A morbid interest i...
 

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[Closed] A morbid interest in the meltdown

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The disaster which struck Japan on all the different levels has been fascinating to see unfold with the availability of video footage and near instant updates on the situation.

The current state of the nuclear reactors and the potential meltdown has had me checking for updates on far too regular a basis. It's not so much the 'oh my god it's going to blow up' factor, but the ability to witness something only read about in text books and discussed by many over the disadvantage of nuclear power is truly fascinating.

Has anybody read anything on post melt down clean up? WOuld the area be left alone and the rebuild of Japan focused else where or would the radiation zone become the key focus away from the rebuild?

When Chernobyl melted down, it was from what I know, pretty much kept underwraps as long as possible, then all handled by the Russians to minimise outside influence.

Is Japan in a position to do this and if they aren't who would go and clean it up? What sort of person would go and clean up a potentially fatal radioactive fallout from another country?

Some of my students at school in year 11 have spent their free time (first for me and not even top set) trying to compare nuclear disasters and work out for themselves what is really happening in Japan, in particular how the meltdown would affect Tokyo.

note: I know that the humanitarian side of STW will be along in a minute to chastise me for being insensitive, but putting the whole humanitarian issues aside. The ability to catalogue a disaster on this scale is amazing.

How long will Japan stay in the spotlight as well? Haiti dropped out pretty quickly.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 10:42 pm
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Haiti dropped out pretty quickly.

Haiti was not the worlds third largest economy. I think Japan will be topical for a while.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 10:45 pm
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I think Japan will be topical for a while.

Would they be involved in much media manipulation to paint a rosier picture?


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 10:47 pm
 grum
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The Grauniad certainly seems to be revelling in it all a little too much.

Your questions are definitely interesting though imo. There is a British nuclear expert suggesting even the worst case scenario is unlikely to be 'another Chernobyl' btw.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 10:48 pm
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I'm a systems engineer. I did some research on three mile island as a uni project. Have always been interested in the energy supply problem. It's fascinating and horrifying. God help them.

It's not the same type of problem as Chernobyl. That exploded the uncontained reactor when a badly run commissioning test made it go super critical. The reactors in japan are fully inhibited but still hot. The worry here is that without pumped coolant a full core meltdown is possible that could lead to china syndrome although there are also design measures to prevent it.

But I just read that reactor 4s cool down pool may have evaporated away. That might result in a very large release if it isn't dealt with. It's been suggested that it might re react but I can't believe that.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 10:52 pm
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^ I read a few 'experts' opionions on the reactors. Chernobyl was carbon rods catching fire, this would be the concrete, Chernobyl vented directly to the outside with no protection, this one alegedly has protection, although I thought it had been damaged significantly with an explosion.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 10:53 pm
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It's fascinating and horrifying. God help them.

Much how I see it.

A thought might be that youtube and the ability to watch others mishaps so easily has desensitized people to what it really is like there.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 10:57 pm
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Compared to the deaths and devastation caused by the tsunami the reactor problems are utterly insignificant. I doubt that'll add a fraction of a percent to the impact.

Water just doesn't sound scary.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:01 pm
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From a very old Horizon program I remember this:

Underneath the reactor at Chernobyl there is a feature called "The Elephant's foot". It is as far down as the molten core material went during the accident. When it was found they wanted to know what it was composed of. The radiation was so bad it killed robots so they sent a marksman and from a "safe" distance he shot off a small chunk that was then retrieved with a childs remote control car.

Turned out it was scarily HOT core material and fuel all molten together.

If you can track it down its well worth a watch.

Also try and get hold of New Scientist 21st Aug 2004, they interview one of the technicians onsite at the time it went bang...........chilling.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:01 pm
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When Chernobyl melted down, it was from what I know, pretty much kept underwraps as long as possible

On the contrary, Gorbachev was praised for the Soviet Union's unprecedented openness when the Chernobyl disaster occurred. I don't know how warranted that was though, in the same way that I can't be sure how honest and open the Japanese authorities are being at the moment. The nuclear industry in all countries tends to be very secretive and less than honest. The first nuclear disaster in the world occurred in Britain, and yet the British government didn't officially admit to it until about 30 years afterwards. It still isn't talked about very much.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:01 pm
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Compared to the deaths and devastation caused by the tsunami the reactor problems are utterly insignificant

At this moment in time.

If the reactor does go and contaminates the local area and surrounding areas it will be a different story. It has the potential to effect 1000's again and make areas inhabitable.

I'm sure it was Japan that had a boat at sea for years carrying nuclear waste that an African country became wise to and refused to land it. Circa ate 80's i'm sure.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:05 pm
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There are very clear explanations of windscale three mile island and Chernobyl accidents on wikipedia. They were secretive about windscale because the reactor was part of our nuclear weapons Making programme not a power station at all.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:05 pm
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On the contrary, Gorbachev was praised for the Soviet Union's unprecedented openness when the Chernobyl disaster occurred

The initial evidence that a major release of radioactive material was affecting other countries came not from Soviet sources, but from Sweden, where on the morning of 28 April[55] workers at the Forsmark Nuclear Power Plant (approximately 1,100 km (680 mi) from the Chernobyl site) were found to have radioactive particles on their clothes.[56] It was Sweden's search for the source of radioactivity, after they had determined there was no leak at the Swedish plant, that at noon on April 28 led to the first hint of a serious nuclear problem in the western Soviet Union. Hence the evacuation of Pripyat on April 27, 36 hours after the initial explosions, was silently completed before the disaster became known outside the Soviet Union. The rise in radiation levels had at that time already been measured in Finland, but a civil service strike delayed the response and publication.[57]

It's from Wiki, but that is pretty much what I had read about in a book on Chernobyl. They hadn't told anybody it had happened for two days

edit - I'm sure I watched a horizon or something along those lines with an offical person of some sort talking about asking the Russians what was happening and getting denial to start with, evenutally followed by acceptance that there had been an accident.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:11 pm
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At this moment in time.

Or at any time. Towns will not be erased. 10s of thousands will not die in minutes. Hundreds of thousands more people will not be made homeless. A few people might die a bit early. Maybe.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:12 pm
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buzz-lightyear - Member
I'm a systems engineer. I did some research on three mile island as a uni project. Have always been interested in the energy supply problem

Loughborough?


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:16 pm
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[i]Or at any time. Towns will not be erased. 10s of thousands will not die in minutes. Hundreds of thousands more people will not be made homeless. A few people might die a bit early. Maybe.[/i]

But at the end of the day, I'd be more inclined to live on the coast than next to a rotting nuclear power station.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:17 pm
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Well, if you lived on the coast (near those power stations) you stood more chance of getting killed by water than radiation. Several thousand times more.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:22 pm
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Only with in the time scale of the last week though.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:24 pm
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They hadn't told anybody it had happened for two days

Yep, the Soviet Union admitting 2 days after Chernobyl that a had disaster occurred, was unprecedented openness.

[i]"the Windscale fire of October 1957. The reactor's core, made of graphite, caught light, melted and burned substantial amounts of the uranium fuel, and released large amounts of radioactivity. It was the most serious nuclear calamity until Chernobyl nearly 30 years later, but the British government did all it could to minimise its significance, trying at first to keep it a complete secret (the local fire brigade was not notified for 24 hours) and keeping the official report confidential until 1988"[/i]


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:28 pm
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Only with in the time scale of the last week though.

You do realise that the reactors going bang was because of the tsunami, don't you? It's not a tragic coincidence.

If the reactors had gone bang all by themselves it would be (in normal terms) serious. As it it's just a tiny part of a truly huge disaster. Unfortunately it's taking the focus off the real tragedy.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:28 pm
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even when thay have blown up and are on fire people go on about how safe they are. What would it take to convince you they are not that safe?


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:37 pm
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Nah Portsmouth . Not brainy enough for Loughborough


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:39 pm
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Just to add to this :

Yep, the Soviet Union admitting 2 days after Chernobyl that a had disaster occurred, was unprecedented openness.

......just in case anyone thinks Japan's nuclear industry is usually very open, they're not. It has a long history of cover-ups and lies, which have involved senior executives and a chairman being forced to resign. Just one example :

[url= http://www.reuters.com/article/2007/03/15/us-japan-nuclear-idUST7529420070315 ]Outrage over Japan nuclear reactor coverup[/url]


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:41 pm
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there was a program about windscale on TV a while back, i found it a compelling but chilling story.
a friend of the family wrote a book called 'maximum credible accident' about a nuclear disaster in the u.k. will see if i can get hold of a copy.


 
Posted : 16/03/2011 11:46 pm
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Compared to the deaths and devastation caused by the tsunami the reactor problems are utterly insignificant. I doubt that'll add a fraction of a percent to the impact

How dare you trivialise the problem at the reactor. Don't you realise that your remarks could upset people who are already worried?


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 1:05 am
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Well, if you lived on the coast (near those power stations) you stood more chance of getting killed by water than radiation. Several thousand times more

Only with in the time scale of the last week though.

Within any timescale you care to pick, apart from if you move there right now - you'd better hurry though, your window of increased risk from radiation is pretty small.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 1:10 am
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Yes that appears to be the line that The Resister is now pushing aracer :

[i]"Nonetheless its human consequences seem certain to remain insignificant against the horrifying backdrop of the earthquake tragedy elsewhere in Japan"[/i]

IE, Fukushima has gone tits up, but it won't kill 10,000 + like the earthquake/Tsunami.

So the human consequences [i]"seem certain"[/i] to remain insignificant, which is nice to know. Although only 2 days ago The Resister seemed certain that [i]"Fukushima is a triumph for nuke power"[/i] and claimed that [i]"Japan's nuclear powerplants have performed magnificently"[/i]

Today however, The Resister is claiming that Fukushima is [i]"definitely the second worst nuclear accident yet seen"[/i] ....and yes that's "definite" btw.

Still, as long as they seem certain that everything is definite, then I guess that's alright.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 1:27 am
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CUrrent headline for the Telegraph is New Chernobyl 48 hours away

Reading between the lines though, they mention the relief efforts to stricken parts not getting there and peple enduring freezing weather.

Is it at all possible the reactors are being used to draw our attention away from the fact that they aren't managing to cope with the rescue/clean up and are in fact in a lot more of a disaster situation than is being let on.

but the government raised the maximum allowable radiation exposure for workers from 100 millisieverts per year to 250, which it said was “unavoidable due to the circumstances”

THat I find a fascinitating statement.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 6:06 am
 aP
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All 3 events in Japan are horrific each and of themselves. The humanitarian issues dealing with the refugees is enormous and have, outside Japan, become less [i]newsworthy[/i] than the ongoing saga with 4 ageing US designed nuclear reactors which through whatever process are now in a state of near catastrophic failure.
It would be interesting (as an exercise) to consider how the UK would be able to react to a similar group of calamities. I would think that your students might be quite surprised, and I rather suspect not in a good way.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 7:19 am
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It might also be worth working out the probability, given plate movements, of the UK finding itself in an active earthquake zone when a one-in-one-thousand year quake hits.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 7:41 am
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Today however, The Resister is claiming that Fukushima is "definitely the second worst nuclear accident yet seen" ....and yes that's "definite" btw

Did you read the rest of the article or just the headline?
[url= http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/03/16/fukushima_wednesday/page2.html ]Rest here[/url]


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 7:42 am
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4 ageing US designed nuclear reactors

Again, does the STW world consider it possible that there are fossil fuel interests steering these news stories or should I put my tin foil hat away?


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 7:43 am
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[i]A morbid interest in the meltdown[/i]

The media are desperately praying for a meltdown or at least a few more dramatic hydrogen explosions. As it is they're restricted to showing the same three bangs over and over while conjecturing wildly about what "might" happen, quite entertaining given that half of them can't even pronounce the word "nuclear" never mind understand anything about nuclear power.

No, it's not the same as a bomb, it's nothing like Chernobyl, get over yourselves.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 7:58 am
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it's ramifications for the nuclear power industry as a whole, worldwide, are likely to be felt for a long time.

Nuclear power is one of the few viable alternatives to fossil fuel in my book and this will set the cause back a long way. The americans are already getting jittery.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 8:10 am
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Nuclear power is one of the few viable alternatives to fossil fuel in my book and this will set the cause back a long way.

+1 Lessons can be learnt but rational must be maintained, the causes of what's occurring in Japan are fairly unlikely in the UK and most or Europe!


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 8:41 am
 Ewan
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I must say the reporting of this in the media has been pretty shocking, last night Newsnight confused fission with fusion, and then had a round table discussion with a Japanese concert pianist and a actress who'd once played a survivor of Nagasaki. I mean, WTF?!

The only competent 'expert' I've seen so far was on the Today program this morning, he raised the question of why they were dumping water from the air - not going to cool the core as the containment vessel is in the way, could be cooling the containment vessel (but why would you want to particularly), and it's a rubbish way to fill up the cool pond. He also pointed out that the radiation released thus far has been largely assoicated with the short term isotopes in the steam


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 8:49 am
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CUrrent headline for the Telegraph is New Chernobyl 48 hours away

Another newspaper I need to avoid as it over sensationalises stuff then.

Did you read the rest of the article or just the headline?

Oh I'm sure he read the rest. It just didn't provide the sort of quotes he was after.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 8:51 am
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"The americans are already getting jittery." errr yep. Apparently in my wifes home town of Austin, pharmacies are experiencing a run on Iodine tablets!! Yes it's serious in Japan but I don't think Texas needs to worry quite yet.

Whilst this may set back civilian nuclear projects, it may force additional research and funding into other non fossil fuel based energy projects which may be no bad thing.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:03 am
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1 Lessons can be learnt but rational must be maintained, the causes of what's occurring in Japan are fairly unlikely in the UK and most or Europe!

so the volcanic balearic islands and iceland are no threat then?
there was a program on the telly a few years ago about a volcano on the balearics that was possibly going to slide into the sea and cause a tsunami.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:06 am
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I'm a process engineer with a specialisation in safety and loss prevention, so i'm finding this both interesting and disturbing in equal measure. I'd look forward to reading the 'what went wrong' report in a couple of years, if I didn't think that the japanese nuclear industry are going to whitewash it 🙁


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:16 am
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Dobbo wrote:

fairly unlikely

Hopefully if there's a likely hood of it happening and the UK being hard hit it will be taken in to account, maybe you should email BNFL and advise them to watch the program!

There was a program about the world being hit by a meteorite a while back where do you stop...


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:16 am
 j_me
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The attempts at dropping water from chinooks looks particularly futile and worryingly desperate!


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:18 am
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I'd look forward to reading the 'what went wrong' report in a couple of years, if I didn't think that the japanese nuclear industry are going to whitewash it

Depends on what part of what went wrong you are most interested in, the part that made them decide to build it on low level ground facing the ring of fire earthquake and Tsunami risk. Or the part that the backup systems failed, which I suppose is related to the first point.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:20 am
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The human factor mostly, the events/mistakes that seem to be turning an incident into a disaster.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:27 am
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Did you read the rest of the article or just the headline?

Rest here

[b]Of course I read the rest of the article, why wouldn't have.......because I didn't copy and paste the whole of it ?

And btw, your link is to page 2 of the article - why ? what's wrong with page 1 .......don't you like it ?

I tell you what, since you presumably think there is something "suspicious" about me only copying and pasting one sentence, let me do it all :[/b]

[i]The situation at the Fukushima Daiichi powerplant has worsened significantly as it becomes clear that one and possibly two reactors there have suffered a breach in primary containment, making the incident definitely the second worst nuclear accident yet seen.

Nonetheless its human consequences seem certain to remain insignificant against the horrifying backdrop of the earthquake tragedy elsewhere in Japan: and there remain no grounds for anyone to fear for their health.

Nuclear experts at MIT confirm that leaks from the suppression chamber at Daiichi No 2 reactor reported yesterday do in fact amount to a breach in primary containment, contradicting a statement supplied to World Nuclear News at the time by plant operator TEPCO. The doughnut-shaped suppression chamber is believed to have been damaged by a hydrogen-oxygen explosion like those which have wracked the site since the weekend, but this time occurring inside the primary containment shell rather than outside as previously seen.

It now appears that a similar breach may have taken place at the plant's No 3 reactor: Japanese chief cabinet secretary Edano raised the possibility in a briefing during the early hours of today (UK time). There was no loud blast as at No 2, but a brief burst of intense radiation emissions similar to that following the No 2 rupture has been seen at No 3.

The original radiation surge following the No 2 breach prompted withdrawal of most of the hundreds of workers then on site. A small team remained. The initial rise in radiation then declined, but the further surge early this morning led to a brief total evacuation. However, as this is written a small team is back on site. Plant personnel are reportedly spending most of their time in heavily protected control rooms.

According to the MIT experts, these rises in radiation will have been caused mostly by short-lived radioactive isotopes within the cloud of steam and gases emitted from reactor No 2 and possibly from No 3: the bulk of these decay to small levels within minutes. Most of them are isotopes of noble gases such as argon, meaning that they are chemically unreactive and can't be absorbed by human bodies, the ground, plants or animals etc.

As of latest reports, the Nos 1, 2 and 3 reactor cores are still being cooled using seawater pumped by the site's firefighting systems. Their residual heat has now dropped to around 0.5 per cent of normal output, easing the problems of cooling them. The primary power reaction was shut off as control rods were automatically slammed in when the quake hit, but intermediate reactions will continue for months: present levels of heating - estimated to be approximately 12 megawatts at the No 2 reactor - will have halved again by the summer.

If cooling can be maintained, the cores will continue to emit mainly shortlived isotopes, and the radiation problem will remain minimal. If cores melt down fully - it is acknowledged that the fuel rods have already sustained significant heat damage - the potential is there for significant amounts of dangerous long-lived radioisotopes of chemicals such as iodine to escape from the breached primary containment vessel (or vessels), though the residual heating power of the core material would be much reduced by melting and probable resolidification in water remaining at the bottom of the containment, or having dispersed into the steel and concrete base of the vessel.

At present, according to Edano, radiation levels within the plant are back down to levels where there is "on the whole no health hazard".

Elsewhere at the stricken plant there have been fires at a storage pool in the No 4 reactor building, which was shut down when the quakes hit. Spent fuel rods from the reactor are stored in the pool to keep them safely cool. An initial fire, doused by firefighters in the early hours of yesterday morning, may have been caused by an oil leak but there is strong evidence to suggest that hydrogen has emitted from the pool - which would also suggest that the spent rods are exposed to the air.

If spent fuel rods are left exposed long enough they will become so hot as to suffer damage, though this takes some time. Edano stated this morning that efforts to get water into the pool are to begin shortly using pumps on the ground, an earlier plan to drop it from helicopters having been abandoned. Edano said it was important to add water gradually "as there are safety concerns" with dumping a large amount in at once. This would indicate that the rods are believed to be exposed and hot, and a steam explosion could result from a sudden massive water dump.

Asked if it was possible for the spent rods to restart a powerful reaction of the sort seen in a reactor core - which would make it very hard to cool them effectively in the storage pool - Edano stated that this is not a realistic risk.

Next page: Health consequences[/i]

[b]So what's your point mikewsmith ? My point was that The Resister has completely changed its position within two days. Yesterday it was saying that Fukushima is definitely the second worst nuclear accident ever and the situation is very serious. And yet two days previously it had been saying that it wasn't serious and represented a "triumph".

Now I personally don't know what is true, but I recognise backtracking when I see it.

Oh wait, I didn't copy and paste the whole article from 3 days ago, just one sentence, so I better do it :[/b]

[i]Analysis Japan's nuclear powerplants have performed magnificently in the face of a disaster hugely greater than they were designed to withstand, remaining entirely safe throughout and sustaining only minor damage. The unfolding Fukushima story has enormously strengthened the case for advanced nations – including Japan – to build more nuclear powerplants, in the knowledge that no imaginable disaster can result in serious problems.

Let's recap on what's happened so far. The earthquake which hit on Friday was terrifically powerful, shaking the entire planet on its axis and jolting the whole of Japan several feet sideways. At 8.9 on the Richter scale, it was some five times stronger than the older Fukushima plants had been designed to cope with.

If nuclear powerplants were merely as safe as they are advertised to be, there should have been a major failure right then. As the hot cores ceased to be cooled by the water which is used to extract power from them, control rods would have remained withdrawn and a runaway chain reaction could have ensued – probably resulting in the worst thing that can happen to a properly designed nuclear reactor: a core meltdown in which the superhot fuel rods actually melt and slag down the whole core into a blob of molten metal. In this case the only thing to do is seal up the containment and wait: no radiation disaster will take place1, but the reactor is a total writeoff and cooling the core off will be difficult and take a long time. Eventual cleanup will be protracted and expensive.

In fact, though the quake was far beyond design limits, all the reactors went into automatic shutdown perfectly: triumph number one. Control rods slammed into the cores, absorbing the neutrons spitting from the fuel rods and pinching off the uranium-fission chain reactions powering the plant.

However, the cores were still producing heat and radiation at this point: intermediate radioactive isotopes of caesium and iodine are created during normal running. They have short half-lives and decay to insignificant levels within days of a shutdown, but for that time the reactor will still produce a few per cent of the heat it puts out in normal running – and this is still a lot of heat. If it is not dealt with, it can eventually melt down parts of the core, though the resulting mess will not be nearly as bad as a runaway meltdown.

Thus, even with the control rods in, the core still needs to be cooled for some days until the "residual" heating dies away and so power and water need to be supplied for this purpose. Backup cooling driven by diesels came on at all the plants without trouble, despite the way-beyond-spec hit from the quake: triumph number two.

For a few hours all was well. Then the tsunami – again, bigger than the plant had been built to cope with – struck, knocking out the diesel backups and the backup diesel backups.

Needless to say, this being a nuclear powerplant, there was another backup and this one worked despite having been through a beyond-spec quake and the tsunami. Battery power cut in and the cores continued to be cooled, giving the plant operators some hours of leeway to bring in mobile generators: triumph number three.

Unfortunately it appears that the devastation from the quake and tsunami was sufficient that mobile power wasn't online at all the sites before the temperatures inside the cores began to climb seriously. At this stage the cores are sitting immersed in cooling water inside their terrifically thick and strong airtight containment vessels. As the water is not being circulated and cooled any more, it is getting hotter, turning to steam, and pressure is building inside the vessel. Left alone the vessel interior will presently become hot enough to start melting the tough alloy casings of the fuel rods, at which stage the interior will fill with long-half-life radioactive materials – and will thus have to be buttoned up tightly and abandoned for a long time, creating a mess.[/i]


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:29 am
 Ewan
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To be fair, the information that has resulted in the new opinion of the guy who wrote the article appears to have not been known two days ago. At the time nothing was known about the cooling pond, and the authorities had only said there had been a release of the steam (which had the salt and short lived isotopes in it).


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:33 am
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j_me - Member

The attempts at dropping water from chinooks looks particularly futile and worryingly desperate!

Whilst I know what you mean, for me it was the suggestion yesterday that a police water cannon might be used to cool down an out of control nuclear reactor, which sounded particularly futile and worryingly desperate.

But I don't know about these things, maybe using water cannons is the internationally recognised protocol for dealing with these situations. Has Britain even got any water cannons ? Probably only to deal with potential nuclear meltdowns eh ?


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:37 am
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Has Britain even got any water cannons

No, I think we sold them all to Bahrain.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:40 am
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To be fair, the information that has resulted in the new opinion of the guy who wrote the article appears to have not been known two days ago.

Absolutely, that's why they said it "seemed certain" ..........or was it "definite", I can't remember now.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:40 am
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Interesting article relating to nuclear vs other means and the effects on loss of life:

[url= http://www.livescience.com/13271-containment-breach-fukushima-implications.html ]http://www.livescience.com/13271-containment-breach-fukushima-implications.html[/url]


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 9:57 am
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BBC news headline says:

Japan is stepping up efforts to cool overheating fuel at the tsunami-hit Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, amid growing US alarm at radiation leaks

Only now they are stepping up? what exactly were they doing before?


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 10:05 am
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[url= http://nei.cachefly.net/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/ ]A bit more detailed info than the usual tabloid BBC scaremonger stuff[/url]


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 11:32 am
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So is the Nuclear Energy Institute a source of neutral unbiased information Dibbs ?

"[i]NEI is the policy organization for the nuclear technologies industry. Read about our leadership, our member companies and how your company can join.[/i]"

Is the "nuclear technologies industry" noted for it honesty, openness, and keen commitment to self-criticism ?

The Nuclear Energy Institute has no axe to grind ? .......unlike the BBC which obviously has - presumably because the BBC has a lot of money invested in carbon/oil energy production.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 11:50 am
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Has Britain even got any water cannons

Apparently so. This subject came up after the little student knees-up in London last year.

We do have water cannon but they're all in Northern Ireland. Who knows why? Perhaps they'll be shipping them back to the mainland. Under the guise of protecting Sellafield, obviously. But with a sly eye on the Cities erupting in violence again in the summer like they did in the eighties. Yay!


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:04 pm
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So is the Nuclear Energy Institute a source of neutral unbiased information Dibbs

It actually adds nice balance to the moronic Greenpeace-led 'experts' most people have wheeled out.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:07 pm
 Stu
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Pretty clear and reasonably impartial information from the Government's Chief Scientific Officer Professor John Beddington here:

http://ukinjapan.fco.gov.uk/en/news/?view=News&id=566811882

If you then couple that with the worst possible weather situation i.e. prevailing weather taking radioactive material in the direction of Greater Tokyo and you had maybe rainfall which would bring the radioactive material down do we have a problem? The answer is unequivocally no. Absolutely no issue. The problems are within 30 km of the reactor.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:13 pm
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Does anyone really believe any government source as being the truth? Both Japan and UK have a long history of covering up and / or minimising the releases of radioactivity


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:17 pm
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Is it fair to say that the energy company has done a good job keeping it all together for a week considering the catastrophic events?

What would be success now? Complete cooling then tidy up, is complete cooling likely or even possible? I can't imagine the tidy up will be easy.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:20 pm
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Does anyone really believe any government source as being the truth? Both Japan and UK have a long history of covering up and / or minimising the releases of radioactivity

Tin (lead) foil hats at the ready....

[url= http://www.ustream.tv/channel/geiger-counter-tokyo ]As I type, this is currently reading 13.97 cpm[/url] - This is about the same as it was last time I used a Geiger in Bangor, North Wales, about 9 months ago. Either Wylfa had recently melted down and we'd not noticed, or that's pretty much normal radiation.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:26 pm
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Zokes - you know that government sources have been very unreliable in the past on this sort of issue


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:28 pm
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So is the Nuclear Energy Institute a source of neutral unbiased information Dibbs ?

I don't think I mentioned bias, I mentioned scaremongering, the BBC and others are very keen to put out eye catching headlines but when it comes to supporting the headlines with figures maybe they think the general public are too thick to understand so they try and dumb everything down.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:31 pm
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Zokes - you know that government sources have been very unreliable in the past on this sort of issue

I also know that a lot of your information on nuclear comes from organisations who for whatever reason tacitly seem to think that nuclear power is much worse than global warming. There have been enough stats banded about on the three threads on here by now to demonstrate that peoples' paranoid perceptions of nuclear power are just that - paranoid perceptions. Yes, I accept that the situation at Fukushima is not good, but, [url= http://californiawatch.org/dailyreport/japan-dam-failure-renews-focus-california-dams-9264 ]it appears that not all green energy is safe either. [/url]

I also know that the link I posted came from a friend in Tokyo, and I have used a geiger counter just a few times before...

You'd have many more counts in Cornwall.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:34 pm
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Well I believe the geiger counter reading, Zokes. I don't know where it is though. I suspect somewhere south and west of the plant given the wind direction for the last week. French tsumani rescue workers (edit: working north of the plant) have been withdrawn because their geiger counter was over safe working limits (Europe 1).

Nuclear risks cause me more concern because I'd rather not die a slow miserable death. Getting wiped out by a failing dam would save me from growing old disgracefully but slowly disintegrating as a result of radiation poisoning does not appeal.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:49 pm
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1245: Steve Herman, Voice of America Bureau Chief tweets: "Got rad tested in Koriyama: My body 1500cpm, my boots 3000 cpm. Another reporter: 10,000 cpm on her shoes."


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:52 pm
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That meter is uncommonly stable though, it's not budged since I connected whilst the geiger counter I used went up and down like a yoyo. Either it averages over periods of the order of an hour or it's bust.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 12:53 pm
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Does anyone really believe any government source as being the truth? Both Japan and UK have a long history of covering up and / or minimising the releases of radioactivity

I'd not necessarily trust any source within the Japanese government any more than you or ernie, but I don't see why somebody from within the UK government should have any particular reason to be economical with the truth in these circumstances - it's not like we're even committed to new nuclear which might be affected by this. I'd certainly trust Professor John Beddington to have a better idea about the science than all the journos who probably don't even have a science A level between them (it would admittedly be preferable if his background was in something a bit harder than economics and stats).


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 2:08 pm
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Well, as the blanks I put through our scintillation counter regularly come back with about 30 dpm (cpm, but with background subtracted) simply due to natural radiation in potassium in one of the reagents we use, I'd not be worried.

I obviously can't vouch for that counter in the link personally (and i'd guess that since the page title mentions Tokyo, that's where it is), but we have more expensive counters that could be used to measure plant respiration to incredible levels of accuracy with only a tiny bit of 14C added. No bouncing around with them. The oldest monitor in the lab did a bit, but then it also didn't have 2dp precision either, which probably explains why it wasn't as precise.

Anyway, since logging back on, it's moved about between 13.96 and 14.87 cpm

But again, this is a stupid argument. The whole plant could blow sky high (which it won't) and there's still be a lot fewer deaths related to it than the actual disaster most of the media seem to ahve forgotten about.

Nuclear = BAD!!!!!!!!!! PANIC PANIC PANIC 🙄


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 2:21 pm
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Nuclear in the wrong hands or not used properly = BAD!!!!!!!!!! PANIC PANIC PANIC

HTH (Pre rolly eyes) 😆


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 2:27 pm
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HTH

Sorry, forgot the rolly eyes.

HTH


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 2:35 pm
 DrJ
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[url= http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article563041.ece ]Interesting article[/url] that says that the predicted deaths due to Chernobyl were wildly exaggerated. [url= http://lykkeandersen.dk/katastrof.htm ]Friend[/url] of mine has visited the area - looks fascinating !!!


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 2:46 pm
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More expert opinion, but don't let the facts get in the way of your blinkered paranoia....

http://www.news.com.au/japans-nuclear-crisis-is-not-chernobyl-say-experts/story-e6frfkp9-1226023119747


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 3:07 pm
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[i]But even in the case of Chernobyl, the exclusion zone that they had was about 30km. And in that exclusion zone, outside that, there is no evidence whatsoever to indicate people had problems from the radiation. [/i]

Sir John Beddington, you are a liar. Even in France an increase of 2000 thyroid cancers amongst children were ascribed to Tchernobyl.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 3:26 pm
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[url= http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12938722 ]I dunno, but this ref seems to back him up...[/url]

Chernobyl fallout cannot explain the entire increase in thyroid cancers in France, and that it is improbable that an epidemiological study could demonstrate such an excess.

Again, don't let teh facts get in teh way of anything....


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 3:32 pm
 Stu
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Let Nuclear Boy provide some reassurance! 😯


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 3:36 pm
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I read somewhere (BBC I think) that the water drops and cannons could be to try and get water into the 'holding pools' for reactor 4 which was shut down and had the fuel rods in the holding pools which sit above the reactor. These are alledgedly rapidly running out of water (if not already) and the fuel rods could potentially go critical and start a nuclear reaction which would not be good (no explosion clearly, but uncontained reaction = a lot of radiation floating around).

Here is the link actually:
[url= http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-12762608 ]BBC Report - Possibility of stored rods going critical[/url]


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 3:51 pm
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One intriguing viewpoint about the disaster is how the most technologically advanced nation deals with natural disaster.

It would seem that the technology doesn't make a great deal of difference, I figure Hurricane Katrina is a similar parallel.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 4:08 pm
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So it can't explain the whole increase - that means it can explain part of the increase.

I quote the French study because it's been argued over for years here with one government depatment fighting with another or with scientific institutes but in the end they can't deny an influence. In countries more heavily contaminated way beyond 30km other studies have demonstrated increases in radiation related dieases. Wiki (believe it or not)list a few under effects on human health.

[url= http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster#Assessing_the_disaster.27s_effects_on_human_health ]Wiki[/url]


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 4:14 pm
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Radio 4, Material World on this very subject. Check i-player...


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 5:25 pm
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I mentioned scaremongering, the BBC and others are very keen to put out eye catching headlines but when it comes to supporting the headlines with figures maybe they think the general public are too thick to understand so they try and dumb everything down.

It doesn't matter how much you repeat the claim that the BBC is guilty of "scaremongering" it still doesn't make it true.

The BBC doesn't need "eye catching headlines", there are plenty of stories going on in the world for them to report. Apart from Fukushima there are the earthquake and tsunami related stories, plus Libya and Bahrain, all very important stories. This has not been a slow news week, there has been no need to make stories up.

The BBC in line with other news providers has been covering Fukushima extensively because firstly, the second worst nuclear accident in history doesn't happen very often and secondly, because the public are interested and want to know about it.

Therefore the BBC has been reporting events as they happen, and have added to that some opinions and analyses provided by for example, Japanese officials and UN, EU, and US, nuclear specialists. I have seen no evidence of "scaremongering" - I'm certainly not scared, but I have seen the situation concerning the second worst nuclear accident in history being described as very serious......perhaps you call that "scaremongering" ?

Sure some of the media, like the Daily Mail for example, sensationalise [i]all[/i] stories, so it's hardly surprising if they sensationalise the Fukushima story. And why wouldn't they ? Is there some unwritten rule which states that they can sensationalise stories about scrounging foreigners and single mothers, but not sensationalise stories about nuclear accidents ? If it really bothers you that much then don't read the Daily Mail.

The real problem of course is that the nuclear energy cheerleaders are mortified at what has happened in Fukushima, did I mention that it is the second worst nuclear accident in history btw ? and are therefore trying to trivialise and dismiss it as a non-story.

And far from it being the BBC who treats people as if they are "too thick to understand" as you claim, it is the pro-nuclear lobby who are treating people as if they are stupid. I'm not particularly bright and I know absolutely nothing about nuclear physics, but don't treat me like a **** and tell me that everything is fine and under control at Fukushima.

On the basis of my extremely limited knowledge, I have come to the conclusion that something very serious has happened at Fukushima, but that there is no need panic as possible casualties are likely to be minimal. Perhaps I'm being naive, but that's the conclusion I've come to after reading the sort of stuff which the BBC provide.

BTW I am fully aware that the BBC can, on occasions, be highly biased, and almost always in connection with foreign news. But I can see no compelling evidence that is the case concerning the Fukushima story.


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 5:36 pm
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"is Nuclear Energy Institute a source of neutral unbiased information"

Unlike pundits, politicos and activists, they have the singular advantage of knowing what they talking about. But don't let that stop you discrediting them. 😉


 
Posted : 17/03/2011 6:38 pm
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