Missing RAF Regimen...
 

[Closed] Missing RAF Regiment lad mystery

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[url= http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-suffolk-38267086 ]http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-suffolk-38267086[/url]

Did a quick search but couldn't find an existing thread.

Really sad case - my heart goes out to his parents and I can't help thinking there but for the grace of god (or the assistance of good mates) when I consider some of the post drinking adventures I had at his age. The facts as stated in the linked article really don't add up; which I suppose is why it's a "mystery". Are there any locals on here with any insights?

I think in this kind of a missing person case the more publicity the better...

 
Posted : 28/12/2016 11:27 pm
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I was just thinking about this the other day, very sad. Thanks for the link there is more information there than I had read before

 
Posted : 28/12/2016 11:38 pm
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On reading it yesterday, cameras record him disappearing into a shop bin yard with no other exit and he doesn't re appear. I was a bit surprised that the police discounted the sleeping in a bin for warmth / refuse truck / landfill, just based on the refuse trucks recorded weight. However, I guess you have to accept the officers investigating have enough info to make that decision. I guess you also have to be cautious that the author isn't deliberately putting their armchair investigation conclusion into your mind, for you to come up with the same conclusion.

12 months ago, a lad I knew went out with mates on a night in York, all went back to hotel, probably drunk, he went for a walk in the early hours and has not been seen since. It's thought he probably ended up in the flooded river Ouse, but no idea how and not been found.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 12:05 am
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@ B.A.Nana- the lad in York, was he a Welsh guy?

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 1:46 am
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If he drove his car into town why did he not just sleep in that, it would have been more comfortable than a shop entrance?
I suspect, sadly, its properly related to the storage bins.

On a related note: http://www.missingpeople.org.uk/help-us-find.html

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 1:58 am
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I think he got into a skip for a sleep then it was picked up and went to landfill (despite the weight figures not corroborating that). The landfill hasn't been searched apparently.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 9:52 am
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It is very very difficult to search a landfill, but I would have thought if there was a decent chance that he would be in one they would have done it.

Most bins go to an intermediate sorting site first so he would have been found there - unusual to go straight to landfill.

It really is a sad story and one with such helplessness, to just disappear without trace is unusual nowadays.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 10:05 am
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I worked with a bloke about 15 years ago who vanished on a night out. We'd all been in the pub and he went off to meet some friends, had a good night then left to go home. Was found in a canal a week later, no foul play just an unfortunate accident combining a bit too much consumption and an ill advised shortcut over a lock gate. Kind of like the lad who vanished on the way home when I lived in Southampton; he'd taken to swimming from Southampton over the river Test to Marchwood to save on taxi fares. Never seen again. It seems pretty common really, poor decisions when drunk leading to the worst possible outcome.

Hopefully this bloke turns up unharmed.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 10:09 am
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The area is closed off by buildings and the rooftops have been searched and analysed by police.
It has been proven that an individual cannot leave the area on foot without being seen on CCTV, but Mr Mckeague was not caught on camera again.

Hope hes found as it cant be nice for his family neither.

Assuming the immediate area has been searched, including inside the buildings and any possible falls from roofs, i take it he must have gotten out in a vehicle somehow, be it a lorry bin or mayby another vehicle associated with one of the buildings.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 10:11 am
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It is very very difficult to search a landfill, but I would have thought if there was a decent chance that he would be in one they would have done it.

I know for a fact that atleast one wedding ring has been found in a landfill.

Estimated time and date gives the first clue the addresses in bin bags until adress on bin lorry route appeared being the second then they went down the street.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 10:36 am
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He may not [i]want[/i] to be found.
We had a guy at work that just walked away from everything, a great job, wife, house etc,,
He's still out 'there' now, wherever 'there' is..

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 10:39 am
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I find it hard to believe that people still vanish in this day and age. Within the UK we have the most surveillance cameras per capita in the world. I'm surprised people can't be traced when they go missing.

I hope this boy turns up alive and well.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 10:58 am
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The world, and even the UK, is a big place and once you get rid of your phone, credit cards etc, what is there really to track. Most cameras are low quality (or not recording/not working) and facial recognition, even if it could be done on such and epic scale, is very hard with crappy cameras.

I'm more surprised people are relatively easily located if they don't want to be found to be completely honest.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 11:14 am
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It is very very difficult to search a landfill, but I would have thought if there was a decent chance that he would be in one they would have done it.

His phone seems to have taken that route. Just recovering that and any other of his possessions that could be with it in the same place would seem to justify the effort.

Plod can't be arsed. Must be hard for the family to take.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 11:48 am
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From the BBC description it does sound like his phone may have been in the bin even if he wasn't.

I guess in theory it might be worth searching the landfill for that - but that must be a pretty massive operation.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 11:53 am
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Plod can't be arsed. Must be hard for the family to take.

You're basing that conclusion on what information? I'm pretty sure there was a good reason for not searching the landfill site, rather than 'couldn't be arsed'.

What I find odd is that the bin lorry went to the landfill site with only 15kg of waste, that surely can't be right.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 11:58 am
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I work with Corries stepdad and its fair to say the family has been through a living nightmare since Corries disapearance. The sad thing is the mobile phone companys are refusing to give details of other phones that have pinged back signals from the vicinity of Corries last whereabouts.
My heart goes out to David , Nicola and Corries brothers it the not knowing that must be heartbreaking. 🙁

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 12:13 pm
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The bin/landfill theory seems the most likely one based on what's been made public, however plod must have other info if they're not searching the landfill site.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 1:37 pm
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My thoughts too @stanfree. It should be compulsory for phone companies to give up that data. I am stunned the landfill wasn't searched and searched promptly, the sonner was very obviously the better.

As for people dissapearing there was a lad found dead in a car just off the A3 by Guildford, he had been there 6 months after knicking the car and then crashing off road into a ditch and hidden by trees etc late at night. A stretch of road which millions of cars would have driven past.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 1:42 pm
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Do the police look for bodies if there is no sign of foul play? Do they look for missing people at all, or do they only get involved with kids?

Awful for the family

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 1:42 pm
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A lad from our circle at Uni ended up falling into the River Wear on his way home after one of our drinking sessions. It was November, and there had been plenty of rain, so the river was up and flowing fast. Fortunately hitting the icy water made him come to enough to realise this was a serious situation and he managed to grab a handful of brambles as he was being pulled downstream along the bank. Another 20 yards or so and he would have gone over a weir.

Luckily he dragged himself up the bank and collapsed on the path - to be found thankfully only minutes later by some of his housemates before hypothermia could really kick in. When he had recovered he couldn't remember how he had fallen in the river until one of the people who found him pointed out that his John Thomas was hanging out when they found him. He'd tried to have a slash in the river whilst pissed and nearly died as a result.

It didn't make much of an impression on us at the time as we were being young and stupid, boozing and getting into all sorts of high jinks.

With the benefit of a few years now, looking back, I don't want to think of how I might have been involved in the accidental death of someone else - no matter how innocently.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 2:03 pm
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It should be compulsory for phone companies to give up that data

It depends whether they've refused to give it to the family or refused to give it to the police. The former is understandable, the latter not so much but also the police just need to go to the courts to ask for it I guess.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 2:09 pm
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John Thomas was hanging out

They found a guy in the marina in Cherbourg the same way, he was in his 50's

@atalz yes agreed, I assumed it was the police who'd asked

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 3:33 pm
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It should be compulsory for phone companies to give up that data

Be careful what you wish for.

And I hope the chap is found.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 3:40 pm
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There is more information out there. They conducted enquires at landfill but only one lorry had collected from the site and it weighed 15kg so clearly couldn't have held a body.

His Mother has now said he was "a social hand grenade" http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-suffolk-38457221

All very sad but IMO something tragic has happened to him being hammered.

Police do conduct enquiries into missing people, the level of work that goes into it depends on the category, i.e. high risk more resources thrown at it.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 3:42 pm
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Given the attempt to kidnap a serviceman just before his disappearance, I think the Police will have been checking every possible lead as carefully as they could.

As others have said, if you don't want to be found, ditching your phone and cards and then keeping away from transport hubs and town centres makes it pretty easy. Hundreds of people go missing every year, a good number are never heard from again.

Tragic for families involved left behind whatever has happened.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 4:44 pm
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I can't believe he'd intentionally leave and not take his beloved dog.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 9:04 pm
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Foul play somewhere along the line , foreign or domestic

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 9:43 pm
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Foul play somewhere along the line , foreign or domestic

Without sounding flippant, he's a Rock Ape not a spook..

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 10:03 pm
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Edited - sorry, flippant Rock Ape jokes not acceptable in the circumstances.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 10:52 pm
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Without sounding flippant, he's a Rock Ape not a spook..

The member of the armed forces out running who was the victim of a kidnapping attempt wasn't a "spook" either

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 11:03 pm
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There appears to be other info since I read it a few days ago. They're now saying that a number of vehicles went into the area, not just the bin wagon. So, it's possible he got a lift, dropped off somewhere and then attempted to walk somewhere. Maybe his phone ended up separated from him in a bin, maybe he cadged a lift to somewhere in a booze fuddled attempt to walk somewhere which made sense to him in his state. Just thinking about the stupid decisions I've made in a similar state, which would not have made sense when sober. The chances he bumped into a cold blooded killer are highly unlikely.

 
Posted : 29/12/2016 11:07 pm
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You're basing that conclusion on what information? I'm pretty sure there was a good reason for not searching the landfill site, rather than 'couldn't be arsed'

Such as what? There is no good reason not to go through the bins at any crime scene; only laziness.

And their elimination of a possible site of a body could be based on a faulty load cell on a bin lorry.

If this lad was your kin, you would hope that all avenues were exhausted, and they are not. Plod are not being thorough, whichever way you slice it.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 9:01 am
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If this lad was your kin, you would hope that all avenues were exhausted, and they are not. Plod are not being thorough, whichever way you slice it.

Have you thought of the possibility that the police have more information on this than you? That they have a valid reason for not searching the landfill site due to other information they have that they haven't released to the public.

I honestly don't think the investigating team when considering searching the landfill site mulled it over then thought, "nah it's a bit dirty and smell, we should search it really but none of us can be bothered'.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 10:36 am
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They may have tested the truck and found it was weighing accurately. If it is then it would be a bizarre act to go and search the landfill when all the evidence suggests he isn't in there.

At the same time they may have other more promising leads to follow up on.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 10:40 am
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There is no good reason not to go through the bins at any crime scene; only laziness.

I suspect that closing down and searching a regional landfill site for something the size of a mobile phone, that may or may not still be in one piece, is just a [i]bit[/i] more involved than "going through the bins".

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:32 am
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Have you thought of the possibility that the police have more information on this than you? That they have a valid reason for not searching the landfill site due to other information they have that they haven't released to the public.

I have. I can't think of a good reason. I asked you in my last post for a "fr'instance" and you came up with nothing.

is just a bit more involved than "going through the bins"

Yes.

I know.

Kind of my point.

Just coz it's a bit harder than tipping up a wheelie bin is not a good reason not to do it. His phone could have significant last contacts on it. Why would you not do everything you can to find it?

Oh right, it's [i]inconvenient[/i]

Faith in the police is a creditable virtue. Sometimes, it's misplaced.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:39 am
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For the hard of hearing, or those that can't be bothered reading then I'll repeat.

[i]Have you thought of the possibility that the police have more information on this than you? That they have a valid reason for not searching the landfill site due to other information they have that they haven't released to the public.[/i]

I don't have all the information to hand to decide that searching the landfill site, or not, is the right thing to do I presume the police, and you, do.

To satisfy you I'll give you a for instance - the police know other vehicles entered and left the 'horseshoe' area, they have questioned the driver of one of these vehicles and they gave the boy a lift and for whatever reason the police have not released that info. No idea if that's the case but I had to give you something.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:44 am
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I'm being daft here, but how does checking the weight of the truck help in this?

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:48 am
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The weight of the waste was 15kg, so the bin lorry couldn't have contained a body.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:51 am
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His phone could have significant last contacts on it

Or it could be completely destroyed in a compactor, incinerated, or buried under a few hundred tons of rubbish.

Last phone/text contacts could be retrieved from the phone company anyway.

Faith in the police is a creditable virtue. Sometimes, it's misplaced.

Just the opposite - I'm being pragmatic and realistic.

Unfortunately the police don't have a limitless budget and inexhaustible supply of manpower to spend on a missing persons case, no matter how vexing it is.

Would you like to choose which cases they [i]shouldn't[/i] investigate so they can spare the money and staff to investigate this one further?

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:55 am
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Ah I see. Thanks

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:55 am
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No idea if that's the case but I had to give you something.

That's the spirit; think outside the pyramid.

Would you like to choose which cases they shouldn't investigate so they can spare the money and staff to investigate this one further?

What a singularly daft thing to write. Is there anything more important than some blokes life?

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:56 am
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So why would he leave his phone?

Leave, lost who knows. He was drunk, drunk people do stupid things that make no sense.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 11:59 am
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Is there anything more important than some blokes life?

Other people's lives?

If [i]nothing[/i] is more important then would you be happy for them to devote their entire staff and all their budget to it?

How happy would you be to find out that the investigation into a serious crime against a loved one has been put on hold to look for someone's mobile phone?

All on the slim possibility that if they find it, and if they can access it, then there [i]might[/i] possibly be some small clue on it that they couldn't get from phone records.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 12:16 pm
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The fact that the police have done cell site on his phone suggests they have classified him as high risk, because we can't get those enquiries authorised otherwise.

https://www.app.college.police.uk/app-content/major-investigation-and-public-protection/missing-persons/

It will be a resource-intensive investigation, led by a senior detective, and in terms of staffing, resource provision, tactics etc will be similar to a murder investigation. The fact that it is getting scrutinised by national media and his mother has criticised their response means it will also be deemed a critical incident

https://www.app.college.police.uk/app-content/critical-incident-management/types-of-critical-incident/

which means more hands-on scrutiny from more senior managers. One of those managers will have as part of their responsibility the press strategy. In a case I have familiarity with this went as far as taking independent expert advice on the gender, ethnicity and age of the police officer used to make the statements that would be most likely to generate a response from the target audience (which wasn't the general public).

The decision not to search a landfill will not have been taken lightly, and will not have been influenced by lack of staff or costs.

And just to add to all that, bizarrely the officers involved are normal people with their own families and loved ones, and might just have some empathy with his family and take some personal interest in trying to find someone's missing son...

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 12:24 pm
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>250,000 people go missing in the UK every year

+

Police dealing with biggest ever manpower and funding cuts .....

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 12:31 pm
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And just to add to all that, bizarrely the officers involved are normal people

That's a bit of a sweeping generalisation, I've got a mate who's a policeman and he's not what I'd call normal 😀

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 12:34 pm
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The decision not to search a landfill will not have been taken lightly, and will not have been influenced by lack of staff or costs.

What other factors are there?

Public disruption maybe? But that comes down to costs too surely (e.g. cost to council of sorting alternative landfill etc).

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 1:09 pm
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More surprising to me is that they supposedly haven't searched the empty properties opposite where he was last seen.......

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 1:28 pm
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What other factors are there?

that they might have other information that hasn't been released to the press that meant they could eliminate it. Thought that was implied in my earlier post.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 2:39 pm
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250,000 people go missing in the UK every year

+

I wonder how many remain missing out of that figure per year.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 3:04 pm
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Is there anything more important than some blokes life?

He's either dead (most likely) or has deliberately vanished and is living somewhere not wanting to be found. He's not being held captive and kept alive (but incommunicado) waiting for someone to track him down, neither has he fallen down a crevasse and got stuck, slowly starving over several months (but not dead yet).

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 5:06 pm
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How about he went to sleep in a skip (he was fairly well drunk by the sounds of it) - the skip gets collected, during the drive to the tip he wakes up, attempts to get out of the skip whilst the lorry is driving - leaves the phone behind - falls out of the lorry and gets hit by a car or ends up in a ditch or something.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 5:27 pm
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I took 1SQN out riding in Austria back in 2009 and was coincidentally mid-Regiment officer application, and used the riding as a tool to organise a really useful and interesting site visit at RAF Honington. As it happens I didn't get in due to a recurring injury, but I've taken an active interest in the reg since. It's a pretty tight corps too, and as he was in para-trained 2SQN he would have been at the sharp end of the regiment.

Several friends are also in the RAF and there really is a family ethos to the service.

My thoughts and heart go out to the gunner, and his family and friends.

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 5:46 pm
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I wonder how many [b]want to [/b] remain missing out of that figure per year

 
Posted : 30/12/2016 6:34 pm
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Further update here:

[url= http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-38483180 ]http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-38483180[/url]

 
Posted : 03/01/2017 8:09 pm
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He is gonna be a daddy - I hope they find him soon 😥

 
Posted : 09/01/2017 10:19 pm
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😥

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-suffolk-38559686

 
Posted : 09/01/2017 11:44 pm
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-suffolk-38932290

Police to search landfill site in Milton
🙄

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 3:03 pm
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4 months after the event, when that appeared to be a fairly obvious place to look?
Bizarre.

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 4:40 pm
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Maybe they listened too much to Chief Constable Gary M? Or they found some extra money down the back of the sofa?

Would have been much, much easier at the time of disappearance.

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 4:55 pm
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4 months after the event, when that appeared to be a fairly obvious place to look?

Evidence from the bin lorries weighing system suggested he's not there so it wasn't the obvious place to start.Also I wouldn't consider a 10 day job for a specialised search team to be a good use of resources earlier given that if he is in the landfill he's dead anyway. At the beginning surely its better to focus your resources on the places you might find him alive. Once you no longer think you'll find him alive then look in the places where he may be dead.

Let's say at the beginning there was a 90% chance he was dead in the landfill or a 10% chance he was elsewhere and possibly alive. Where would you start looking?

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 4:57 pm
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ok, fair enough (except the fact that delaying the landfill search makes it much more difficult 4 months down the line. Searching it the week after might only have been a 2 day job for 10 men).

So does the bin lorry weigh each pick-up it makes?

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 5:01 pm
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So does the bin lorry weigh each pick-up it makes?

I believe it is weighed as it leaves and then when it returns to the landfill site so the weight of rubbish is known each time it is emptied. It was apparently only carrying 15KG or so I belive that night which does on the face of it seem implausibly low but I believe it's systems were checked and found to be working. It doesn't of course rule out a one off fault.

If you want to give the impression that someone is somewhere they are not then putting their mobile in a bin is not a bad way of going about it. The police are always going to trace it's movements so should you wish to get rid of someone what better way to give the impression they have fallen asleep in a skip and are now dead in a landfill. Resources are all concentrated on looking in one place. Also a good way to give you time to disappear if it's your own doing.

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 5:33 pm
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It doesn't of course rule out a one off fault.

Or being deliberately tampered with by someone covering their tracks.

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 5:40 pm
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Maybe the weight was wrong ? Is it really normal for a rubbish truck to pick up just 15kg ? If that is the case the route and schedule needs looking at.

Quite why they did not search the such an obvious place almost immediately I just don't know. It's going to be much much more difficult now with an extra months worth of rubbish.

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 5:44 pm
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Quite why they did not search the such an obvious place almost immediately I just don't know.

Someone goes missing and the normal first reaction of people is to think "where" I imagine the first thing the police think is "why" I think that way of thinking is generally more likely in most cases to lead to better results.
And again the reason for not throwing resources at the obvious is firstly that it meant looking for a body not a living person and secondly it was a place made obvious by an action that might have been carried out by someone who had done him harm to divert attention.

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 5:51 pm
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So does the bin lorry weigh each pick-up it makes?
I believe it is weighed as it leaves and then when it returns to the landfill site so the weight of rubbish is known each time it is emptied. It was apparently only carrying 15KG or so I belive that night which does on the face of it seem implausibly low but I believe it's systems were checked and found to be working. It doesn't of course rule out a one off fault.

Just curious- if they are using a weighbridge, then it ignores a number of factors, correct?
I.e.-
How much fuel did the lorry use during the trip? How many people where in the lorry at the beginning vs. the end? Did the spare tyre (?) fall off? Did the washer fluid bottle split, or was lots of washer fluid used?

He probably weighed 70-80kg? So could be quite easy to compensate that weight with a variety of factors that would make the 15kg look incorrectly possible. Stranger things have happened..

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 5:55 pm
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So it's thought he climbed into a bin whilst drunk to get some sleep? Seems unlikely. Strange things happen on a night out I know but climbing into a bin?...

Looking at the area on googlymaps, maybe he got a lift from someone out of the area, hence not being seen on CCTV, but I guess the car would be picked up?

So sad for the family 🙁

 
Posted : 10/02/2017 5:58 pm
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A bin lorry at the centre of the investigation into missing RAF serviceman Corrie Mckeague was carrying a significantly heavier load than was first thought, police have said.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-suffolk-39200319

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 8:23 pm
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Imagine that, it wasn't actually carrying 11kg 🙄

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 8:44 pm
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I'd love to know in detail how they worked all this out.

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 8:58 pm
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It'll be something to do with the fella who was arrested recently, on suspicion of attempting to pervert the course of justice I think.

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 9:02 pm
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"It'll be something to do with the fella who was arrested recently, on suspicion of attempting to pervert the course of justice I think."

I've no doubt of that but if he got his paperwork wrong then how did they get back to the correct figure at this distance in time.

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 9:06 pm
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Ok I accept that I am an armchair expert: But given they knew he could not have got out on foot from where he was last seen, and they tracked his phone on the bin lorry route: This all points to him being in the lorry & the only evidence which contradicts this is the weight of the lorry load. Surely you'd want to be really, really certain that the weight of the lorry was checked and double checked. Someone has really messed this up big time.

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 9:17 pm
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Someone from plod is going to have a lot of explaining to do if they do find the lads remains in that landfill site.

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 9:40 pm
 km79
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Maybe they will never find him for that very reason.

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 10:10 pm
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@km 😐

Sadly of all the explanations this was always the most likely, bad weight info either from a faulty weighbridge or an idiot. [b]I wonder if the bin lorry contract with the landfill site is charged by weight ?[/b]

 
Posted : 07/03/2017 10:21 pm
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