Bankers: was it rea...
 

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[Closed] Bankers: was it really their fault?

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bankers, politicians and the public

everybody wanted easy money and quick profits, the issue was bankers gambled with what wasn't theirs - down to lack of integrity and regulation(see politicians) and a total lack of accountability, politicians have the problem of not really wanting to tell people bad news as it can cause election issues, and again they're gambling with what isn't really theirs, and aren't properly accountable (*MPs in safe seats don't get voted out), the public - well the fundamental problem they had was it was theirs and they were accountable

I blame politicians the most, ultimately what controls behavior is the law (where they failed totally in terms of financial regulation/accountabilty) and they've been overspending for years - something that you or I would not be allowed to do.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 2:30 pm
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For me banks are more a mirror of what is going on around them than the sole driver of events, especially as they are relatively low profitably businesses that rely on massive leverage to generate their returns. This magnifies the good and the bad. Currently the bad!

When I started my professional life, the overall level of debt in the UK economy was 220% of GDP. Twenty odd years later it was closing on 600%. This gorging on debt happened across all sectors of the economy - governments, corporates, banks and households. Everyone was feasting and boy what a great time to be a banker!

By borrowing, we all allowed ourselves to bring forward our consumption and delay paying for it. And didnt we all enjoy it!?! Economists were given Noble prizes for arguing why this doesn't matter. And Central Bankers went from being faceless beauracrats to global superstars earning millions on the lecture circuit. But at some point this gorging has to stop. The cycle has to be reversed. Payments have to be bought forward and consumption has to slow/be delayed. The future we and our children now face.

But towards the end of the gorge fest, we had a succession of crises where policy flaws became horribly exposed. What happened? More of the same. And so we come to the start of the current crisis. To correct previous errors central bankers flooded the world with liquidity at a time of artificially low interest rates. A double whammy and catastrophic error. Markets became grossly distorted and risk was mispriced globally. Then regulators introduce a system that made behaviour even worse.

So if you flood the economy and the banking system with money and you keep interest rates artificially low to correct for your past mistakes, and then tell bankers that it is half as risky to lend to some bloke with no money to buy a house rather than a big company with a strong balance sheet or lending to Greece is the same risk as lending to Germany, why are you surprised when banks do silly things deliberately or otherwise?

It happened in the past, it is happening now (mis pricing risk massively yet again) and will probably happen again in the future.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 3:19 pm
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@samuri - banks are public companies owned by shareholders, banks have shareholders money and money they've borrowed (this includes money people deposit with them). When banks loose money its the shareholders money they loose first. Banks have lost a huge amount of money. It's misleading to say banks don't loose "their money" they aren't private companies so like all public companies their money comes from a variety of sources. Most senior level bank employees have many millions tied up in bank shares so some of the money they are loosing is their own.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 3:26 pm
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@pitchpro others have commented on your argument so I won't add more to the "banks create money debate", however with regard to bailouts. Governments around the world allowed many institutions to fail and investors in banks (be they private or institutional like pension funds) lost a huge amount of money. The "bail outs" given by governments prevented a real catastrophy, most of this bail out money was loans which either have been or will be paid back or guarantees which where never used (and on which the uk government, ie taxpayers made a profit in the many billions).

The uk government encouraged Lloyds to bailout (buy) HBOS which was a terrible error for them that has cost Lloyds and it's shareholders many billions.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 3:33 pm
 IanW
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Bankers are just like you but they work in Finance, whatever they did is whatever most would do given the chance. Its the same reason Oil execs are happy to cause climate change and Food execs are happy to cause an obesity pandemic.

Shareholder return is all that matters, provide that, get well paid for a couple of years and get out.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 3:35 pm
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banks have shareholders money and money they've borrowed (this includes money people deposit with them)

Thats quite misleading as the shareholders dont actually give the bank money to lend out when they buy shares do they

Secondly the money they lend out from depositors is still actually the depositor who could ask for it back at any time and they have generally not given the bank permission to lend it out - what is the MLR 10 % ish ie only 10 % of depositors could actually withdraw their money from the banks

Given this it seems reasonable to say its not the banks money they are lending out.

Most senior level bank employees
what % of banking employees actually have millions at stake in terms of the banks performance - it will be tiny - less than 1 % I assume so here you are somewhat over egging the oudding

I tend to agree with THM we all banked on the fact boom and bust had ended and loans were always safe and the future certain. We assumed payments would always be met and growth would be unabated.
The problem is the money is not actually there currently and its just down to how confident you are that you will get the money back be it my mortgage payments or an other debt.
that is you are gambling on the future to have a happier now.
Sometimes, with say a mortgage it makes sense sometimes it does not

Bankers are just like you but they work in Finance, whatever they did is whatever most would do given the chance.

at its extreme, like hard faced cold calling sales people, its not it has amoral folk who would sell their granny for a £5 bonus or sell their granny PPI she did not need. Essentially they care more about them than anything else. it attracts folk like this just like social work attracts folk who want to help. Not all bankers are like this but I imagine they are not like the general populace - this may be true of many professions though their qualities may be more palatable depending on your own personal moral compass


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 3:40 pm
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The shareholder capital thing may be slightly misleading (although that's not jambalaya's point) but it is still relevant. True, banks donot lend out their capital but every loan and indeed every asset that carries risk has to backed by a set proportion of capital (capital adequacy).

The funny thing about the whole issue of "banks making money", is that (because banks are still essentially broken) the multiplier effect has gone into reverse globally. Hence the money being pumped into the system is not flowing through into the economy. Nor is it feeding (yet) into inflation. So much for the Quantity Theory of Money! One reason why GO cannot claim too much credit for the current recovery. It's nowt to do with monetary policy. If he was honest about what his real policy was then may be we could give him some credit, but honesty would be embarrassing for him.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 3:57 pm
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but every loan and indeed every asset that carries risk has to backed by a set proportion of capital (capital adequacy).

Is this like the MLR - ie 10 % ish so its still not actually secure?

Genuine question though I am loathe to ask you to explain 😉
Said in a friendly way not an STW way for clarity!
It is , to some degree, just down to faith or confidence. Right now they remember getting burnt in 5 years time they wont they will remember last years bonus till it all happens again.

It's nowt to do with monetary policy.

It has nowt to do with it under thatcher either iirc. I think we can both agree, like GB ended Boom and Bust, he will take the credit for it.
To be fair I am not sure any govt [ or individual or company either] has that much influence over the global markets except Vince obviously as he is awesome - again no malice just banter - i shall stop if taken the wrong way as its not meant to be rude or goading - just say


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:07 pm
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Banks are not allowed to borrow out investors money, they legally 'must pay the bearer on demand' the sum. Banks are not allowed to use antibodies money. The money is created when you sign an agreement saying you agree to the payments, this is a legal cheque and can be written on toilet paper. At that point banks lend you the money. If investors have a million pounds banked the bank has to be able by law to pay back that entire sum. The loaned money is 'created' when you sign an agreement and this is legal.
Banks get the money from the trust and its printed on these agreements. Investors do not print money, they can't it does not exist.
My feeling is the solution is to say that an no time should private investors (individuals) own more money than exists in the economy. Also no institution should be allowed to borrow money it does not have.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:21 pm
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Reluctantly, I will respond. What is the MLR that you are asking about?

Plus remember in the event of failure shareholders come last in the peckin order of who gets their money back.

I have just spent all last week analysisng what is going on in Europe regarding essentially how one £1 injected into an economy becomes more that £1. Unfortunately for all of us, that is not happening at the moment. Working out why, is the fun bit!! This all puts Osborne and others in a bit of a pickle.

Don't mind Vince. He's my new mate, I knew nothing about UK nuclear policy until 48 hours ago! Then I read his/his departments strategy reviews. Fascinating stuff.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:21 pm
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whatever they did is whatever most would do given the chance

Maybe so, but in many respects, it's also an utter insult to people who manage to do complex, demanding & stressful jobs [i]without[/i] the need for obscene levels of "reward". My boss (Senior Sister, Emergency Surgical Admissions) faces daily pressures that would make many of the Alpha City types pish themselves with fear - and she does so for a salary that they would regard as pocket change.

**** 'em, tbh. If I wasn't so restrained by middle-class politeness, I'd get me a rifle and build a wall. 😈


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:23 pm
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Sorry pitch pro, but banks do lend out investors money (in the form of debt). In the past, and in the cases of HSBC and Stan Char still now, banks essentially lent out their deposits. In the past decade or loans exceeded deposits by [b]multiples [/b]precisely because banks lent out other investors' money. That was a key reason behind the crisis and why the rules are changing now.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:27 pm
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MLR - I must be getting it wrong - surprising given my knowledge eh - I will just take the piss out of me
The minimum amount of depositors savings the bank must actually keep with the Bof E

Is the capital adequacy set at a similar percentage - ie they must only have a set % of it available that is less than 100%


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:27 pm
 tn25
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Well, to answer the op I think it was:

The Banks:
• For lending money to people that couldn't afford it;
• For coming up with derivatives that let them offload mortgages to other institutions, and then believing their own hype that they were ok and stuffing themselves in the process;
• For being clueless about risk

The Rating Agencies:
• For rating those derivatives as AAA when they weren't so that those other institutions assumed they were ok;
• For being paid by the banks (so they were hardly independent);

The SEC/FSA:
• For being clueless to what was going on and applying a "light touch" when they should have been all over the banks/rating agencies;

The other institutions
• For believing the rating agencies etc;

The Government:
• For promoting a "light touch"
• For, whichever government it was, changed the law so that investment banks were allowed to use retail bank's "money";

The Public:
• For believing they could borrow money when they couldn't afford it;

Etc, etc, etc...


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:27 pm
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NO definitely not ...its our fault for [s]wanting[/s] having a requirement for money

if we didn't they could quite happily keep it all and we would be unaffected


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:32 pm
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Pitch pro - you should google de Soto and read a summary of his work. His classic book is too long for most of us. He argues along the same lines as you and is a brilliant read. A Peruvian economist with strong views on why banking is flawed. All linked to the idea of how banks "create" money and why this is/isn't flawed.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:33 pm
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even a child should get this now, investors money allows the banks to loan money it does not have. 1 million in bank 10 million can be borrowed.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:35 pm
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This is purposely made complicated so if the masses don't understand it they won't realise they are being scammed.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:39 pm
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Cheers teamhurt I'll give it a read.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:45 pm
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JY - you are merely showing you age, That was abolished some time ago, probably around the time you took your Econ A level :wink:. Banks currently hold voluntary reserves with BoE. Of course the amount they deposit with the Central Bank does affect the multiplier. But I dont want to get abused for introducing technicalities!

Ok, see if I can do better than cost of capital and profits v profitability

[b]Banks assets[/b] = cash, loans to you, me and others, and investments etc. All have certain levels of risk set by regulators

On the other side of the balance sheet

[b]Banks' liabilities:[/b] put simply, equity (investors money), deposits from you, me and others and debt (also investors money).

They have to keep a minimum amount of equity in relation to the level of their assets (weighted according to the risk). Since cash has no risk, the weighting is zero, so they hold no capital against cash. Since a loan is risky, you may not pay them back :wink:, the weighting is 100%. And banks have to hold a percentage of that in equity capital. This ranges at the moment and is going up, but to keep it simple assume 10%.

So if they lend you £100, they have to keep £10 ((100*100% risk factor) * 10%) as equity capital by regulation.

Since the crisis, new rules are also being phased in regarding the balance between loans and deposits and on the mismatch between short term deposits being used to fund long term loans. These are liquidity rules as opposed to capital adequacy rules.

Some "free-market" hey? 😉


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:47 pm
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PP - you will get a prize if you make it through the book. Money Credit and Banking but you can read it free in the web. I

https://mises.org/store/Money-Bank-Credit-and-Economic-Cycles-P290.aspx

He is associated with a RW school of economics but what he says about banking will appeal to many LWers. In short he argues that every deposit lent out should be backed by an equivalent cash reserve.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:53 pm
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Now explain all this to millions of people and don't vote for a constituency that basically remanages the criteria of this banking system but never rewrites it so it fair. Changing political parties is the same as passing debt from one company to another recovery company.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:57 pm
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cheers , not least for saying age and not ignorance, but I understand your point


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 4:59 pm
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One thing we really need to teach in schools is macroeconomics and capitalism, and especially the downsides of excessive debt. It's a complex system with many players and many incentives to misbehave in favour of jam today.

A lot, if not most of the general public had no idea how out of control things were and why buying so much on tick was a bad thing (all the nice shiny things would have to be paid for some day).

What I'm really shocked about is that house prices in London have gone up 10% in a month... less than five years after such a major bust and one we are still working out of, with most of the country struggling. Have we learnt nothing about over-borrowing?


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 5:40 pm
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What we need to teach children is marksmanship, then we need to put a bounty on 'economists' and other such purveyors of fairy tales.

Biggest credit crunch/crisis/total financial meltdown ever, and how many economists were out there in the media telling us that it was coming? How many were advising us that we should change our ways in order to prevent this? How many were advising governments and financial institutions that they were doing it wrong?

...and we still listen to their explanations with respect?

Ahm a gonna git me my gun....


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 5:51 pm
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Crikey, that's a bit unfair. As always the non-consensus views were drowned out (like climate change?). FWIW, the BoE was aware of the risk (in published documents) but like many others chose to ignore it. And we let the Governor off!?!?!?

JY - pleasure (?!?!) but you have really disappointed me 😉 ! I have thrown out the idea that banks are low profitabitilty companies three times in 24 hours and you haven't bitten once!!! 😉


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 5:58 pm
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that's a bit unfair

I don't think it is. Economists would have us believe that the things they say and the things they are taught and the things they teach others have credibility, that they can observe, assess, predict they way that economies will work, will react, will develop.

Well? Where were they when it counted?

the non-consensus views were drowned out

So it was a PR problem?


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:05 pm
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My feeling is the solution is to say that an no time should private investors (individuals) own more money than exists in the economy

Alright, but how do you define money? What actually is it?


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:09 pm
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Gordon Brown and Ed Balls. They proclaimed to have ended boom and bust, so they should take responsibility for the bust that followed.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:31 pm
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To name just a few

Most famously Nouriel Roubini aka "Dr Doom" and made a fortune
Many at the BoE
Steve Keen down under in Aus
Krugman
Stiglitz
Wynne Godley here
Dean Baker
Soros
Shiller
The smart ones at the hedge funds who shorted the banks and are now billionaires !!!!

But people don't like to listen to bad news do they?


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:38 pm
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I have thrown out the idea that banks are low profitabitilty companies three times in 24 hours and you haven't bitten once

I am slowly becoming aware of the extent of my ignorance and picking my fights 😛


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:39 pm
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😀 😉


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:42 pm
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But people don't like to listen to bad news do they?

Yet economists seem to get away with not having a bloody clue, yet maintain a certain credibility. It's like magic!

I could post a list of the economic disasters that economists failed utterly to predict, but you'll know all about them.

I find it intriguing that any credibility at all is given to a subject that has failed so miserably yet again, while appearing to be a valuable source of advice and information.

Anyway, as you were.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:44 pm
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Gordon Brown and Ed Balls.

Well I'm not sure how Ed Balls the Secretary of State for Children, Schools and Families, was responsible for the collapse of Lehman Brothers, but it's an interesting proposition.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:45 pm
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No-one answered my question. Does money actually exist? I don't think it does, which is why banks can lend more than they own and we are dependent on their existence.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:51 pm
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Some bits do mol, yes.

M1, the narrowest measure of money, includes the hard stuff - actual notes and coins in circulation!


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 6:56 pm
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I'm beginning to suspect that Crikey might be me. Never seen us in the same room together...

But that's what strikes me as bizarre about the whole chain of events. Yes banks, yes subprime mortgages, yes financial innovation that miraculously turns liabilities into assets and funds creating more liabilities, all that good stuff. Very exciting recession with lots of cool new things to be recessed about.

But afterwards, we turn straight back to the same people who were supposed to know what was going on in the first place, but didn't. We still cack ourselves at the threat that credit agencies will reduce our rating (even though they rated Greece as an A until mid 2010) despite them being so complicit in the subprime crisis, we ask the same economists who had no clue what was going on what's going to happen next and what we should do... It's like Molgrips going back to the same old mechanics 😉

PS yes I am fully aware that some economists were publically predicting what was going to happen, so let's add another level of weirdness, that the ones that got it right barely have any more voice now than the ones that got it wrong.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 7:03 pm
 MSP
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It appearers that learning economics teaches greed and selfishness.

http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20131022-are-economists-more-selfish


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 7:10 pm
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Economists have forecasted 9 out of the last 5 recessions.

Q: Why has astrology been invented? A: So that economy could be an accurate science.
Economic forecasters assume everything, except responsibility.

...and so on. Are we getting our haircut tomorrow Northwind?


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 7:14 pm
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Does money actually exist? I don't think it does

e-mail in profile molgrips Paypal gift is fine with me - after all its not real so you wont mind

Thanks in advance

I agree with NW and crikey [ except the haircut bit everyone knows I love mine as it is].
It is not a science and its not that predictive. At best its approximate rules of thumbs. Financial institutes are largely faith based hence why none of it can account for panic and greed.
Take house prices we all know they will crash one day - if new people cannot enter the market its irrelevant what your house is worth if you cannot sell it. I doubt anyone can predict when it happens though we are ever getting closer.
If it helps I will predict boom and bust as an eternal cycle under capitalism.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 7:23 pm
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so let's add another level of weirdness, that the ones that got it right barely have any more voice now than the ones that got it wrong.

It's not really weird at all. You're looking at it from the wrong angle - you're assuming what happened was completely unacceptable. You're not looking at the bigger picture.

The crises of 2007 was the logical conclusion of 30 years of neoliberal economics and deregulation on both sides of the Atlantic. A period of time which saw a massive unimaginable increase in the wealth of the 1%.

Sure, the Global Financial Crisis and all the economic instability it caused could hardly be described as desirable, but it didn't undo what had been achieved over the previous 30 years, ie, the massive accumulation of wealth in the hands of the few.

Furthermore those responsible for the crisis got off scot-free and the burden was placed firmly onto the shoulders of the people with no discernible wealth or power.

And in the case of the UK a banker friendly government was able to effectively use the situation in their favour and carry out widespread ideological motivated cuts in social provisions, and remarkably, to a great extent blame and demonize the poor people for the crises which the country was/is experiencing.

It would be wrong to dismiss neoliberal economics and believe that it requires a revaluation purely on the basis of the Global Financial Crisis, if you are a neoliberal of course.

So it's business as usual ......... no need to change anything, no need to listen to anyone else. Don't expect change.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 7:45 pm
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ernie_lynch - Member
Gordon Brown and Ed Balls.

Well I'm not sure how Ed Balls the Secretary of State for Children, Schools and Families, was responsible for the collapse of Lehman Brothers, but it's an interesting proposition.

Ed Balls was economic adviser to Shadow Chancellor Gordon Brown in 1994. When Labour won the 1997 general election, Brown became Chancellor and Balls continued to work as an economic adviser to him. He went on to serve as Chairman of HM Treasury's Council of Economic Advisers.

Balls became Economic Secretary to the Treasury in the government reshuffle of May 2006.

By then, the damage was done! Only after that was he Secretary of State for Children, Schools and Families (27 Jun 2007).


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 7:47 pm
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Balls became Economic Secretary to the Treasury in the government reshuffle of May 2006.

And 2 years later Lehman Brothers went bust !

If that doesn't point the finger of guilt then I don't know what does.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 7:52 pm
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For three years, the young assistant professor took his vacations at a country inn. He had an affair with the innkeeper's daughter. Looking forward to an exciting few days, he dragged his suitcase up the stairs of the inn, then stopped short. There sat his lover with an infant on her lap! "Why didn't you write when you learned you were pregnant?" he cried. "I would have rushed up here, we could have gotten married, and the child would have my name!" "Well," she said, "when my folks found out about my condition, we sat up all night talkin' and talkin' and we finally decided it would be better to have a bastard in the family than an economist."


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 7:57 pm
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Whats frankly unbelievable is that once again the axis of greed and stupidity that is the government and the banks are now conspiring to fuel another debt laden housing boom, in a short termist insanity that will inevitably lead to the same conclusion as the last one! They've learnt nothing. But then why would they when they all just walked away unaffected by the carnage they caused, and left the rest of us to pick up the tab?


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 8:00 pm
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Brown-Balls so smugly announced that they had put an end to boom and bust. Obviously there are myriad causes to the recession we had (which was not double-dip btw), but they could have done more to protect us and we could have fared a bit better.

At risk of undermining myself, I just don't like either of them!


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 8:06 pm
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At risk of undermining myself, I just don't like either of them!

So you confess !


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 8:10 pm
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Among other things, economics suffers from two things

Like politics, economics is weakened by the fact that people feel the need to define themselves according to certain "schools of thought" eg, at it's simplest Keynesian v Monetarism. It is unnecessary and unhelpful and leads to sterile debates. Current issues within monetary economics are a great example of this. Some feel the need to insist that certain relationships are constants for example despite evidence to the contrary. The interesting stuff comes from trying to understand why and how the thereotical frameworks may have broken down and why the constants are variables not constants. Economists should not fear this.

The ever-increasing domination of maths within economics gives people a false sense of precision. Economics is at best a social science without the precision that many believe in. IMO it is best studied in conjunction with politics and philosophy. This makes it a more "real" and useful subject.

At is best, economics give people analytical frameworks that allows themto make sense of the world around them. In fact, we are all economists every day, since economics is concerned with how we allocate scarce resources and none of us can escape this need ever day of our lives.

As an example, economics gives us a very simple set of tools that explain the "why" behind Binners points above.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 8:23 pm
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So you confess !

I do, but I stand by the points made.

End of correspondence!


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 8:40 pm
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THM that is an exceptionally good post.


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 8:52 pm
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Why thank you! 😉


 
Posted : 26/10/2013 8:54 pm
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As always the non-consensus views were drowned out (like climate change?)

It would only be like climate change "controversy" if not only were the deniers denying that busy would happen in the future, but also that it had happened in the past and was now happening.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 12:56 am
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How refreshing to find an interesting and informative thread that the dickheads have stayed away from!


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 1:55 am
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ZOMBIE APOCALYPSE! YOUR BIKE IZ SARACEN

Aaah, that's much better.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 2:04 am
 tron
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To answer the OP's question. Yes.

Banks started lending more and more money against the assets they had.
Other bankers were basically running the financial equivalent of the horsemeat scandal (Credit Default Swaps).

End result is that if a few people start defaulting on mortgages, banks are going to go bust. Banks are pretty important to the economy, and so the government had to prop them up. At some point the management of the banks will have realised that they had a free insurance policy in place...

You can argue that there's a place for regulation - see the split of Lloyds TSB, the BoE insisting that banks hold more capital to avoid the risk of banks going to the wall in future etc. Ultimately, the management of the banks went down a risky path, and the bet didn't come off for them.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 9:11 am
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tron
Ultimately, the management of the banks went down a risky path

Very true, but don't stop there, it's the next bit that's so important (especially if we want to play the blame game).....WHY?


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 9:18 am
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IMO it is best studied in conjunction with politics and philosophy. This makes it a more "real" and useful subject.

Perhaps - although IMO this still doesn't excuse the preponderance of PPEists inhabiting Government, who insist that market platitudes are a sound basis for policy. The small print in current healthcare reform is chock-full of received wisdom about "competition" that makes very little sense on the ground (not least in acute care) - and it's grimly amusing to see Monitor [the [s]Mckinsey alumni job scheme[/s] health regulator] belatedly discovering just what an [i]utter[/i] clusterfug the ConDems have unleashed (excepting those who regard such fragmentation as the [i]actual[/i] plan, of course...).

Does money actually exist?

Chainreaction vouchers, innit. Actually, as a single bloke with no real responsiblities, I tend equate money with 'time'.

Edit: E.F. Schumacher's joke is still doing the rounds:

I was sitting on a train the other day in England and found myself in a compartment with three gentlemen who were having a heated debate. I couldn't help hearing what they were saying and I gathered that one of them was a surgeon, one was an architect, and the third was an economist. They were discussing whose was the oldest profession. After a totally inconclusive debate finally the surgeon said, "Look here, come off it? I mean, there's no doubt: if you know Genesis, the Lord took a rib out of Adam to make Eve, and that was a surgical operation."

But, unabashed, the architect said, "Well, long before He did this He had created the whole universe out of chaos: that was an architectural job."

And the economist said merely, "And who created chaos?"


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 10:47 am
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WHY?

Banking is the apex of capitalism and [ at the top]it attracts folk who are greedy and want to be richly rewarded. they have few morals as to how this is achieved and they think of the next big pay day. i suspect the bonus culture encourage short term ism as well and "risk takers" "wealth creators" are admired and fetted as geniuses and richly rewarded financially and personally- Fred goodwin knighted for example

IMO it is best studied in conjunction with politics and philosophy.

you want more politicians who have done PPE 😉


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 11:01 am
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I might also point out that, in the case of HBOS, the Risk Control function was chronically under-resourced and that the warnings they tried to flag up were ignored by those at the top. I'm still amazed that we've seen none of those responsible charged with some sort of corporate fraud (other than Peter Cummings) and that the only censure was the loss of a knoghthood or two. Andy Hornby, the man in charge at HBOS has since picked up another role at bookmakers Coral. Personally, I'd have moral reservations about employing such a shyster but maybe he's already proved he's good at gambling and taking other folks money.

Anyway, my point is that it's unfair to blame "bankers" as if everyone who worked in a bank was in some way complicit - and we should remember that many, many thousands lost their jobs.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 11:04 am
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I think when folk say bankers they mean the ones at the top making the decisions,the players of the market, the investors in the city, Hedge fund players etc rather than the person behind the counter in their local branch
I think everyone can see that difference


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 11:15 am
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Good point JY! But seriously, economics addresses how we allocate scarce resources. Philosophy adds the question, "what is the right thing to do" and politics sets the context, "why are we doing it." Both make economics more useful and less abstract IMO.

I think the problem with the politicians is that they have broadly have the same frameworks. The enigma for me is ed balls because he writes very well and brings a quite different perspective. But then screws up in practice and when talking especially in the westminster village.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 11:47 am
 Olly
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I'm sure I will get a shoeing for voicing my opinion, but it is the idea of a "growth" economy as a whole at a base level that caused it.

Money/wealth is like Energy. it CANNOT be created, nor destroyed. Any and all who are making a "profit" are making it a the expense of someone else in the system (on four dimensions, a this now includes the time axis). End of.

Unfortunately society sees this wealth accumulation as a thing to aspire to, the top gets heavier and heavier, the base gets narrower and narrower. it has a limit! it cant go on forever! in an idealistic term, we would all be super rich, when we were all super rich, we would all be just as rich as each other, and therefore not rich.

I recognise the system is hugely complicated, but on a base level the system has to conform to a certain set of physical laws, and it is currently trying (and succeeding) to dodge them, but as it climbs higher, when it inevitably falls, it just has further and further to fall.

I obviously wouldn't want it to happen to me, or anyone else, but when the banks fell, due to bad decisions they should have been allowed to fall. this would force people to voice how much risk they were prepared to put up with the banks taking with their money. As it was/is, people go for maximum return because they know that if it doesn’t work out the government will give them their money back anyway (which will then be taken from future taxes)

I have no problem with a capitalist system as such, but it has to recognise it works both ways! This obsession with "growth" is so stupid.

Yes you SHOULD be able to buy a house, you borrow money off the bank (cash that is in the bank from other people), and PAY IT BACK. If the bank doesnt have the cash to lend, it shouldnt lend it!

Why is socialist SUCH a "dirty" word? That rubbish they were bonking on about how Ed rubber bands dad was a Marxist? as if Marxism was on a par with Naziism. Hating one random group of people, and not believing in "profit" are not really comparable.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 12:01 pm
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Money/wealth is like Energy. it CANNOT be created, nor destroyed

Money and wealth aren't the same thing, but you are wrong on both counts Imo.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 12:09 pm
 Olly
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defining:

Money: tokens used in substitute of actual things when exchanging things for different things (or services)
Wealth: accumulation of the above

Please explain


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 12:18 pm
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Wealth can be created. It is the basis of civilisation. If I had to make everything that I use I would be very inefficient. Grow my food, build my house, treat myself when I am ill etc etc. The fact that we specialize means that you can create a surplus which you then trade for things you want. Also known as profit. Something like a bike can be created because I make a profit which I then spend on a bike & lo! bicycle manufacturers appear to fill that desire.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 12:39 pm
 Olly
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I believe, personally, you are mixing up profit with efficiency. You may not have to build your own house, but you do have to pay for it. That money pays the people who built it. Building a top end plastic bike frame would not be efficient for you to do yourself, but you could do it. A specialist has that market as they have the tooling and staff and skill etc etc in place. The costs for those overheads are spread over multiple consumers, but the costs remain.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 12:50 pm
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But then screws up in practice and when talking especially in the westminster village.

I dont think having a stutter helps him tbh and I rather suspect he has to be careful what words he uses given this
Supposition but seems plausible.
I dont think either him or GO are good orators tbh

Perhaps the other problem is they have to frame arguments in a way the person on the omnibus can comprehend - you often give economic answers that mean few of us have a clue what you are talking about* - perhaps this is what they need to avoid doing to the electorate and they sound dumb to you?

* Not a dig just saying if you use the language of economics few can follow your argument.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 12:54 pm
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I wasn't meaning his stutter - that is unfortunate and he does very well to mask it. I mean that he has to play party political bullshit all the time, However, perhaps the biggest complement that he can be given is (1) he coined the best description of the UKs economic performance ("flatlining") and when the rest of the BS is stripped away, what Osborne implemented was pretty much exactly what Balls was calling for. In the end the Tories did not cut too far or too fast (to the dismay of many RWers) and the end policy was pretty close to what Balls was recommending. Not that either is likely to admit it!

But for me, Balls biggest sin as an Economist (and forget the rubbish about his job title as he was the main Labour economic brain) was to forget the essence of what his Keynesian training taught him and what he himself has written about. Under Labour, Gov finances were at one point coming under control and a true Keynsian would have adopted counter-cyclical policies to ensure we built up surpluses that would have allowed us to manage the downturn better, Instead in a mark of hubris, his trainging was ignored and we went on a fiscal gorge fest at exactly the wrong time making the subsequent downturn worse and reducing our ability to respond to it. For that (forgetting what he was taught and what he wrote himself) I find it hard to forgive him!


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 1:56 pm
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Can you stop making reasonable points as it hurts to much to agree with you 😉

Indeed we should have banked some for the bad times but they did not need to as they had ended boom and bust


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 2:06 pm
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Both make economics more useful and less abstract IMO.

What we need is an academic discipline that involves critical thinking about the past (so as to avoid repeating mistakes).

We could call it 'History'. 😉


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 5:06 pm
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True - currently looking for which Unis offer History, Philosophy and Politics for number 2 son!!

May be more useful than PPE!!


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 5:16 pm
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May be more useful than PPE!!

I dunno, IME, Personal Protective Equipment has its uses.

Good luck with THM junior's application. My head spins when I reflect upon the fact that it was nearly 20 years ago that I filled out my UCAS form... 😯


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 5:22 pm
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It was a lot easier back then. Perhaps NWind can give us tips!!! Still a year away from submitting for number 2.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 5:27 pm
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I thought you would have had him darn't pit by now thm? 😀


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 5:29 pm
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Nah, he didn't even help with the grass today. Writing homework essays on Kant instead. The surreal life of the modern teenager!!!! He did get short bike ride in though so I will let him off!


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 5:34 pm
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@Junkyard - going back to yesterday; yes shareholders money is the basis for loans. Don't think about the trades on the stock exchange but the original issue of shares, "real money" moves from shareholder to bank.

There was a comment earlier about banks and capitalism (banks being the peak of capitalism I think), the two are inextricably linked, to have have a healthy vibrant capitalist economy you need a healthy banking system. What we are seeing now is that with the banking system damaged (due to out doubted excess) the general economy is suffering. Capitalism as we see it certainly isn't "perfect" but it's certainly proved to be the most effective and dominant system.


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 9:54 pm
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Don't think about the trades on the stock exchange but the original issue of shares,

stretching it a bit, Barclays,for example, was formed in 1690.
I disagree with your assesment of capitlaism. Its good for the winners. of which anyone in the west is one, but it is iniquitous and deeply flawed.

I could live with being a bit poorer and a lot fairer personally though its a minority voice in the main.
this is not what i would call effective personally - the top 0.001% have more wealth than the bottom 99.9%
thats 91,000 v 6 billion ish!!
[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 27/10/2013 10:20 pm
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