptor population but I know of none. If you do lets here it but do not try to pretend in the face of the evidence that this is not the norm on driven grouse moors to kill raptors because the proof is overwhelming

another set of maps showing the correlation

edit - crap link

In addition using Driven Grouse shooting makes it clear where one of the major problems is in terms of persecution and other negative impacts on the environment and separates it out from something like walk up grouse shooting which can be done sustainably and without massive negative impact on the environment.

Walk up shooting at least looks like it’s got more skill to it.