HS2 spiralling cost...
 

  You don't need to be an 'investor' to invest in Singletrack: 6 days left: 95% of target - Find out more

HS2 spiralling costs

957 Posts
176 Users
311 Reactions
6,191 Views
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

TFL absorbs almost as much public money in in a year as Edinburghs trams cost in total – and that is ignoring capital expenditure – thats just the subsidy.

Considering that Edinburgh Trams is a model in piss-poor infrastructure planning and delivery, I'm not sure that talking about their costs is a reasonable comparison.

If anything it's a more damning indictment of the sheer fiasco that Edinburgh Trams was and is.
The entire Edinburgh Tram system (a single 14km line with 16 stops) cost £776 million. The entire 100km / 93-stop Manchester Metrolink system wasn't much more than that and it was delivered on-time.

So if you can run a year's transport system in London comprising 11 tube lines / 273 stations, God-knows how many bus routes, TfL Overground, DLR, a cable car and a hire bike scheme on <£1bn / year, it shows what an utter ****-up Edinburgh Trams was.


 
Posted : 22/01/2020 9:56 pm
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/24/hs2-politics-boris-johnson

This is a considerably more damning article!


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 12:28 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Utterly ludicrous waste of money. New Transpennine route is urgently needed.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 12:40 pm
Posts: 6312
Free Member
 

Hs2 means sod all to me.

What would make more sense is better local trains and trams.

It's all very one sided.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 12:46 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Look at it this way. We have 100 billion to spend on rail improvements. What schemes would provide the greatest benefit to the greatest number of people? is it HS2 or is it improvements to existing lines across the north of England?

Chap on telly last night (think it was the One Show or North West Tonight) made the point that HS2 will only be used by 8% of commuters in the north, as 92% don't touch the west coast mainline.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 1:15 pm
Posts: 41642
Free Member
 

Over the last 10 years, Londoners enjoyed an annual average of £708 of transport spending per person, while just £289 was spent for each person in the north of England, the analysis found

Yes, but overlay that with the GDP figures for those areas. The money has been spent where it makes the biggest returns. It's the opposite of the Barnett formula which subsidizes Scotland.

Are you really trying to claim that London needs to suck more money out of the coutry. Are you really trying to claim that bringing all of the northern cities public transport into the 20th let alone the 21st century including a complete new transpennie route would not gain greater benefits?

Define benefit.

HS2 will have the bigger impact on GDP, that's why it's being done.

Transpennine routes would create a leveler playing field, which is a harder benefit to quantify.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 2:10 pm
Posts: 12865
Free Member
Topic starter
 

HS2 will have the bigger impact on GDP, that’s why it’s being done.
If GDP is increased by the mechanism of the rich getting even richer (which is what will happen), it will mean **** all benefit to most people so they are quite entitled to be annoyed by it (and should be, if they have a functioning brain 😂)


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 2:18 pm
Posts: 10980
Free Member
 

It's willy-waving and TGV envy; the British government wants a TGV-type line because the French have one. The differences are huge; the TGV was opened in 1981 when costs were dramatically lower. France has roughly the same population as England but double the land space so it was much cheaper and easier to build the long straights needed for high speeds.

The services between Birmingham and London are adequate whereas passengers in northern England are still suffering 60s service on poxy trains like Pacers. If this project goes ahead the fabled Northern Powerhouse will never get off the ground.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 2:18 pm
Posts: 45504
Free Member
 

Yes, but overlay that with the GDP figures for those areas. The money has been spent where it makes the biggest returns.

By that theory, big cars that pay more VED are entitled to more use of the roads, big houses get more public services, businesses such as Facebook or BP should dominate all policy on tax or environment, schools with wealthy parents get more funds, etc.

Until we reverse the constant over investment and attitude in South East that says 'we get more of the pie beacuse we are bigger', we won't make any inroads into the North-South divide. In my view this is one of the structural issues that means we won't improve deep social, economic and environmental issues in the UK.

I'll leave the other Scottish continent to answer the Barnet argument (again) properly, but safe to say I'm sure some of the Scottish oil paid for London HQ's and stock market jobs, leading to that 'we are bigger' swagger.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 2:30 pm
Posts: 44146
Full Member
 

That is not even true TINAS

hs2 will make 60p back for every £ spent according tothe figures in folks postys. Transpennine will give £3 for every £

So spend a lot less on a new transpennine route and get a lot more back


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 2:32 pm
Posts: 45504
Free Member
 

Also, GDP as a measure of success is so narrow.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 2:32 pm
Posts: 6874
Full Member
 

In other project / infrastructure news, the Chinese are building a Coronavirus treatment hospital in Wuhan in six days. Imagine having that on your project management CV!

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/jan/24/chinese-city-wuhan-plans-to-build-coronavirus-hospital-in-six-days

As for the HS2 shitshow I live in the North and work mostly from home / London but I'd take improved M62 corridor connections in an instant. I have no issues getting to an from London as it is - it's a doddle.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 2:35 pm
Posts: 1052
Full Member
 

HS2 just appears to be a good idea dogged by 20th century thinking. Instead of getting something that can form the back bone of a more sustainable country we have a faster way of throwing resources into the black hole that is London. It would seem farcical we're setting up a situation where we'll need to have to pipe water to the SE to keep up with usage.


 
Posted : 24/01/2020 10:48 pm
Posts: 0
Full Member
 

privatise the profit, publicise the cost


 
Posted : 25/01/2020 11:01 am
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-51443421

Not sure I've ever seen a Government report that's been so widely leaked, commented on, re-leaked....

Sort of sums up the fiasco of the entire project. Don't get me wrong, overall I think it's a positive but it's been mismanaged from the start.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 8:37 am
Posts: 11333
Full Member
 

Sort of sums up the fiasco of the entire project. Don’t get me wrong, overall I think it’s a positive but it’s been mismanaged from the start.

And so the excuses start... 😉

'It was a brilliant plan, but unfortunately didn't survive contact with reality' etc. Coming soon: the Boris bridge between N.Ireland and Scotland which is apparently under consideration by Number 10.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 8:55 am
Posts: 45504
Free Member
 

privatise the profit, publicise the cost

It feels exactly this, plus a reluctance from polititians based in SE, contractors with HQ in SE, bankers with banks in SE, London generally which is in SE to actually look up at the real world in West, South West, North and more...

Overall public transport is a really good thing and we need some hard decisions made about it. We just are not getting it right....yet.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 10:00 am
Posts: 56564
Full Member
 

The most important bit of the statement about HS2 is that the 2nd stage, taking it north of Birmingham "will be reviewed at a later date".

At which point it will be shelved.

What they're actually doing is building a 100 billion quid commuter line from the Midlands to London. They're just pretending they're not, for the time being, and wrapping it up in this right load of old bollocks about 'rebalancing the economy'

HS2 will never get north of Birmingham. On the recent Channel 4 Dispatches documentary on it, not a single rail expert believed it ever would.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 11:13 am
Posts: 5139
Full Member
 

That grauniad write up is completely spot on. you could easily free up capacity on the WCML by replacing the local services that jam the system with buses that have dedicated bus lanes and junction priority at a tiny fraction of the cost.

They've already spend 8billion on plans. sake.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 12:55 pm
Posts: 15261
Full Member
 

One thing that occurred to me (and many others it seems) is that the project has been planned arse about face from the start and still doesn't let go of the idea that London is the centre of the universe.

Phase 2; the Leeds-Manchester "Northern powerhouse" bit should either be done first or split off and built at the same time as the Brum-Lon bit...

I do think it's a shame that we in the UK focus too much on the cost and never on potential benefits.
Personally I don't think anyone in the Midlands or above is desperate to commute to London, but better linking up city's in the Midlands and North has value, maybe it's worth letting the bankers have a high speed line to the bullring if there are some aligned benefits for other parts of the country.

My bigger worry (before todays announcement) was that HS2 would be binned and nothing would replace it letting wider UK rail infrastructure slip further behind need (not that today guarantees phase 2)...

HS2 isn't ideal but it's something, and I'd rather we were building railways than more motorways, but that's just me.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 1:19 pm
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

That grauniad write up is completely spot on. you could easily free up capacity on the WCML by replacing the local services that jam the system with buses that have dedicated bus lanes and junction priority at a tiny fraction of the cost.

Trust me on this, no it's not.

To replicate one commuter train, even a basic Pacer, you need 8 buses minimum.

To remodel thousands of miles of roads to accommodate dedicated bus lanes isn't feasible. You can't replace rail with road. And then you're still left with a bunch of Victorian infrastructure that can't accommodate high speed.

You need to build new high speed. Then leave the existing infrastructure to the slower commuter stuff.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 1:28 pm
Posts: 17106
Full Member
 

Do we know how much a peak time London to Brum ticket will cost?


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 1:38 pm
Posts: 7033
Free Member
 

If you have to ask, you can't afford it.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 1:59 pm
Posts: 11333
Full Member
 

HS2 isn’t ideal but it’s something, and I’d rather we were building railways than more motorways, but that’s just me.

I'd rather we were building more cycleways. The government has committed to a massive 250 miles of them. A joke.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 2:01 pm
Posts: 91000
Free Member
 

Personally I don’t think anyone in the Midlands or above is desperate to commute to London

It's not about people commuting to London. It's about putting businesses up north closer to London clients so they can better compete for London money. Why do you think the South East is so rich? Cos businesses being close to each other generates more business. HS2 will bring businesses closer.

The same argument applies to making Northern cities closer to each other, of course, which is why we also need better rail links up there too.

Question for those involved in the rail industry: Will the money spent on HS2 also benefit HS3, 4, 5 etc? Will we get 'better' at building high speed rail?


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 8:11 pm
Posts: 19434
Free Member
 

A quick question to all.

Do you prefer HS2 to be driverless?


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 8:20 pm
Posts: 8318
Full Member
 

HS2 is proven technology, though you still have to implement it properly to work. Driverless is it seems feasible but I wouldn’t say proven technology yet and maybe some time away. When I say proven I mean not running the odd test vehicle but running thousands at the same time. I would hope by the time HS2 is complete you’ll be stepping of the train for a driverless electric car  to take you to your destination.
Of course I may not live long enough to see either


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 8:35 pm
Posts: 9069
Free Member
 

Coming up next... Cummings has convinced Boris to make Brum the English capital in 5-10 years. HS2 will never go north of Brum, it will "cost too much."


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 8:43 pm
Posts: 6829
Full Member
 

For all those bemoaning lack of UK infrastructure spending and the electorate repeatedly voting in a succession of tory governments and tax cuts for 30 of the last 40 years?


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 8:46 pm
Posts: 9136
Full Member
 

Personally I don’t think anyone in the Midlands or above is desperate to commute to London

To be fair, I'm in London every other week, it's less than 90 minutes from New Street to Euston right now - not sure what I'd do with the extra time!


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 8:46 pm
Posts: 19434
Free Member
 

@avdave2

Driverless is it seems feasible but I wouldn’t say proven technology yet and maybe some time away. When I say proven I mean not running the odd test vehicle but running thousands at the same time.

Thank you for the response.

How about others?
What do you think if HS2 is driverless? Good or bad idea?


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 9:23 pm
Posts: 3544
Free Member
 

‘It was a brilliant plan, but unfortunately didn’t survive contact with reality’ etc. Coming soon: the Boris bridge between N.Ireland and Scotland which is apparently under consideration by Number 10.

That'll get canned once the architects have got their £50m to 'plan' it.

Chewkw - not bothered about the driverless aspect either.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 9:27 pm
Posts: 9136
Full Member
 

Chewkw – not bothered about the driverless aspect either.

Please don't feed the troll.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 9:35 pm
Posts: 19434
Free Member
 

Chewkw – not bothered about the driverless aspect either.

Thank you for your response.

I am just trying to find out if people will accept driverless train.
I am not working for HS2 by the way.

Please don’t feed the troll.

Someone actually suggested (insisted) that driverless train should be the way to proceed.

I have no opinion on this matter but simply trying to understand the public opinions.

I asked if they have actually considered the British public opinions but they simply said that is the best way to proceed so I ask STW.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 9:37 pm
Posts: 8318
Full Member
 

On driverless I was thinking you were referring to driverless cars as an alternative to rail. As in without people behind the wheel so you could have vehicles actually collaborating to allow a much better flow of traffic

As for driverless trains a much better idea than driver only ones.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 10:07 pm
Posts: 56564
Full Member
 

Molls... don’t be so hopelessly naive. There isn’t going to be any HS3,4 or 5

HS2 will end up as a hideously expensive commuter line to London from the Midlands. There’s no serious intention for it to be anything else. Everyone knows this, unless they really are hopelessly deluded. Everything north of Brum ‘still to be reviewed at a later date’

Yeah... I think we all know what that means

Everywhere north of that will be stuck with the same 40 year old rolling stock trundling down crumbling Victorian infrastructure.

Rebalancing the economy?

Northern powerhouse?

My arse!


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 10:09 pm
 aP
Posts: 681
Free Member
 

breatheeasy
‘It was a brilliant plan, but unfortunately didn’t survive contact with reality’ etc. Coming soon: the Boris bridge between N.Ireland and Scotland which is apparently under consideration by Number 10.
That’ll get canned once the architects have got their £50m to ‘plan’ it.

I'll let you into a little secret. The architects won't be making much money, it'll be the multi-disc engineers that clean up.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 10:20 pm
Posts: 7751
Free Member
 

I would bet that HS2B and other rail schemes referred to in johnson's grandiloquence will either:
- not proceed
or
- if they do, will be so scaled back and downgraded that they bear no relation to what was talked about today.
UK civil engineering has a dismal track record of capturing lessons learned and building on them in future schemes.
Comment from Leo Quinn of Balfours today about how positive etc with picture of him grinning as if he's just received a blank cheque from the gov; oh wait, he has.
As for who'll make the money, referring to aP above, tier 1 contractors, Arup, WSP, Jacobs and the like.
HS2 will absorb so much civil construction resource that costs of other schemes will rise and delivery will be late - a bit like HS2.


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 10:57 pm
Posts: 56564
Full Member
 

We’ve heard it all before.

Remember in the election they never expected to win, Dave and Gideon promised billions of investment in northern rail infrastructure?

Then once they won, it was all quietly shelved. The sum total of **** all of the promised investment. As the recent Northern Rail debacle has shown

Same old, same old...


 
Posted : 11/02/2020 11:34 pm
Posts: 6762
Full Member
 

Went to London on Thursday, came back Friday. Manchester Piccadilly to Euston, 2 hours 15 minutes there, 2 hours 5 mins back, pretty fast compared to driving, Google Maps says 3 hours 40 mins, flying would be similar city centre to centre. Can't see how it being much faster would make it any better or make sod all difference to the Northern economy. In contrast Manchester to Leeds is an hour on the train, 43 miles vs 208 miles to London.


 
Posted : 29/02/2020 8:35 pm
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

Can’t see how it being much faster would make it any better or make sod all difference to the Northern economy. In contrast Manchester to Leeds is an hour on the train, 43 miles vs 208 miles to London.

It's not about the speed. Well, not ALL about the speed.
You HAVE to free up WCML, ECML and tie HS2 in with Northern Powerhouse Rail. The "revised" Phase 2b stuff is being sort of rebranded as "High Speed North" (an acknowledgement that HS2 is rather a toxic brand in itself) but the whole lot is part of the same project.

You can't fit true High Speed on the existing lines. You can't accommodate any more services on the existing lines (especially if you want to add in freight). You HAVE to build a whole new line, put all the fast passenger stuff onto that and then fill in the extra capacity that you've created elsewhere with more regional stopping services and more freight.

HS2 combined with HSN (which massively cuts the jouney times across the Pennines) does all that.

Part of the problem with HS2 (and this is more a media problem really) is it's been very badly explained, they've fixated on knocking off 20 minutes here, 30 minutes there whereas to most poeple, that time really doesn't matter. I couldn't care less about the times (so long as it's not like, 8hrs). I tend to just go to sleep.

Of course if we had a vaguely functional Government, they'd have been getting on with this sort of stuff 20 years ago alongside a rolling programme of full electrification, station improvements, infrastructure modernisation and rather better franchise agreements but I guess the voters get what they deserve.


 
Posted : 29/02/2020 8:48 pm
Posts: 426
Free Member
 

It’s not about speed it’s about increased capacity elsewhere on the network. But £106b could be spent better.


 
Posted : 29/02/2020 9:16 pm
Posts: 4313
Full Member
 

Works well if you're city centre to city centre. Try Amersham to Knutsford - reliable 3 hours door to door by car, 5.5 hours by public transport if you're lucky as it's hub and spoke.


 
Posted : 29/02/2020 10:13 pm
Posts: 1
Free Member
 

Sure it's pretty fast. But is it always that fast, every single time, rain or shine, inside the morning peak, on Sundays or when it's snowing? HS2 predicts a high level of reliability and resilience.


 
Posted : 29/02/2020 10:24 pm
Posts: 17915
Full Member
 

Just another day in a mid-apocalyptic wasteland that is Warwickshire just now.

You really couldn't make this up.

Ecologically sensitive area. Keep out!

Only, this ecologically sensitive area has been flattened by the ***** who put the sign up. 😠

It's terrible all of this. I don't understand how it can be allowed to be happening, I really don't.

I also don't understand how there's just nothing in the media. It's not really even current on here. 😥

The destruction around where I live and ride locally is just terrible. It's not even like it's just a ten metre wide strip going through the countryside. The devastation reaches far beyond the actual track in access and service roads and God knows what else.

Heartbreaking...


 
Posted : 13/08/2020 8:52 pm
 ctk
Posts: 1811
Free Member
 

Yep heart breaking. Just watched Planet of the Humans and am feeling quite cynical about the real reasons its being built.


 
Posted : 14/08/2020 12:18 am
Posts: 17915
Full Member
 

Another day, another despicable shit show.
HS2 now destroying a children's memorial garden in Wendover.
Yay HS2!

Hs2 for all!


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 10:44 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

The business case (which was already tenuous at best) evaporated 6 months ago. The really scandalous thing is that those in charge of this monstrous waste of taxpayers money are now intent on spending as much as possible, and doing as much damage as possible, as quickly as possible, so as to make it uncancellable.

It isn’t criminal, but it really should be.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 10:54 pm
Posts: 1766
Free Member
 

The business case (which was already tenuous at best) evaporated 6 months ago.

I disagree, the business case remains the same, Covid will pass and we will revert back to train travel again. I agree the costs are spiralling.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 11:04 pm
 ctk
Posts: 1811
Free Member
 

WFH is to a large degree here to stay imo.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 11:40 pm
Posts: 56564
Full Member
 

Isn’t the general consensus amongst experts that it will never get past Birmingham as the costs will be so astronomical by that point they’ll just scrap the northern section?

When they did the Dispatches documentary On HS2 that opinion was pretty much unanimous

So we’ll just end up with a £150 billion commuter line from the Midlands into London?

Meanwhile investment in the rail infrastructure in the north over the same period will be £13.27

Levelling up, eh?


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 11:41 pm
Posts: 6209
Full Member
 

agree the costs are spiralling.

They'd spiral a wee bit less if HS2 didn't have to provide security for every metre of land they rip up - it's going ahead now, protests and demonstrations aren't going to change that. We are still mostly using and benefitting from victorian railway infrastructure in the UK, who knows how HS2 will be used in 150yrs time.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 8:37 am
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

It's already uncancellable - besides you'd end up with a situation where the bulk of the destruction is done but there's no benefit anywhere from it!

And re the comment about levelling up the North and rail infrastructure there. Northern Powerhouse Rail is absolutely dependent on HS2 being built in full. The economic benefits (measured in the traditional Government Green Book way) for NPR are tenuous at best but a lot of that is because the Northern economy is far lower anyway.

There's a digressionary tack there about how Government analysis of Cost/Benefit has favoured the SE over the last 30 years; more investment makes it more profitable which generates higher BCR which drives more investment...
Meanwhile in the North, lower investment means the area declines, that stymies any further investment so it declines more...

So the NPR economic case rests on delivery of HS2. If the North has any hope of levelling up, it needs HS2.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 9:17 am
Posts: 232
Free Member
 

Does anyone else think they will build this thing just in time for Hyperloop to be perfected and it will be blown out of the water?


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 9:41 am
Posts: 8306
Free Member
 

Hyperloop to be perfected

Yeah and some of these.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 9:47 am
Posts: 17915
Full Member
 

They’d spiral a wee bit less if HS2 didn’t have to provide security for every metre of land they rip up

Don't fall for that newest of utter ballcocks HS2 are spouting.
People aren't protesting for a laugh. Much of what HS2 are doing is illegal but sanctioned. The security is to stop this being recorded/witnessed/reported.
It doesn't take much looking to find them ignoring laws put in place to protect habitats of species at risk. For instance, they're not allowed to work within so many metres of badger setts. There's video around if you can be arsed of them breaking this blatantly, and even using machinery with longer reach so that technically, they are outside that boundary.

Many councils and contractors were also made to sign non disclosure agreements.

The cost isn't spiralling because of protests by a few people who GAF and recognise this project for what it is, it's spiralling because it's utterly ill-conceived, entirely corrupt and monumentally poorly implemented.
Look at the recent highlighting of corrupt practises in requisition of PPE during the start of the pandemic. This isn't any different. Seriously, protestors are not responsible for the spiralling costs. Ridiculous claim.

I have sites all around me in Warwickshire and I've been up to a few of the encampments to offer support, firewood, tools etc where I can and the amount of people there compared to the hired in mob and police security presence is just insanity.

There's just no doubt, they do not want people to see what they are doing. Get in quick, raze everything to the ground and destroy everything before anyone can get anywhere near.

Frankly this pandemic has been a gift for this project as it meant that they could go ahead and do whatever the F they wanted while we are all looking the other way.

The trouble with a project like this is that an awful lot of people are not directly affected and so it's difficult to get them to GAS.

Here in Warwickshire, we are severely affected sadly. They really have f'ed up my nearby countryside profoundly.

I imagine a lot of you who are in favour might think differently if you were witness to what's happening in your own 'back yards'.

Ever continuous expansion and growth just isn't sustainable. This project is a travesty, it really is.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 10:25 am
Posts: 6209
Full Member
 

@kayak23

Maybe I should have put "a wee bit less" in bold.
I live within 1 mile of the route nr the Chilterns, so it does and will effect me but a lot of the complaining I see coming from the local nimbys who otherwise have zero concern for the environment.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 1:58 pm
Posts: 13356
Free Member
 

It's the biggest money pit this country has ever witnessed, & probably ever will witness.
Disgusting.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 4:39 pm
Posts: 17728
Full Member
 

esselgruntfuttock

It’s the biggest money pit this country has ever witnessed, & probably ever will witness.
Disgusting.

Should this post have gone in the Brexit thread? 😉


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 4:45 pm
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

National Infrastructure Commission report out today, the Rail Needs Assessment.

Summary of it on the BBC: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-nottinghamshire-55303978

The actual Assessment itself:

What its done is present a series of options to Government to allow them to decide on which option(s) to fund. However it's favouring regional and local connectivity in the North over and above HS2 (although a lot of that regional connectivity kind of relies on HS2 being there as well). Be interesting to see what the responses are. I already know the responses from the east of the Pennines and they're not happy at all. Was only 9 months ago that Boris was promising to build all of HS2 in full (although we all know that a Boris Promise is, in the great quote from [i]Snatch[/i] "Spurious. Not genuine. And it's worth... ****-all." )


 
Posted : 15/12/2020 5:29 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

It’s catch 22 - I don’t believe they were ever going to build it all in full. It was never affordable in the first place. But you have to build it in full to deliver the benefits that were supposed to be there. Now it really is unaffordable as the passengers have disappeared and they ain’t coming back any time soon. But never mind, it’s made a few people very rich in the meantime, as well as tearing up irreplaceable countryside.

When John Armitt says it won’t be built there is no chance....


 
Posted : 15/12/2020 5:34 pm
Posts: 17915
Full Member
 

Only mention of economics as usual. Nothing about the irreparable environmental devastation and loss of habitat it's causing.
Kin humans man. 😡

It's more and more laughably obvious what this whole thing was about all along, as if any further indication were needed.
**** this government.


 
Posted : 15/12/2020 5:35 pm
Posts: 1324
Free Member
 

Just wanted to say my local Aberystwyth to Shrewsbury service is 75 miles in 2 hours so beat that! They also have the latest European rail traffic management system.
I'm actually in favour of HS2.
It's not just faster, but will increase volume and therefore (in theory) reduce congestion.
Obviously, if you live along the route, you may disagree!
I'd rather go by train than car.


 
Posted : 15/12/2020 9:44 pm
Posts: 17915
Full Member
 

Obviously, if you live along the route, you may disagree!

**** right!
That's the trouble really. Those that don't, have no idea of the destruction, can't directly relate to it and are unlikely to give a shit either.
The world has changed and must change.
Increasing capacity and movement isn't the answer. Reducing it has to be.
There's other routes to increase existing capacity and this is nothing to do with some humble attempt to improve things for everyone.
It's a
**** gravy train.
Deplorable and irreversible.
Glad I've not got kids that'll inherit all this.
I really despair how anyone can support this.


 
Posted : 15/12/2020 9:56 pm
Posts: 91000
Free Member
 

Glad I’ve not got kids that’ll inherit all this.

What, a decent rail network?

The big issue with the destruction of wild habitats, by the way, isn't that they are being destroyed, it's that there are so few of them in the first place. So reserve your anger for the fact that habitats are not being restored or created.


 
Posted : 15/12/2020 10:39 pm
Posts: 77347
Free Member
 

It’s the biggest money pit this country has ever witnessed, & probably ever will witness.

You're going to be shocked when you hear about brexit.


 
Posted : 15/12/2020 11:01 pm
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

Isn’t the general consensus amongst experts that it will never get past Birmingham as the costs will be so astronomical by that point they’ll just scrap the northern section?

I suspect you might be right @binners.

There's a rather unassuming paragraph in a TfL Board Report (for their meeting on 3rd Feb) which says: (my bold)

[i]We continue to provide input into the DfTled study on proposals for Euston following publication of the Oakervee Review in 2020. [b]The DfT has recently instructed HS2 to proceed with further design development for one of the options, which provides a solution based around 10 HS2 platforms, a single stage build and increased oversite development[/b]. However, the impact on our infrastructure, operations and passengers needs further consideration. We are therefore working alongside other key stakeholders, including HS2 Ltd, Network Rail, London Borough of Camden and Lendlease, under the umbrella of the newly formed Euston Partnership, to assess the proposals and refine early scheme designs, and to assist with work on affordability to ensure investment delivers best value.[/i]

Which translates to: Cutting Euston capacity means cutting a route somewhere else on the network - this is the precursor to binning off the Eastern Leg or similar.

So much for levelling up the North, this more or less tells The North that as far as the Tories are concerned, it's a blank space on the map between Birmingham and Scotland.


 
Posted : 27/01/2021 9:53 am
Posts: 11522
Full Member
 

Meanwhile protestors have literally 'dug in' underneath part of the route.

Fair play to them, but all I see happening is minor delay whilst protestors removed, private contractors claim additional costs for delay, project goes on at slightly increased cost, contractors profit.


 
Posted : 27/01/2021 10:45 am
Posts: 56564
Full Member
 

Well, It looks like HS2 has had its complete White Elephant status absolutely nailed on now. It won't be going North of Birmingham, as predicted by pretty much everyone who knew what they were talking about

But the project to spend £100 billion on a badly planned commuter line from the Midlands into London, leaving environmental devastation in its wake, carries on regardless. This is what 'levelling up' really looks like for the north. We won't be getting any of the desperately needed rail investment while the financial black hole of HS2 sucks in tens of billions to build a commuter line to service the capital.

https://twitter.com/stophs2/status/1421082126561255428?s=20

Its difficult to see any useful purpose for this ridiculous nonsense other than to line the pockets of the parties involved, particularly in a post-covid world where the need to jump on a train to go for a meeting in London has been replaced, quite rightly, by the Zoom call


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 11:11 am
 pk13
Posts: 2727
Full Member
 

I don't live to far from the Warwickshire end if this mess. As others have posted it's borderline criminal destruction.
It was never going past brum at all.. everyone knows it. It was just about commuiting to London from the posh parts of Warwickshire for 3 days in the office.
Should have spent the cash from stoke up on community and work prospects


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 12:30 pm
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

It was never going past brum at all.. everyone knows it.

Yeah but no but yeah...
The plans and overall aim are actually pretty good and some of the promises, especially in the early days were quite well...promising.

But it's been beset by the standard British ingredients of ineptitude, legal wrangling, incompetence and dithering at almost every level. Should have got the Chinese to build it. It'd be up in Edinburgh by now and already running 10 fast trains an hour.

Government are delaying the already long-delayed Integrated Rail Plan publication which is supposed to be outlining rail for the next 100 years in the UK. Cynically, you'd say this is because it absolutely knackers the North completely (the North already being about 25 years behind in rail investment) and they're putting off the outrage for as long as possible but who knows. It's leaving complementary projects in limbo - stuff like Northern Powerhouse Rail and a lot of other local planning that is predicated on HS2 being delivered.

As for environmental stuff, yeah, it's problematic becasue it's one massive project. However the current £27bn RIS2 roads investment plan destroys far more ancient woodland than HS2 as well as building in embedded carbon for centuries (unlike HS2 which is a very efficient mode of transport). However because it's being done in small packages (a road widening here, a bit of new bypass there, a reworked junction somewhere else), it's unfortunately not sparked anything like the same levels of complaint from environmental activists which is a massive shame.

We absolutely need to be pushing rail, freeing up capacity on regional and local lines especially for freight but the messaging on HS2 has been wildly out of kilter with that. Plus as I say the standard management and Government incompetence.


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 12:46 pm
Posts: 13356
Free Member
 

106 billion!
You could buy 424 royal yachts for that.


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 2:20 pm
Posts: 2402
Full Member
 

It’s leaving complementary projects in limbo – stuff like Northern Powerhouse Rail and a lot of other local planning that is predicated on HS2 being delivered.

This. The plans for Sheffield Midland, NPR, tram train extensions are all predicated by the plans for HS2 (or the slow speed equivalent which is what it really is on the spur) happening. It just means we can’t plan anything even in the relatively near future and also makes funding the renewal of the existing tram system even more problematic. Dogs dinner on a grand scale.


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 2:46 pm
Posts: 1766
Free Member
 

Where's it stated the project is not going past Birmingham ? the link above is the opinion of a journalist writing in the Guardian.


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 8:39 pm
Posts: 14233
Free Member
 

I looked, couldn’t find an official “it’s cancelled” statement. Just an update by the “Infrastructure Projects Authority” who have marked it as “Red”

The red rating means: “Successful delivery of the project appears to be unachievable. There are major issues with project definition, schedule, budget, quality and/or benefits delivery, which at this stage do not appear to be manageable or resolvable. The project may need re-scoping and/or its overall viability reassessed.”


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 8:55 pm
Posts: 13192
Free Member
 

So is it fake news or not? Our local loop and woods will be significantly impacted by the hs2 running near Swynnerton near Stoke.


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 9:13 pm
Posts: 1766
Free Member
 

It's going to Manchester. HS2 are currently submitting the Hybrid Bill for Stage 2B.


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 9:23 pm
Posts: 20169
Full Member
 

I looked, couldn’t find an official “it’s cancelled” statement. Just an update by the “Infrastructure Projects Authority” who have marked it as “Red”

Yeah, the article is a bit misleading, it IS just an opinion column. Politically, cancelling it to Manchester would be a disaster and as @coconut says, the Hybrid Bill is going through Parliament anyway.

Cancelling the eastern leg up to Sheffield and Leeds is probably a bit easier politically although still a disaster for the overall project. I can see it being kicked into the long grass though in some sort of "well we're not cancelling it but we're not building it yet" statement.

Boris Johnson has got himself into a bit of a pickle over this. He promised ages ago that HS2 would be built in full (not that a BJ promise is worth anything) and he's promised a great levelling-up agenda, albeit in a speech that was utterly incomprehensible and widely ridiculed. So cancelling part of HS2 wouldn't look great although again, he's rarely worried himself about stuff like that, he just says whatever comes to mind at the time.


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 9:33 pm
Posts: 32265
Full Member
 

They can cancel the East Midlands bit, will destroy our local off road riding. There's a trail runs through what will be the Toton hub.

More seriously, I get the need to increase rail capacity and usage. I'm just not sure £106bn couldn't have been better spent to do that. Maybe a billion put to one side for cycle infrastructure, is it £10 billion for road repairs, pretty sure £95bn would have done a lot of rail infrastructure and levelling up....


 
Posted : 31/07/2021 9:45 pm
Posts: 2586
Free Member
 

They can cancel the East Midlands bit, will destroy our local off road riding. There’s a trail runs through what will be the Toton hub.

Toton yard is being cleared now to make way for the redevelopment for HS2. There are still some things not quite planned for the area, so an estimate is that it will be 10 years before it gets there. I know someone working on the planning side for it.
That article is rubbish. There may, eventually, be no dedicated line north of Brum, but there are lots of other works happening that will enable fast running north of Brum. Crewe Station plans are well advanced now, the current thoughts are a fast, new line to Crewe, then upgraded current lines for the last 30 miles to Manchester.
The East Mids section is undergoing review as to the best options.HS2 may not be the best option, so current lines may be the best option.


 
Posted : 01/08/2021 9:18 am
Page 2 / 12

6 DAYS LEFT
We are currently at 95% of our target!