HS2 spiralling cost...
 

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HS2 spiralling costs

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So start where you get most bang for your buck? One of the northern cities and make it the hub both east/ west and north /south

Well it would seem sensible to start or finish in the area with the most money, the most businesses and the highest population.

*gets out map*

oh...


 
Posted : 21/11/2021 6:12 pm
 ctk
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No that's the wrong way round. London is doing fine everywhere else needs an uplift.


 
Posted : 21/11/2021 7:25 pm
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Well it would seem sensible to start or finish in the area with the most money, the most businesses and the highest population.

Did you miss the smiley / winky thing or like that blonde **** in charge do you also think ‘Levelling Up’ is a cheap soundbite?


 
Posted : 21/11/2021 7:32 pm
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An interesting read from Sheffield's point of view. Makes me think more of the project but cant help feel like even if it was brought back it would still be a substandard bodge.

https://www.sheffieldtribune.co.uk/p/theyve-somehow-managed-to-make-it?r=luqur&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=copy


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 9:26 am
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No that’s the wrong way round.

Trains go in both directions. I appreciate the ire here but making places closer to London allows money to flow out of London, not in.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 9:39 am
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Look at it this way, the longest direct Tube journey is Epping to West Ruislip, (55km) and it's only a bit longer than the distance from Leeds and Manchester.

Imagine hopping on a tube network that big that included Leeds Manchester, Sheffield with 200+ stations...


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 9:51 am
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I appreciate the ire here but making places closer to London allows money to flow out of London, not in.

nope - it causes money and jobs to go to London!


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 10:24 am
 kilo
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nope – it causes money and jobs to go to London!

Other than all the jobs that are created when a town expands as it is now a desirable commuter location, you know shops, restaurants, builders, garages etc. And that’s before people in London think why should I pay the London tax when someone in the midlands or north is now more easy to get to than some areas of London.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 10:30 am
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nope – it causes money and jobs to go to London!

Well yes but it's a bit of a circular argument. London is far and away the wealthiest, best connected city in the UK so there are more / better job opportunities there however it's also stratospherically expensive and many opportunities are therefore lost to the people who can't afford to live there so you end up creating a self-perpetuating wealth spiral.

You can argue that it shouldn't be that way, other areas should have had more support etc and that's sort of true but looking back and saying "we could have done x or we should have done y" isn't really going to help any of the northern cities now; besides which it's been that way since Roman times with occasional short-lived exceptions of some of the eastern coastline towns.

So you could provide "levelling up" opportunities for individual cities via grants, development funds and so on but that's still pouring money down the drain if there's no way to get the people and products to and from said northern city (or the only way to do so is via slow, inefficient transport).

Public transport is the single greatest "levelling up" option available. It instantly gives opportunities to people who might not be able to afford to live there full time but could commute in - very similar to schemes like CrossRail which has (or soon will) open up huge chunks of west and east London to fast services directly into the centre of town. It also opens up capacity elsewhere. CrossRail will alleviate all the pressure on the Central Line which can then take all the more local traffic that doesn't necessarily need to go into town. Same for HS2 - it would have taken the majority of the fast stuff that currently goes up and down WC and EC Main Lines and allowed them to run more regional services and more freight.

It's only by having reliable connections to move people and products around that you can develop trade. Just stupidly short-sighted from the Government (plus the standard ineptitude that usually comes with large-scale infra projects in this country). There's the spiralling cost of doing it but the much more hidden and pervasive costs of NOT doing it.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:34 am
 ctk
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Imagine hopping on a tube network that big that included Leeds Manchester, Sheffield with 200+ stations…

Yes. Equivalent spending in the North. It shouldn't be about getting to London it should be about connecting northern cities.

Trains to and from London are X10 better than the east to west services. How about we level up these before we improve the London services?


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 12:50 pm
 ctk
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. London is far and away the wealthiest, best connected city in the UK....very similar to schemes like CrossRail which has (or soon will) open up huge chunks of west and east London to fast services directly into the centre of town. It also opens up capacity elsewhere. CrossRail will

So the wealthiest best connected city has crossrail and HS2 and everywhere else gets sweet f.a.

Best to ignore London for a while and spend all the money elsewhere. Surely towns and cities can hope for more than being a London commuter town?


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 12:59 pm
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Proper interconnection between Leeds/Bradford/Manchester creates something closer to a single entity in economic terms, at which point it can start to attract investment on that basis, rather than being a single smaller city.

Megacity North (!) would be a bit more of a rival to Greater London, and with that comes more influence politically.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:06 pm
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Crossrail isn't just for London. It should mean it's no longer a massive ballache to get from anywhere in the West of England to anywhere in the East of England. At least I'm hoping so.

So the wealthiest best connected city has crossrail and HS2

HS2 has got two ends!


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:08 pm
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London is far and away the wealthiest, best connected city in the UK

There isn’t much competition. I’ve always been amazed by the way people down there don’t think about public transport because its just there. There is none of the normal having to leave somewhere by a certain time because the buses stop running (Round here we call that time Friday).

I can understand ‘London weighting’ on public sector jobs but its the additional funding on public services there on top of that that really riles. Its not a north south thing its a London & everyone else thing


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:11 pm
 ctk
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HS2 has 2 ends and one is definitely in London where is the other?

What I'm saying is let's have some transport plans that don't include London.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:12 pm
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“Look at it this way, the longest direct Tube journey is Epping to West Ruislip, (55km) and it’s only a bit longer than the distance from Leeds and Manchester.“

This is correct - but the journey time is 85 minutes.

By contrast Leeds to Manchester by train takes 45 to 65 minutes so the North is better served than some routes in the South.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:12 pm
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Crossrail isn’t just for London. It should mean it’s no longer a massive ballache to get from anywhere in the West of England to anywhere in the East of England

Try travelling east to west by rail in the north.

If you’ve a spare day to write off.

You’ll need it


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:15 pm
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nope – it causes money and jobs to go to London!

Another TJ fact, but I don't think it's true.

There are lots of businesses in London already. There are lots of people who want to start businesses elsewhere, where they live, where they went to uni, where their families are, where there's countryside, and where everything's cheaper. If they start businesses elsewhere, they struggle to get work from the companies that are already in London because those London based people don't want to travel all the way out to see them, cos it takes too long. This was a constant problem for friends of mine who set up a digital agency in Cardiff. Prospective customers would say 'well come and see you in your London office' then when told there wasn't a London office they'd put the phone down.

If you set up shop in Birmingham and it's only going to take 50 mins to get out from London, or into London for meetings, it's going to help your Birmingham based business. Now, if your Birmingham based business (and loads of others) grow, then that is going to draw work in from other places e.g. Manchester, Leeds etc - provided the transport network is there.

So we clearly will all benefit from a good high speed rail network, but there's nothing wrong with it starting in London, because that's where the work and business is now. But of course it needs to result in a full network, doing a half-arsed job like the current govt is doing doesn't help much.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:17 pm
 dazh
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By contrast Leeds to Manchester by train takes 45 to 65 minutes so the North is better served than some routes in the South.

Competing with Kerley on the Starmer thread for idiotic comment of the week award 🙄


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:17 pm
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What I’m saying is let’s have some transport plans that don’t include London

Like between Bradford, Sheffield, Leeds, Manchester? I'll take that!
What do you mean that's exactly what's been axed?


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 1:20 pm
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It is true Molgrips - check the research. Its been done for HS2 and shows that it will cause money to flow into London = and crossrail is a london only scheme - makes sod all difference to anyone outside london

https://neweconomics.org/2019/03/hs2-will-serve-wealthier-passengers-and-deliver-more-benefits-to-london-than-the-north


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:13 pm
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and crossrail is a london only scheme – makes sod all difference to anyone outside london

No, makes a big difference to me and anyone else who needs to cross London. Which is a lot of people given the way that the network is laid out.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:34 pm
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so only of benefit to people in London then? What benefit is crossrail to me?


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:35 pm
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You're absolutely right TJ. It's not all about you.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:39 pm
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so only of benefit to people in London then? What benefit is crossrail to me?

What benefit is Edinburgh Tram to me?

That's one of the worst arguments I've ever heard. Should everything done in the country benefit you personally?


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:39 pm
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TJ, I'm skimming the report now. I notice that the number in the link you posted - more benefits going to London than elsewhere - might be derived from this bit:

It is made clear in the DfT’s economic
case for HS2 that more of the benefits
of the scheme will accrue to London
than any other part of the country. The
most recent assessment finds that 40%
of the transport user benefits of the full
network will go to London, with other
regions lagging behind: the north-west
receives 18% of these benefits, the West
Midlands 12%, and Yorkshire and the
Humber 10%.80

I'm not sure you can conclude from that that money is going to be flowing into London.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:47 pm
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Correct - thats money flowing from the rest of the country into london - very simple and clear same as crossrail only benefits london. Westminster tried to get crossrail put thru as UK strategic spending so that they did not have to give the devolved governments the barnett consequentials for this spending - eventually they had to agree it was not UK strategic spending as its only benefits are in london.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:50 pm
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so only of benefit to people in London then?

Mate, people need to cross London when they travel TO it! The stations in London are around the edge, they all terminate in a ring around the central area. This means that if you need to get from Cardiff to say, Canary Wharf, it takes about half as long to do the last 10 miles as it does the previous 140 miles. This could be slashed by Crossrail, making other parts of London more accessible.

It sounds like you haven't got a lot of experience of business travel and what it means for businesses.

Correct – thats money flowing from the rest of the country into london

No, economics isn't a zero sum game. London benefits 40% and the rest of the UK er 60%. Which is more.. but they all get MORE than before it was built!


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:51 pm
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What benefit is Edinburgh Tram to me?

That’s one of the worst arguments I’ve ever heard. Should everything done in the country benefit you personally?

thats precisely my point. Crossrail only benefits london. Same as the edinburgh trams.

to claim crossrail has benefits for rthwe wider country is bogus.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:52 pm
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Same as the edinburgh trams.

I've benefitted from the Edinburgh Trams, as did the companies that wanted to see me. And I don't even live there!


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:53 pm
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Yes molgrips - thats benefiting only people in London and what yo give there is an example of why HS2 will suck even more money out of the rest of the UK ( i know you are talking about crossrail)


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 2:53 pm
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what yo give there is an example of why HS2 will suck even more money out of the rest of the UK

It really doens't work like that.

If I give you £10, and Bill £20, have you lost £10?


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 4:33 pm
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Crossrail's mega benefit is for those commuting from Thames Valley to City of London and Canary Wharf (Farringdon, Liverpool St, Canary Wharf on the map below). There are of course ancillary benefits such as those coming in from further west on GWR who otherwise have the hassle of getting from Paddington. Heathrow already has an Express but also benefits from wider connectivity via Crossrail which makes sense.

Those to the north, south and east of London are already well connected to the City of London (or for north / south don't really benefit from Crossrail).


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 4:49 pm
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Megacity North (!) would be a bit more of a rival to Greater London, and with that comes more influence politically.

‘Megacity North’ 🙂

That latter part of your comment. I see why things might (continue to) go slowly.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 5:06 pm
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Molgrips - If you have £30 to spend on transport and spend £29 of it in london for the benefits of londoners then yes the rest of the country has been cheated


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 5:31 pm
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Molgrips – If you have £30 to spend on transport and spend £29 of it in london for the benefits of londoners then yes the rest of the country has been cheated

But what I'm saying is that it's not just the benefit of Londoners. That's the flaw in your argument. But you know what, never mind.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 6:13 pm
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tjagain
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Molgrips – If you have £30 to spend on transport and spend £29 of it in london for the benefits of londoners then yes the rest of the country has been cheated

If you have £96B to spend and you build a line to some place no Londoner wants to go who's being cheated?

Bring on Crossrail 2, the Bakerloo extension, sleeper trains to Europe or lower fares in London. They're all happening, right?


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 8:35 pm
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the problem is Molgrips that this is entirely about benefit to londoners. every bit of analysis says so

Please tell me what benefits this brings to those of us north of birminham?


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 8:42 pm
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You two seem to be arguing about semantics.

It benefits people in London, doesn't matter if you're Scottish and traveling from Wales to France, you're going through London and it's benefiting you.

This doesn't benefit any Londoners that are trying to get from Manchester to Leeds.

As for the Cardiff example, that's still benefiting London because it lets people stay there's and make everything revolve around them.

What if Cardiff wanted to do business with Newcastle? How is crossrail or HS1.35 going to benefit them? It'll still be a day's travel.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 9:22 pm
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I think the argument molgrips is trying to make is having more people in London able to move around by train means they won't be clogging up Northern Rail lines instead. ie the North benefits (by having less people...) as some gravitate to London.

Anyway, according to the latest IRP, it will be going to Manchester!


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 10:01 pm
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Not a chance it ever gets north of Birmingham - thats been obvious right from the start.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 10:02 pm
 ctk
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This means that if you need to get from Cardiff to say, Canary Wharf, it takes about half as long to do the last 10 miles as it does the previous 140 miles. This could be slashed by Crossrail, making other parts of London more accessible.

Yes Crossrail benefits London, makes travel easier in London, means people like you can travel more easily around London. This is levelling up London.

Its the rest of the country that needs levelling up!


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 10:24 pm
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Its the rest of the country that needs levelling up!

Very true, but HS2 was never really going to be the answer, much better putting all that money into properly upgrading tracks and rolling stock for the northern regions, and other regions as well, like the southwest - shaving off a half hour or so for well-off London business types shouldn’t come at the cost of massive environmental damage and no advantage to anyone unable to take advantage of the line, because it goes hammering through the local stations without stopping.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 10:39 pm
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‘Upgrading tracks’ means worse service for years while they are ongoing, and then competing demands on lines (commuters/freight/intercity) resulting in continued fragile easily disturbed and delayed service… ie it can push people and goods onto the road, short term and medium term… and doesn’t build the network for the long term. New lines do so so much more. It’s only living in our inwards looking country, where we were lucky to inherit the network we have, that blinds us to the fact the new lines are essential, we paint them as vanity projects while our competitor regions in other countries crack on and install the infrastructure needed for this century of decarbonisation and changing economics.

In England, the economic divide between north and south is greater than the economic divide between east and west in Germany at unification. This won’t be fixed by deciding to reserve new line investment for London and its ever expanding commuter belts. We need new lines connecting up the cities of the North of England, and as a result of that, improved local services on existing lines. Need, not want. It’s the minimum needed. The cancelled HS2 and NPR lines up here were to be at least the start of building that network, and rescuing the regions up here… now it’s stalled completely for at least another 10 years. There is now bugger all chance of rail supporting moving freight and commuters onto electrified rail transit now… all our eggs are in electric vehicles and road widening now. Good luck with that…


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:26 pm
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‘Upgrading tracks’ means worse service for years while they are ongoing,

this keeps on being said but Edinburgh / Glasgow main line was upgraded and electrified while still carrying the usual services pretty much.

Also on the idea that HS2 increases capacity - yes by the number of fast passengwer trains on it but if you are running high speed passenger trains you cannot put freight or stopping trains on the smae line can you - so the only extra capacity is those few high speed passenger trains

another normal line would be able to run freight as well


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:31 pm
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“few high speed trains” - you have no idea what the demands are for getting between cities down here, try getting a low stopping service here between Manchester and Leeds, or York and Sheffield, or Liverpool and Bradford. Try driving those routes as well. We need more connectivity, or accept that economically England is to be just London and its satellites, and keep getting left behind. Anyway, the existing lines could run more freight and local services if they were no longer also the main intercity lines.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:37 pm
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Who are all these people that need to get to Manchester from Leeds and vice versa all the time? They should’ve chosen the right city to live in in the first place.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:47 pm
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Anyway, the existing lines could run more freight and local services if they were no longer also the main intercity lines.

so no more intercity trains in total then? the claims just do not add up for me.

How many trains a day on the high speed london to Birmingham line? those appear to be the only extra capacity created.

I agree with you that this money should have been spent elsewhere where far greater good could be done for the money


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:50 pm
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Who are all these people that need to get to Manchester from Leeds and vice versa all the time? They should’ve chosen the right city to live in in the first place.

All these people shuffling around the South East of England every day. With their new lines. And more to come. They shouldn’t have chosen the right area to live in in the first place.

Burn your car jambourgie… see how well you’ve chosen the right exact spot to site yourself in relation to anyone you need to deal with, and to do everything you need or want to do.

so no more intercity trains in total then?

You’ve lost me there. You don’t think dedicated extra lines would result in extra intercity trains? That’s the only thing a lot of people do understand! New lines would carry more passengers between the hubs (as it happens, quicker, but don’t focus on that) and the older lines could have carry more people (importantly more reliably) on stopping and local services, and carry more freight.


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:51 pm
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kelvin - I think we are slightly at cross purposes. I am assuming as seems more than likely this is going to stop at birmingham. even if it does go to manchester its not going to connect the northern cities


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:52 pm
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We must be. I was talking about why we need the new lines in Yorkshire and the North of England more generally. The new reduced HS2 does nothing much for us here at all. And nor will the “upgrades”. For anyone looking at a commercial site of any size here now, the government have made it clear to prioritise access to the road network above all else… don’t consider leaning on rail use when planning for the future. COP26 is already long forgotten…


 
Posted : 22/11/2021 11:57 pm
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Everything that @kelvin said.

HS2 was badly marketed/explained as being about speed above all else. Now clearly, speed does matter, it's why internal flights exist! If everyone was content to bumble around at 45mph, they wouldn't be necessary...

However, speed is not the main point of HS2. It was supposed to be the backbone of a network. HS2 in full and in between the Y bit at the top, an integrated "semi high speed" Northern Powerhouse Rail network. Everything interlinked, connectivity across the Pennines from Liverpool to Hull, connections on both sides to and from London.

Once all that is in place, you've completely freed up the existing, largely Victorian infrastructure to run more stopping services, more freight and do it more reliably because it doesn't have to keep getting out of the way of intercity stuff.

this keeps on being said but Edinburgh / Glasgow main line was upgraded and electrified while still carrying the usual services pretty much.

And you keep on saying this but (a) it's ONE line and (b) you caveated it with the phrase "pretty much".
Manchester and Leeds in particular both have massive web of lines going out in all directions and they are already the cause of delays all across the north. A few minutes waiting for a platform at Leeds or getting through Castlefield Corridor at Manchester and that delay is exported all across the network, impacting every other train that has to run across the path of the first. Trying to upgrade the lines will result in another situation like the timetable debacle of May 2018. It's one of the reasons why nothing has been done for decades (the other being criminal lack of investment by Government...) the fact that what's there at the moment is creaking at the seams but basically working to a bare minimum standard so they keep patching and mending, unwilling to face the years of disruption that a full overhaul will cause.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 8:02 am
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Agree with you Kelvin.

Out of curiosity.  Does a damage assessment exist comparing the road focus or rail focus options for environmental damage?


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 8:04 am
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And you keep on saying this but (a) it’s ONE line and (b) you caveated it with the phrase “pretty much”.

Actually its rather more complex than you seem to think. the track was both relaid IIRC and electrified all while running a full service and its one of many lines in the area all interconnected and crossing. Both Edinburgh and glasgow have multiple lines running out of the station going to differnt places

I said "pretty much" as I do not remember any significant issues while the line was upgraded

That line of 45 miles now has 100mph electric trains on it rather than 65mph diesels

Crazy legs - you seem to have believed the nonsense talked about HS2 - its obvious that it was never going to be the full network. Not a chance in hell those added on bits in the north of england were ever going to be built. such an obvious add on to placate folk.

Manchester and Leeds in particular both have massive web of lines going out in all directions

So do Edinburgh and Glasgow - Glasgow especially and in Edinburgh you have the huge bottleneck between waverly and haymarket but yet somehow what you claim is impossible to do was done.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 8:08 am
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I think your overestimating the complexity of the network for Edi/Gla.

I never used that line at the time, but I've certainly heard some colourful language used to describe the knock on effects.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 8:26 am
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I used it regularly but infrequently and had no issues

Glasgow in particular is a complex web of rail. Edinburgh less so but still significant issues with space and timetabling becauuse of the bottleneck

I can accept Manchester would be more complex what I cannot accept ( unless someone can give me a good reason) is that what was done on one of the edinburgh glasgow lines cannot be done in the north of england


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 8:31 am
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I can accept Manchester would be more complex what I cannot accept ( unless someone can give me a good reason) is that what was done on one of the edinburgh glasgow lines cannot be done in the north of england

Because "the north of England" is rather more than ONE line between TWO cities...

Crazy legs – you seem to have believed the nonsense talked about HS2 – its obvious that it was never going to be the full network. Not a chance in hell those added on bits in the north of england were ever going to be built. such an obvious add on to placate folk.

The slight problem is that in my office at work are all sorts of contracts about NPR, HS2, letters from DfT, business cases, 10 years of promises from various Tory Chancellors, Transport Secretaries and some bloke called Boris about building HS2 in full coupled with many years of correspondence from various Northern leaders, metro mayors etc about the importance of the investment in the pan-northern transport infrastructure. I don't think anyone necessarily believed all of it but certainly hoped for most of it.

And that's not including all the compulsory purchase stuff that HS2 have done, the preparatory work, the interlinked development stuff locally where a city has said "ooh, shiny new HS2 / NPR station here, we can start to plan a new development". So yes, most of the North had been believing / hoping. Maybe not all the hype all the time but certainly the basic promises.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 10:45 am
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Because “the north of England” is rather more than ONE line between TWO cities…

so is the central scotland network. there are 4 lines glasgow / edinburgh at least

Its just an example of upgrading a line being possible thats all. I still do not see why this is so impossible to do in the north of england when it was done successfully in Scotland

At the same sort of time another Edinburgh / glasgow line was reopened as well - bathgate to airdrie section

Edit - I know you know a lot more about this than I do but I just cannot see why upgrading is so difficult. Educate me?


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 10:53 am
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Its just an example of upgrading a line being possible thats all. I still do not see why this is so impossible to do in the north of england when it was done successfully in Scotland

While I'm no train expert, but the geography of the area (in the parts of the North were discussing) is a major factor, I'd have thought. Plus just a casual glance at the upgrade between Glasgow and Edinburgh reveals it to be hardly the roaring success story that you're describing TJ, I've seen news articles complaining about lengthy (20weeks) station closures, a dramatic change in the planning stages to go from more trains to lengthened trains instead, and complaints about journey times becoming longer again despite faster trains.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 11:10 am
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I'm assuming the Edinburgh to Glasgow main line was already pretty 'main' before any work?

The Leeds to Manchester line is not, once you get to Huddersfield it's a meandering scenic route through deep valleys, long tunnels and bleak terrain until you get to Staylybridge. Electrification is a red herring, the new diesel trains that service the route are almost as good as electric and not really the problem. The issue is how you improve the track and make it faster with more capacity. This will cost a huge sum and cause massive disruption.

I'm not that bothered about HS2 but the NPR line was desperately needed up here and will rightly be seen as a betrayal. Bradford especially would have benefited but will now be left to rot further if that's possible.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 12:44 pm
 wbo
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'another normal line would be able to run freight as well'

Why would you build another normal line instead of building Hs2 and using the old normal line for extra freight load? Or do you think freight should go on the road (I know you don't, but it has to go somewhere)

Glasgow-Edinburgh isn't really comparable to a trans pennine line - geography is not helping


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 12:54 pm
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I said “pretty much” as I do not remember any significant issues while the line was upgraded

You don't remember the turnarounds at Springburn or tours of the west end through Hyndland Junction to the lower level whilst Queen Street was being demolished and rebored? Lucky you, it was shite. Your end was business as usual, Glasgow was a nightmare.

EGIP was nothing like as complex as a northern English equivalent would be.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 1:42 pm
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Edit – I know you know a lot more about this than I do but I just cannot see why upgrading is so difficult. Educate me?

1. Capacity. Both Manchester and Leeds (in particular) are already at or very near capacity. You can't fit any more trains into or through them. Longer trains don't really work because of limitations on platforms across the network and, even if you could fit another couple of carriages on, it still does nothing to decrease journey times. The only answer is to build more lines which also gives you more platforms and/or new stations to fit in more people.

2. Geography. Crossing the Pennines is brutal. The tunnels are long and very deep. Cowburn Tunnel on the Manchester - Sheffield line is the deepest in the country and it's over 3km long. To upgrade (whether to add more lines alongside the existing ones or to electrify the route) would mean closing the entire line, re-boring the entire tunnel then re-laying it all again. That's YEARS of work right there, years where you'd be looking at bus replacement services across one of only 2 reasonable road routes across the Pennines, Woodhead Pass or Snake Pass (both of which are closed regularly in winter because of poor weather). The best answer is a new line which can be built without disruption to the existing ones

3. Journey times. There are relatively cheap interventions which can get you a couple of minutes here and there of reductions in journey times, often down to things like signal upgrades or some slight re-phasing of train orders through a point but it's not "transformational" it's "marginally more efficient". People don't want to save 4 minutes on an 85 min journey, they want to save 40 mins! The current lines simply won't take anything high speed, they're twisty and turny. You can spend billions electrifying the line and put a 100mph electric train on it but it'll still only be able to do 60mph.

4. Mixed use. The current lines have a mix of "high speed" stuff (intercity up the WCML and ECML), "fast" services (the ones that only stop a couple of times on the way from say, Newcastle to Manchester Airport), stopping services (all the rest) and freight. Freight massively slows down everything else without very careful timing of loops and sidings. However rail freight is absolutely critical if there's anything to be done about road congestion and emissions. Best option is to segregate. Build a new HS line, put the HS / fast stuff onto that and free up the existing network for more stopping services and more freight.

5. Train Operating Companies / franchises. The Edinburgh Glasgow thing you quote has one operator, ScotRail which keep things a bit more simple. "The North" has loads. Northern and TransPennine Express "within" the area then a load of through stuff (Avanti West Coast, LNER) and some that come in then turn around. Arriva Trains Wales for example. It just means a much wider range of rolling stock to accommodate when you're changing lines to electric and franchises don't like it when they're forced to buy/lease new stock. The procurement for stuff like that can last years. Easier to just allow the current stuff to run, build a new line and put some new trains on it.

EGIP is another example of cost-cutting at work. A decent system was proposed, then the bean counters got in amongst it all, cut £250m from the budget and ended up running fewer but longer trains (capacity increase) but no improvement in journey times. It was an "improvement plan" in as much as you got shiny new electric trains and some new stuff at Glasgow station but it's not "transformational". It caused a lot of disruption during build and journey times are no better than they were.

I don't get why you're so against investment in public services like transport? At what stage does £100bn become money spaffed against a wall rather than money invested for the next 100 years of rail use in the UK sparking further development opportunities?
£100bn is the cost of a few dozen road schemes (all of which involve massive loss of wildlife habitat, massive embedded carbon emissions) but people don't really seem to complain about that. It's "investment" and "keeping the economy moving". As soon as you talk about building a railway though it's "a waste of money", a "white elephant", a "vanity project". 🤷‍♂️


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 2:52 pm
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^^^ this


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 3:00 pm
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I really can't get my head around why environmental destruction for roads garners nowhere near the hostilitity that rail lines do.

The cynic in me thinks it's as much to do with high levels or car ownership than the fragmented nature road building appears to happen in.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 3:03 pm
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2. Geography. Crossing the Pennines is brutal. The tunnels are long and very deep.<snip> The best answer is a new line which can be built without disruption to the existing ones

Loads of Crossrail (and HS2 south) is tunnel including for Crossrail new sub-terranean stations, crossings under Thames, and of course through ground that is riddled with existing infrastructure. Sticking a pair of tubes through the Pennines seems like a doddle in comparison. I get that there are other complexities creating new trans-pennine rail links but creating new long-distance tunnels is par for the course for many high-speed (and legacy) rail infrastructure projects.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 3:04 pm
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Not sure that's comparable either, Crossrail is being dug into clay as opposed to rock like the pennines. And Crossrail was dug at a depth to avoid 'most' of the existing infrastructure afaik?


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 3:11 pm
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I really can’t get my head around why environmental destruction for roads garners nowhere near the hostilitity that rail lines do.

Bandwagon syndrome, or if you go deeper, the innate tendency of humans to feel safe believing what other humans with whom we identify do. It's absolutely innate to everyone (including TJ) - people identify with groups - the more popular a viewpoint is the more popular it becomes. Amongst certain groups it's very popular to despise Tories (with very good reason) so if Tories announce HS2 then it's treated with far more suspicion than if Labour, Greens or SNP had announced it. Which is fair enough in most cases but you have to admit the possibility that Tories might do something right occasionally.

Personally, I think we desperately need a high speed rail network, and this is at least a start. I'm fairly sure the rest of it will be built eventually. And of course, you cannot trust the Tories as we know, so they've probably cancelled it now due to negative press, so there's no reason to assume it won't be uncancelled at some point in the future. The need's not going away.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 3:20 pm
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Sticking a pair of tubes through the Pennines seems like a doddle in comparison.

Apologies if I wasn't clear. Sticking a pair of tubes through the Pennines is a doddle if they're new ones as part of NPR.

Taking all the current track out of an existing tube, reboring it / lowering the ground, putting electrics in, re-laying the track is the same amount of work as a new tunnel (give or take) but with the added downside of years of disruption to all the services that would normally use it.

My argument was very much in favour of new tunnels as part of new lines.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 3:29 pm
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Labour did originally announce it, didn’t they? Not the Northern stuff that’s just been canned, admittedly, that was the Conservatives.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 3:30 pm
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You'd hope the viability study for replenish existing tunnels vs bore new ones would be over pretty quickly. I'd imagine it could be figured out for £1M in consulting fees and a glossy report 😉


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 4:11 pm
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Given the knowledge of Crazy-legs on this topic and myself having recently stopped work on a certain large UK government infrastructure project, I have to wonder if our paths have crossed at some point?!


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 6:07 pm
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Ta Crazy legs - so thats a good reason why upgrades transpennine will not work

Point of order - the new edinburgh / glasgow is a lot quicker - 20% ish

I am not against investment in trains at all. I am against london getting all the subsidy ( IIRC around 100times anywhere else per person) I am against vanity projects like this

the same money thats been wasted on HS2 spent wisely would have had far more benefits. New transpennine express, decent trains in the north, electrified lines . upgrades etc Far more bang for the buck but politicians like these big vanity projects. We don't need high speed rail for london, we need decent trains countrywide

I think its rather naive of folk to think the full HS2 was going to be built - to me it was obvious from the start that it would probably stop at Birmingham, maybe get to manchester, never going to get across the pennines


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 7:19 pm
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( IIRC around 100times anywhere else per person) I

I remembered wrong =- thought I had better check - many times seems more reasonable - everyone seems to produce very different numbers


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 8:49 pm
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London NEEDS many times more money spent on it than other places because there are so many more people and businesses.

Complexity of transport isn't a linear relationship with the number of people who live there. I suggest playing Sim City 4 Rush Hour for a demonstration of this.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 10:24 pm
 ctk
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Population of London is roughly the same as the North West so I assume transport spending is close aswell.


 
Posted : 23/11/2021 11:59 pm
 ctk
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Population roughly equivalent but more businesses in London? I haven't googled the stats but I wouldn't be surprised if there are considering all the extra money government spends there.


 
Posted : 24/11/2021 12:02 am
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Molgrips genuine question have you any association or familiarity of life outside SE England?


 
Posted : 24/11/2021 12:08 am
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molgrips
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London NEEDS many times more money spent on it than other places because there are so many more people and businesses.

It's completely the other way round- London soaks up people and businesses BECAUSE it's had so much more money spent on it, going back as far as government spending has really been a thing.

And it's deeply unhealthy for a country to have so much of its economy in a single city. It doesn't create wealth or opportunity, it stifles it for exactly the reason you identified- it reaches a point where it needs huge investment just to keep going, and where it's expensive to live, and expensive to work, and spectacularly expensive to run. London is a vampire


 
Posted : 24/11/2021 12:16 am
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Bandwagon syndrome, or if you go deeper, the innate tendency of humans to feel safe believing what other humans with whom we identify do. It’s absolutely innate to everyone (including TJ) – people identify with groups – the more popular a viewpoint is the more popular it becomes.

Utter nonsense.  I am prerfectly capable of looking at the evidence and making my decision

Its so obvious that hs2 is the wrong answer to the wrong question

More nonsense - London gets many times the transport subsidy of anywhere else in the country.  the M62 corridor has more people but gets far less subsuidy


 
Posted : 24/11/2021 6:26 am
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