Cryptocurrencies, B...
 

[Closed] Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin etc

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Is anyone here 'investing' in bitcoin or the likes? A pal is trying to get me interested but it seems like a bit of a matrix world and I'm peering in.

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 8:35 pm
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Bitlate, innit?

IGMC

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 8:38 pm
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GenCoin is where it's at. 😉

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 8:54 pm
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STW, last month:
http://singletrackmag.com/forum/topic/bitcoin-3

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 9:26 pm
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Investing in bitcoin is so last decade. I'm still very upset I sold my 2BTC for 50 quid, which at the time was a pretty good return on the tenner I put in!

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 9:27 pm
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Yes.

What do you want to know?

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 9:27 pm
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Currently it's one massive bubble waiting to burst. No intrinsic value, people are just buying hoping that a bigger fool will buy them out somewhere down the line. At some point, it will run out of fools and come crashing down. The clever maths can't save it from human behaviour.

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 9:31 pm
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Footflaps has a point.

But... It could end in ruin, it could be amazing.

It's like any other volatile investment.

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 9:35 pm
 rone
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I'm having a dabble with bitconnect.

Seems a question of having the money to lose. Worth a punt for me.

Best way to learn is the hard way.

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 9:53 pm
 Drac
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Also last month.

http://singletrackmag.com/forum/topic/cryptocurrency-mining

 
Posted : 11/10/2017 10:12 pm
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It's the future

whether you will like the future or not is a different issue

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:36 am
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If you treat it as a very high risk investment (i.e. don't put your pension into it) then go for it, as has been said though it's got to be due for a major correction 'soon' but you could still make a decent return now until 'soon' happens, as long as you get out in time...

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 7:40 am
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What's everyone done with their Bitcoin Cash? Blockchain wallet now lets you have your BCH if you had a wallet with them before the fork in August. Shame they didn't sort it out earlier given the price is just over $300 compared to a height of over $700.

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 9:02 am
 Drac
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Shame they didn't sort it out earlier given the price is just over $300 compared to a height of over $700.

Isn’t it over $4k?

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 9:07 am
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Shame they didn't sort it out earlier given the price is just over $300 compared to a height of over $700.

Isn’t it over $4k?

Yes, proper Bitcoin (BTC) is, but back in August the Blockchain forked and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) was created after disagreements by some Chinese miners and Bitcoin Core (?), So if you had og Bitcoins in August you also have the same amount of a new Cryptocurrency called Bitcoin Cash. This has fallen from a height of ~$700 to ~$300.

But it still means "free" money to anyone lucky enough to have a BTC balance in August.

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 9:12 am
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It's the future

whether you will like the future or not is a different issue

Not in its current form.

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 9:18 am
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Isn’t it over $4k?

Wow, just hit $5k

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 9:27 am
 Drac
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Ah! BCH is another one. 😕

Yup inredible isn’t it, I never bothered looking into when it first started. Well I did but looked like an impossible task to find any. Even if I had I reckon I’d sold out long ago anyway.

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 9:34 am
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I have some BTC - significantly risky investment and the volitility is staggering. I think it is a bubble and purchasers of Bitcoin rarely use it as a currency, just wild speculation. If you do buy any, be prepared to lose the lot...

However, cryptocurrency and the blockchain on which it sits, is here to stay. I suspect the technology will become more and more mainstream in the next 10 years or so.

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 11:47 am
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I suspect the technology will become more and more mainstream in the next 10 years or so.

This is my gut feeling but I'm scratching the surface. And having looked in it seems there are so many options and...

What do you want to know?

...how to understand it, where to read up, how I might invest. Jeez, everything and anything. I guess I'm suffering a severe case of FOMO.

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 12:30 pm
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where to read up, how I might invest.

Start here...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania

the one difference is at least you owned a Tulip at the end of it all, rather than nothing.

Also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_fool_theory

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 12:46 pm
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[url= https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2013/dec/04/bitcoin-bubble-tulip-dutch-banker ]Bitcoin hype worse than 'tulip mania', says Dutch central banker
Nout Wellink describes bitcoin as a bubble, and says 'at least then you got a tulip at the end'
[/url]

Date of article Wednesday 4 December 2013

Price of Bitcoin ~$1140 which tbf wasn't reached again until February this year

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 1:08 pm
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...how to understand it, where to read up, how I might invest. Jeez, everything and anything. I guess I'm suffering a severe case of FOMO.

[url= https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Faq ]https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Faq[/url]

[url= https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/ ]https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/[/url]

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 1:23 pm
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Block Chain (the 'technology' behind BitCoin) is already becoming mainstream and heavily used by banks. The company I work for offers payment services apps based on Block Chain and is looking to expand its use to other areas.

http://www.goldmansachs.com/our-thinking/pages/blockchain/index.html?cid=sch-pd-google-blockchain-searchad-201706--&mkwid=SvgCqExm gives a pretty good overview of it (although it's a slightly odd web-site design IMO).

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 2:04 pm
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If you are going to do it then you might as well commit:

[url= https://newsstand.google.com/articles/CAIiEMqG0NaWpZbUFwwcciaf_zkqFggEKg4IACoGCAowzdp7ML-3CTCtyxU ]A man upped sticks, sold everything he had for Bitcoin and moved his family to a campsite after claiming that he is waiting for the next "boom" in cryptocurrencies.[/url]

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 2:06 pm
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If you are going to do it then you might as well commit:

Reminds me of that guy who hid in a croft in Scotland over the year 2000 bug, convinced the world was about to end.....

The Bitcoin bubble reminds me very much of the Tech bubble in early 2000s. I was working for a small company with sales of a few $100k per year (all loss making), burning through over $100m a year and we were valued at over $4b! A very good example of the Better fool theory in practice.

CEO, CFO and CTO walked away with over $70m in cash, all the investors were completely wiped out...

 
Posted : 12/10/2017 2:10 pm
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[img] [/img]

 
Posted : 13/10/2017 12:51 pm
 rone
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Had a punt today.

Got to be a bit more exciting than other gambles.

 
Posted : 18/10/2017 5:01 pm
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I've gone in, too. Big gamble, don't fully understand it but the best analogy I've heard is that bitcoin (others available) are like gold- but better. There's a finite amount, it's traceable, can't be lost, all transactions are logged etc. Maybe it'll come off. Still very much scratching the surface.

 
Posted : 18/10/2017 8:20 pm
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If you lose your private key then it's as good as lost. I think some of the first blocks mined by Satoshi are such a thing. A million coins if memory serves right?

 
Posted : 18/10/2017 8:34 pm
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I've got some left over from some er online shopping, they went down a bit today.

 
Posted : 18/10/2017 9:13 pm
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I've heard is that bitcoin (others available) are like gold- but better.

WTF?

With Gold you have a physical asset you own, with Bitcoin you own absolutely nothing, it's just confidence that a bigger fool will come along and pay more for your share of nothing than you did.

 
Posted : 18/10/2017 9:57 pm
 rone
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WTF?

With Gold you have a physical asset you own, with Bitcoin you own absolutely nothing, it's just confidence that a bigger fool will come along and pay more for your share of nothing than you did.

Sounds like you've just described any typical financial market to me.

 
Posted : 18/10/2017 10:35 pm
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what I want to know is;

what the hell do they use the processing power for? To mine a coin takes a certain time in cpu cycles. Please tell me this is not just to update a blockchain or something like that. It could be used for something far more worthwhile/sinister...

 
Posted : 18/10/2017 11:04 pm
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Mining for BTC is pretty much all ASICs now no? The rigs usually run a fairly low performance CPU.

Ultimately, you're wasting power calculating numbers for imaginary currency, but arguably, it takes a lot of effort to design, print, distribute and administer fiat currency too. So the point you're making is not as valid as you might think it is 😉

 
Posted : 25/10/2017 1:40 pm
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Sounds like you've just described any typical financial market to me

Shhh don’t let on it’s all based on bollocks, look what happened the last time people figured it out 🙂

 
Posted : 25/10/2017 10:21 pm
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I've heard is that bitcoin (others available) are like gold- but better.

WTF?

With Gold you have a physical asset you own, with Bitcoin you own absolutely nothing, it's just confidence that a bigger fool will come along and pay more for your share of nothing than you did.

Maybe not, [url= http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-10-30/could-be-huge-gold-bar-certified-royal-canadian-mint-exposed-fake ]Gold Bar Certified By Royal Canadian Mint Exposed As Fake[/url]

Last paragraph is the real winner.

 
Posted : 31/10/2017 2:08 pm
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My friend was about to buy £60k of bit coins a few years ago - had everything lined up to press the buy button.

Put the money down on a house instead. He's worked out he'd be worth c. $4bn had he done it.

Has an app on his smart watch to remind him how much he'd be worth...

 
Posted : 31/10/2017 3:48 pm
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According to bitcoin news over 2bn dollars worth of bitcoin traded over the last 24hrs.

 
Posted : 31/10/2017 10:41 pm
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Sounds like you've just described any typical financial market to me.

Big difference.

Shares in a company that actually produce something have a tangible worth. The stock market may rise and fall, but if you own shares in, say Hovis, they still sell bread and make a profit doing so, with which they can pay a dividend to share holders etc. People will always buy bread and there is a tangible value add to baking.

If you buy Bitcoins, you own nothing. There is no inherent value, no work done, no value add, no profit produced.

The only reason people buy Bitcoin is they think they can sell it to someone else for more money in the future. The only reason that might occur is if the buyer also thinks it will be worth more in the future. A huge house of cards based on nothing but confidence.

People will always buy bread.

 
Posted : 01/11/2017 9:12 am
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But breads not sexy 🙂

 
Posted : 01/11/2017 9:32 am
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footflaps - Member
If you buy Bitcoins, you own nothing. There is no inherent value, no work done, no value add, no profit produced.

Work has been done, they have been mined.

 
Posted : 01/11/2017 9:57 am
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Exactly. The mining is solving the algorithm which keeps it all locked and secure. It's just a new way of doing currency which no one central body has control of (and doesn't need to).

Bitcoin better than gold

[url= http://m.icolert.com/#!section=17259385&item=17977883 ]link [/url]

 
Posted : 02/11/2017 8:21 pm
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This is magic internet money old man. You wouldn't understand.

 
Posted : 02/11/2017 8:35 pm
 rone
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If you buy Bitcoins, you own nothing. There is no inherent value, no work done, no value add, no profit produced.

Not all stocks and shared are tied to things that are tangible.

If fact the share prices are often not indicative of any true value. They're indicative of what people think something is worth.

So, no difference in my book.

 
Posted : 02/11/2017 9:32 pm
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A company is worth the present value of all future income.

Not sure buying Bitcoin is an investment - well if betting on horse is an investment then maybe.

My mate has put all his money and pension into bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies starting from around 4 yrs ago, although he has property too. He can retire now, he says he'll never sell up though so not sure what if he'll ever benefit from his wealth.

Cryptocurrencies rely on there being more buyers than sellers who assume value will continue to rise, how long with the rises carry on? Will it stabilize or crash in the end?

 
Posted : 02/11/2017 11:47 pm
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It's bound to crash soon, as has been said the current growth is now being fueled largely by investors, at some point the big ones will start cashing in their profit and as soon as a dip starts it's going to be enough to trigger panic selling. The gamble ofc is how much it will continue to rise before that happens

 
Posted : 03/11/2017 8:20 am
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FuzzyWuzzy - Member
It's bound to crash soon, as has been said the current growth is now being fueled largely by investors, at some point the big ones will start cashing in their profit and as soon as a dip starts it's going to be enough to trigger panic selling. The gamble ofc is how much it will continue to rise before that happens

Yes but looking back at the long term history, every time it's crashed a few months later it's back up and over the previous peak.

I will say the prospect of the upcoming fork is making my bum pucker a little though 🙂

 
Posted : 03/11/2017 10:04 am
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Oh dear looks like there has been a bit of a shitstorm on the Ethereum network.

https://www.coindesk.com/ethereum-client-bug-freezes-user-funds-fallout-remains-uncertain/

It's not a problem with Ethereum itself AFAIK but one of the wallets which is used for multi-signatory accounts.

Anyway between $50m and $300m worth of Ethereum is currently inaccessible.

For any coders on here, search the news for what the bug was, you won't believe it! 😯 😆

 
Posted : 08/11/2017 5:10 pm
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Anyone following the bitcoin vs bitcoin cash power struggle?

https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/7cmvqo/predictionexplanationdiscussion_of_tonights_bch

 
Posted : 13/11/2017 8:27 pm
 rone
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Anyone following the bitcoin vs bitcoin cash power struggle?

Yes. Fascinating stuff.

It's certainly an interesting battle. The pump and dump of Bitcoin cash on Sunday morning certainly gave me a sucker punch.

 
Posted : 13/11/2017 9:24 pm
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I have a friend who is in financial securities and he recently told a horror story of some Internet spoofing which lost someone a shitload of bitcoin with no comeback. Would not have happened with a proper bank.

 
Posted : 13/11/2017 11:23 pm
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Would not have happened with a proper bank.
Nope. No one ever lost money that was in a bank. 😈

 
Posted : 14/11/2017 8:14 am
 rone
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As an update I've been messing with trading CFDs on bitcoin/Bitcoin cash and I'm currently 450 down. There's a lesson for you!

Got caught on a big pump and dump with bitcoin cash.

The whole thing has been a learning exercise for me - I wanted to understand what it was all about and like that we're on the fringe of new technology and currency. It's a risky setup but so are the rewards.

The fees for bitcoin can be a bit ruthless though.

Bitconnect is doing great for me. Some will still call it a Ponzi but their trading bot seems to do as they say.

It's returned on average 1% a day for me.

Lots of videos giving it a hard time which I understand but I like to dabble and not give my cash to the big banks.

The best too good to be true scheme I've ever played with.

Bitcoin is almost back to its pre-correction numbers.

 
Posted : 16/11/2017 8:46 am
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Those of you who have bought e-currency, can you recommend a website for purchasing? Have had a few friends advising Kraken or Coinbase? I will be using a Trezor hardware wallet if this makes the slightest bit of difference.

 
Posted : 30/11/2017 2:42 pm
 rone
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Have had a few friends advising Kraken or Coinbase

Coin base is okay but has been all over the shop recently with volatility. Fees are high, though there is a convoluted trick you can use to get low fees with their partner GDAX.

However I would recommend blockchain.info Fees are pretty good even via debit card.

That's my wallet and exchange of choice currently.

None of them are that good when things get busy though, lots of crashing and stuff when the activity around bit coin gets busy.

It's actually not an easy thing to do buying bitcoins, you get fees, restrictions and limits on purchasing. Also to get the best fees you have to wire money and in the case of coinbase it has to be in Euros which is an extra pain.

I would build your portfolio a bit a everyday on blockchain.info despite the 3% or so fees. Though you could wire money for 0.25% fee but takes a few days and nor sure what price you get in the processing.

 
Posted : 30/11/2017 8:08 pm
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Thank you Rone. I will have a look at the site you suggested.

 
Posted : 30/11/2017 8:48 pm
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Kraken's very temperamental, especially when there's a large amount of activity. Was trying to set some sell orders the other night and gave up after a few hours.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 11:16 am
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ok so assuming that its impossible for the likes of myself to mine a coin with a computer (despite me mining 1 bitcoin and one litecoin many many years ago)

so i want to buy a share of bitcoin.

How can i buy one?

how can i mine one?

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 1:08 pm
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I found this to be interesting and informative.

I can't say I agree with all of his predictions about the future of global economies/war and block chain currencies but it's a very interesting subject and you have to imagine governments and financial institutions must be strategising how to circumvent this pesky new development.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 1:16 pm
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@andybrad
You can buy a fraction of a coin on an exchange. You don't have to buy a whole coin.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 1:51 pm
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Those of you who have bought e-currency, can you recommend a website for purchasing? Have had a few friends advising Kraken or Coinbase? I will be using a Trezor hardware wallet if this makes the slightest bit of difference.

[url= https://bittylicious.com/ ]I've used these chaps in the past, been in the game a long time, seems scam free, basically they give you a sortcode/account number to trandfer money to, you transfer it using their code and they transfer coins.[/url] Probably a bit (lot?) more expensive than the exchanges.

Just checked their price £8199 vs current price £7482, 9.5% more expensive, it didn't seem like such a big deal when BTC was ~$300

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 2:18 pm
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There's always this:

http://www.hl.co.uk/shares/shares-search-results/b/bitcoin-investment-trust-npv

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 2:18 pm
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has anyone used that plus500?

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 2:26 pm
 rone
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has anyone used that plus500?

Yes, I've used it for crypto messing.

You won't own BTC with this trading platform. It's CFDs - you are only buying into something that tracks bitcoin and other trading mechanisms.

Be very careful, it's leveraged trading and not designed for long term as you get charged holding over night.

Things move very fast and you can get caught out due to the nature of the way the swings work. You can run a dummy account too.

It's good simple platform. And although I don't have anything to do with stocks and shares - there's most popular stuff on there.

Summary:

PLUS500 = short term day trading/scalping as there is no fee to buy and you don't own the asset. Fee to keep your position open overnight.

COINBASE, BLOCKCHAIN.INFO etc = Designed for longer term trading with high fees and less immediate trading. You actually own the coin. The real deal. Includes free wallet.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 3:05 pm
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Buy some on your debit/credit through coinbase and then transfer to your trading site of choice. There are lots with different fees. Bitfinex and binance are good.
If you have a coinbase account you can log into GDAX with that info. Then learn about market limit buy and sell which are free on GDAX. If you want to buy or sell instantly then you pay a small fee.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 3:31 pm
 rone
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Block chain fees are cheaper at 3% for card.

Coinbase (4%) restrictions to buy daily amount are higher for card.

I prefer blockchain. But having both and a hardware wallet is not a bad shout.

Both throw wobblys occasionally when buying.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 3:43 pm
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Sorry if this a daft question, but can you buy online using blockchain and transfer your holdings to an external wallet?

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 6:01 pm
 rone
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Yes you will have to transfer.

Blockchain is an exchange with a free wallet. Just move from that.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 7:55 pm
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Just tripped over this. Geeky but fascinating read explaining what it is you're buying.

https://blog.chain.com/a-letter-to-jamie-dimon-de89d417cb80

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 9:39 pm
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Just when I see Bitfinex mentioned - you'd be well advised to stay well away from them.

There are many who believe that Bitfinex and Tether are a massive fraud, and when/if it was to come tumbling down, I'd expect to lose 100% of anything held on Bitfinex exchange or in Tether.

Some other advice for anyone thinking of dabbling:

1) It's much easier to get in than to get out! Buying BTC (or other major coins) is easy-ish with a GBP debit card, even if the fees sting. It's MUCH harder to get back to GBP. The likes of Coinbase allow you to hold a GBP balance, but can't bank transfer it back to you! Advice: plan both your in and your out. I use Coinfloor, but I see they're about to raise their minimum deposit to £2500 or 0.05BTC/BCH.

2) Keep as little as possible on exchanges. Control your private keys. Exodus and Jaxx wallets are a good option - less faff than hardware with most of the benefits. Plenty others available too.

3) BTC transaction fees can be punitive. Think £2-20 to send any sum at all. Transferring back and forth from exchanges could quickly make it unviable. Other currencies (BCH, ETH, LTC...) have much lower transaction fees.

4) I fully expect the bubble to burst at some point. A Tether collapse (FBI raiding offices maybe?) might trigger it, as could any number of other scenarios. I think it'll go higher first, so I've got a small stake in a few currencies. However, only put in what you can absolutely afford to lose, and take profits along the way 🙂

5) When there is a market shock, stuff breaks. BTC transactions get clogged up, expensive and slow. Exchanges crash. Bugs appear. Do not expect to be able to buy or sell or even move your funds when the market gets a fright.

6) There are a lot of scams about! Be very careful with wallets, exchanges, apps... do your research and work out what's well trusted. Some is rumour, some is well grounded, but there are enough good options you don't need to take a risk.

...I could go on but that's enough for now 🙂

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 9:52 pm
 rone
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Some interesting stuff there. No.5 very much my experience. Also the apps for blockchain.info are slightly more limited than the browser version.

Blockchain allows you to go back to GBP account no problem.

Fees definitely a pain.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 9:57 pm
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(re: scams, and as I see it mentioned above, there are also rumours about Bitconnect being a Ponzi scheme)

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 9:59 pm
 rone
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I'm in bitconnect, there's no real evidence for it being a Ponzi. They've been around a year and don't guarantee a return of 1% every day.

There are many imitators that definitely are Ponzis though.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 10:01 pm
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@rone: GBP on Blockchain - if you sell BTC for GBP, where is your GBP held? And can you bank transfer to a UK account? Genuinely interested as I didn't think you could withdraw it!

And Bitconnect - I have no evidence to prove it is a Ponzi, and there's a lot of mud slung on the internet, but there are some high profile folks saying it - [url= http://decryptofied.com/founders-ethereum-litecoin-warn-bitconnect-ponzi-scheme/ ]link[/url]. My approach is to avoid anything remotely suspicious. If you're comfortable with your research and the risk, then more power to you 🙂

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 10:08 pm
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I'm using bitstamp for getting fiat in, binance and kucoin for trading / hodling. Different exchanges offer different incentives to hodl with them.

EDIT: For getting fiat in / out check your bank's policy on crypto. Some, eg HSBC, have been known to shut accounts down at the merest hint of crypto activity. Open a Fidor account as a gateway either way.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 10:34 pm
 rone
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And Bitconnect - I have no evidence to prove it is a Ponzi, and there's a lot of mud slung on the internet, but there are some high profile folks saying it - link. My approach is to avoid anything remotely suspicious. If you're comfortable with your research and the risk, then more power to you

It's defo a risk.

But I think they're being maligned along with other copycat - clearly Ponzi based sites. Check out some of the 10% return HYIP , they go bang after a few days.

Bitconnect has more going off to demonstrate it's not soley a Ponzi; their own currency, they make money on the exchange etc.

I accept I could be wrong...

Part of my experiment with all of this stuff is to invest money I can afford to lose.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 11:31 pm
 rone
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@rone: GBP on Blockchain - if you sell BTC for GBP, where is your GBP held? And can you bank transfer to a UK account? Genuinely interested as I didn't think you could withdraw it!

Your GBP comes back to your bank account. It's a sell.

I can't remember if it's via your debit card or a wire.

Done it three times.

You can't do it on the app though.

Not like coinbase where it's just stuck in a GBP wallet. Though you can then move it to GDAX. Getting money to GDAX via SEPA is a bit of a pain for small amounts. Coinbase didn't setup my SEPA wire either despite following their costly instructions.

 
Posted : 01/12/2017 11:34 pm
 mboy
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So, been reading a bit about this over the last few weeks, and the FOMO has set in. OK I appreciate I'm VERY late to the game, but then I'd hazard a guess that 99% of the population still don't have a clue what it is or have even heard of it anyway. Here's some of my very uneducated/laymans findings on the subject...

-Only invest any money that you can comfortably afford to lose. I cannot stress how important this is! It may be slightly less risky an investment than putting everything on black at the roulette table, but only slightly. It's akin to "getting a tip off on a horse", there is no such thing as a "dead cert" but at the same time if you can comfortably afford to gamble a few quid and you're happy that the odds are in your favour slightly, then have a gamble...

-The process of making money out of cryptocurrency trading is pretty much a legalized Ponzi scheme! This makes it not only incredibly risky, but is also why the banks and the governments are VERY afraid of it... Like all Ponzi schemes, some people will get very rich, but most won't, and many people will lose a lot of money.

-The concept of these cryptocurrencies themselves is a fantastic idea, especially Etherium IMO. Decentralising the way in which currency is "made" and distributed is a fantastic idea in principle, it's like a modern day virtual Robin Hood taking from the rich (the banks) to give to the poor (you and me). The reality is somewhat different though, as obviously decentralising it makes it somewhat inefficient, but not only that, whilst it seems to be secure enough (there's been a few scare stories of lost codes but mostly they seem to have been temporary glitches) in use, it's the inherent appeal to the less scrupulous members of society that really worry me. Bitcoin is rapidly becoming the currency of choice in the Dark Web so I understand, as it is by extortion rackets, and as a way of laundering illegally earnt money it is beyond reproach! I can envisage lots of "overnight Bitcoin millionaires" having laundered all of their ill gotten gains through the smokescreen of Bitcoin very easily.

-Just like any Ponzi or Pyramid scheme, the only ones who make any real money are those that get in on it before the hype picks up. The Bubble hasn't burst, and people are still "making money" (I put that in inverted commas cos actually the on screen investment is increasing in value, but until it has been cashed in it has not actually done anything for the investor) at a good rate, but anyone investing now thinking they're going to retire in a few years on the profits is going to be very disappointed. There are already Bitcoin Millionaires, and I have no doubt there will be Bitcoin Billionaires, but those people largely invested their money years ago when a Bitcoin was worth the square root of naff all. My mate who kept bending my ear, bought a Bitcoin when they were £3500 only 6 or 8 weeks ago, is jumping around like he's won the lottery as it went through £8250 last night. Not only that but he's had it working for him, invested as packages (where he receives on average just under 1% per day ROI) through one of the Bitcoin trading sites. So he now owns just shy of 1.2 Bitcoins with a value of approx £10,500... He's adamant that the growth is going to be exponential still, and that a Bitcoin will hit £100k inside 12 months and he'll be paying off his mortgage with it (he's 32 and got about £150k owing on his mortgage). I'm a lot more realistic and understand the "Boom & Bust" economics a little better than he does, I know it's got a limited time before something happens to burst the bubble and the market will crash (and not just for a period, but for good), but also that whilst the curve is on the up that it is still worth investing a few quid if you can afford to as it's certainly better than having it sat in the bank. As long as you can get it out quickly should things turn sour that is!

-Just like any Ponzi or Pyramid scheme, the ability of people to make money on cryptocurrencies is totally down to their ability to sell the dream to others and get them to invest in it. All the language used is the same as I've heard from the likes of Amway or the Boiler room stocks scam depicted in Wolf of Wall Street. My FOMO is small (I've invested £100 cos I'm interested, I don't expect to get rich, and if I lose £100 so what), but the premise of anyone making money out of trading these cryptocurrencies is solely dependant on other people's FOMO. Create enough hype, get enough people to invest, tell enough stories about how your mate has bought a Lamborghini already and he's only had money invested for 9 months, and the rolling stone WILL gather enough moss... Until it reaches critical mass and then it all collapses!

-The smart way to make money out of cryptocurrencies would be to attempt to trade them as you would commodities, with significant sums invested, then get in and out quick as the market fluctuates. However... Unlike traditional stocks and shares, the whole cryptocurrency market seems to be designed to lock investors in, both by charging fairly signficant (3-4% or so) fees at the point of investment, and also to encourage people to get their investment to work for them by tying it up (with the promise of a 1% return per day) for a lengthy period of time, with no way of getting out should the market turn sour. The whole market is set up to take advantage out of society's inherent greed, and as such, just like the gambler who's perpetually convinced his next hand will be the lucky one, people can't step away from it. Then there seems to be a hell of a lot of confusion on how to actually get your money out of your crypto wallet once you've actually sold your currency! It's easy enough to get the money in FFS, why can't it come out as easily? Quite simply cos it's not in their (those making the actual money) interest to let anybody get out easily...

-Interesting as it all is, and my mate thinks it's going to be revolutionary and will bring down the banks in the long run (couldn't help but laugh when he told me this!), once it gets to the point where these cryptocurrencies piss the actual banks off enough, the powers that be will step in and take over. I love the revolutionary idea of it all, but the fact is that the big banks still hold pretty much all the financial clout the world over (The Global Financial crisis barely killed any of them off FFS!), and resistant to change as they all are, they don't want to miss out ultimately. There will either be a forced commercial buyout of the likes of Bitcoin, or the laws will change to make sure it definitely comes under the Ponzi umbrella, rather than being able to argue (however tenuously) that it doesn't. Once ANY sign of either happens, the values will go into freefall, with people pulling out left right and centre. Anybody who doesn't react quickly enough will lose pretty much everything!

I will clarify that I am no economist, I have no qualifications to qualify me to be any kind of authority so please don't quote me in years to come, I am just an average Joe on the street that has more than a little understanding of how money is "made"... And I'm more than a little old school in that I prefer to actually have something tangible for my investment, or for value to be added to something by doing something to it. But I'm also interested in new technology and it's exciting to see things unfold.

 
Posted : 02/12/2017 1:12 pm
Posts: 8543
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Topic starter
 

OK I appreciate I'm VERY late to the game

No you're not. As you go on to suggest, given the % of population invested already, it is still very early. 10K bitcoin is still worth investing in, remember you don't have to buy a full coin. Widely expected to keep growing and growing to maybe 500K. Why not?

 
Posted : 02/12/2017 1:47 pm
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