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Sounds horrible are we all going to die?
yes.
but probably not from ebola.
It's 28 days later stuff 😯
It's 28 days later stuff
Oh thank god! Good to know we have a month till it gets here.
As someone who took SARs quite lightly at first, we went on a business trip to Hong Kong where in a 500 room hotel my colleague and I where 2 of only 3 guests I am now much more cautious. I have another friend who picked up a virus on a Chinese flight and was housebound for 4 months.
If we hear of a case in the UK it will massively impact behaviour, there is a 90% death rate. No one in their right mind will risk picking it up. People will not travel, people will not mix socially. Impact on business will be very significant.
If we hear of a case in the [s]UK[/s] anywhere but Africa
They'll put some serious effort into a cure as there is money to be made from sick rich people.
Funny how we are horrified by this, yet at the same time making deadly viruses.
[url= http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/exclusive-controversial-us-scientist-creates-deadly-new-flu-strain-for-pandemic-research-9577088.html ]Flu research[/url]
Accepted that the motives for so doing are genuine, but the safety measures are evidently not foolproof.
It's 28 days later stuff
more like 'outbreak' stuff.. 🙂
You're more at risk from pandemic influenza than Ebola. In order for the disease to worry me it would firstly have to change its vector from contact with infected body fluids to airborne transmission, and then reduce its lethality to 10% or less (For comparison the 1918 Spanish Flu had a 2.5% mortality rate)
So for the time being The Doomster isn't worried...
Wot he said ^^^
Ebola is a rubbish virus. Requires fluid transfer to infect, gets killed by "normal" hygiene precautions, kills its hosts too well. Flu is a far better agent for a pandemic.
Don't worry chaps. I have a cure for Ebola virus.
It's called [b]all out thermonuclear war.[/b]
Guaranteed to eradicate the virus.
Side effects include skin burns, loss of infrastructure and prolonged nuclear winter.
Ebola is a rubbish virus.
Shame as coincidental I ordered The Hot Zone last week; might not be as scary a read now 🙁
the papers and media keep telling us about this 90% death rate but then tell us there have been 640 deaths from over 1200 reported cases, now Im not brilliant at maths but thats not 90%.
Also from the BBC today:
Guinea - 319 deaths, 427 cases
Liberia - 129 deaths, 249 cases
Sierra Leone - 224 deaths, 525 cases
Again that doesnt look like a 90% rate.
It sounded on the radio that early intervention with standard virus treatments (paracetamol to control temperature, lots of fluids) it wasn't actually all that virulent and could be fought off by most non risk groups easily.
Sad fact is, even basic treatments like this are hard to come by for much of Africa 🙁
In order for the disease to worry me it would firstly have to change its vector from contact with infected body fluids to airborne transmission
[url= http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-20341423 ]Growing concerns over 'in the air' transmission of Ebola[/url]
for those dismissing the transmission routes. Go have a look for ebola Reston.
The thought is that is airborne droplet infection. Ok that one appears to be non disease causing in humans but it is sufficiently close to the others to make me worried.
Mind you am a virologist so it's in my nature to not like the little sod's. Even if they are interesting.
Like all of these scares, nothing will happen.
It's called all out thermonuclear war.
Shall we play a game?
so ebola has killed less than 3000 people since it was identified 40 years ago, so not panicking yet.
one question though. it has a potential fatality rate of 90% for those that it infects, but nobody ever says what % of people are susceptible to catching it.
And
bigdawg - Memberthe papers and media keep telling us about this 90% death rate but then tell us there have been 640 deaths from over 1200 reported cases, now Im not brilliant at maths but thats not 90%.
best wait till no new case reported and see what final death rate is. Many of those infected could still die between now and next update as it doesn't kill instantly
Could do with a good clear out, shame it dosn't target drivers with stuff hanging from their rear view mirror.
one question though. it has a potential fatality rate of 90% for those that it infects, but nobody ever says what % of people are susceptible to catching it.
Anyone can contract Ebola, it doesnt discriminate against race/sex/capital wealth or anything. Just buggers you up.
AFAIK, the mortality rate can be [b]upto[/b] 90% if left untreated, the fact they are catching it earlier and opting for the paracetamol/saline solutions for hydration is preventing quite a few deaths
Seems there are now restrictions on some flights leaving west Africa but only within Africa itself. If someone was infected and got on a place anywhere else and was unlucky enough to be in early stages of the disease with a higher end incubation period, that would essentially be everyone on the plane infected and anyone in contact with the infected geezer too.
If an Outbreak Scenario occurs and the current Ebola evolves into an airborn pathogen affecting humans, then its a pretty messy ending.
Wasn't Retson the one that evolved into and airborn and affected monkeys but not humans?
It's all right, they're having a Cobra meeting.
bigdawg - MemberAlso from the BBC today:
Guinea - 319 deaths, 427 cases
Liberia - 129 deaths, 249 cases
Sierra Leone - 224 deaths, 525 casesAgain that doesnt look like a 90% rate.
Bear in mind that includes people who currently have it and may not survive- whether the 90% is right or not I don't know but these stats don't neccesarily address it. (also I see the BBC saying "can reach 90%")
It sounded on the radio that early intervention with standard virus treatments (paracetamol to control temperature, lots of fluids) it wasn't actually all that virulent and could be fought off by most non risk groups easily.Sad fact is, even basic treatments like this are hard to come by for much of Africa
And there's the rub. That's the reason flu is such a killer in certain places, as well as 'ordinary' diarrhoea and other things that us lucky folk can just shrug off with a decent health service, a 'good' diet and a lie down.
Pandemic flu is a far bigger worry as is HIV if it can mutate to be able to be transmitted via mosquitos.........
Pfft. Imagine a mutate to airborne for the rabies virus. Now that does kill every motherfunster in the room.
Blimey! 😯
Be intresting to see how the nhs copes, when it fails quite ofter to stop CDiff and MRSA spreading and causing deaths.
See report on C Diff infection at Betsi cadwalader hospitals Wrexham and North Wales.
jolmes - Member
one question though. it has a potential fatality rate of 90% for those that it infects, but nobody ever says what % of people are susceptible to catching it.Anyone can contract Ebola, it doesnt discriminate against race/sex/capital wealth or anything. Just buggers you up.
ok I'll rephrase the question. What % of people will contract the virus but show no symptoms? (20-25 % of people infected with the flu will not show any symptoms)
Im guessing, big guess here, that if you have the virus, your body has no antibodies to fight it you're gonna have symptoms...probably 100%
The symptoms are pretty intense, flu like at first but hemorrhagic internally/externally. You're gonna know if you're bleeding from within.
Lots of fear mongering by the UK press atm
In the 3 worst affect countries you have a population of 20 million but so far only 700 have died since Jan. Horrible though the virus is, if it was that contagious you'd expect many more cases given the poor general living conditions and health infrastructure/treatment available.
I'd be keeping an eye out for Nigeria. 150 million folks, if it spreads like wildfire there we may be in trouble.
Interestingly a doctor today said only £2 million had been allocated (recently) to fight the virus by the uk govenment. Thats the daily running costs of one hospital in England apparaently.
Lots of fear mongering by the UK press atm
business as usual then.
I guess there isn't mega-heatwave/snowpocalypse on the horizon...
I found her
That's Jessica HyNeS. Thanks Derek, now I don't know whether to be scared, horny or think of Daisy and start laughing 🙂
derek_starship - MemberPfft. Imagine a mutate to airborne for the rabies virus.
The impact of the Mail headlines alone could mean the end of the human race
Zombies
Need to eat Brains...need brainz...brains...brainz
No brains on STW so we're all safe!
Frankenstein - Member
ZombiesNeed to eat Brains...need brainz...brains...brainz
No brains on STW so we're all safe!
Damn, where's chewkw when you need him most!
Rabies doesn't kill everyone who gets it the treatment isn't a walk in the park mind you in fact don't think there has been a death in anyone who has seeked treatment in Europe since the war at least
CountZero - Member
Damn, where's chewkw when you need him most!
Are you lot trying to increase my paranoid? I mean I am already surrounded by zombie maggots with no chance of escaping so are you lot suggesting I also have to wear chemical suit when I am flying in two weeks time? 😯
Am I strange to be worried that could be used as a weapon, as it moves into territories controlled by nutters maybe some people might decide that using infected people/materiel might help their cause.



