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For the past couple of years we have had a lad who was an early adopter of an E-Bike who regularly rode with us on our twice weekly rides. In fact he had been riding with some of our crew for the past 20 years. Lately though he has been coming out less and less and riding with some other lads who have Ebikes. Now the next one of our regular group has gone E and is riding with them. I see this as a rapidly accelerating pattern in the next couple of years, since once a certain critical mass is achieved, those left on normal bikes will be considered the social outcasts, forcing more pressure on them to buy into the E-bike scene.
And why wouldn't you?
Fun on the ups as well as the downs
More downs per day as you can get back up more quickly
The technology is only going in one direction making E-bikes lighter, and the batteries lasting longer
I note on the Singletrack website than just about all the major brands are now offering E-bikes. If I were in the market for a new bike with 4-6K in my pocket, I think it would be a no brainer. I can see high end "normal" bike sales plummeting in the next couple of years.
I would rather it wasn't so, but fear that human nature (laziness and desire for instant gratification) will see that my prediction is right. After all, look how quickly the motorcar replaced the horse, or how soon 26" wheels were made more or less obsolete.
Tell me I am wrong, please.